Preview: South Alabama Hosts Marshall For Senior Day With Bowl Eligibility Implications
Kickoff: Saturday, November 18, 4:00pm
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
TV/Streaming: ESPN+
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags on X (formerly known as Twitter): @USAThunderjags
#5 Jersey: Jamie Sheriff
South Alabama (5-5, 3-3 Sun Belt Conference) will look to give their departing seniors one last win at Hancock Whitney Stadium on Saturday when they host Marshall (5-5, 2-4 SBC). If they accomplish the task, they will be the first senior class to earn back-to-back bowl berths in program history.
Both teams enter needing just one win to earn bowl eligibility.
Marshall snapped a five-game losing streak last week behind redshirt freshman Cole Pennington’s first career start. They started the season 4-0 with wins over Albany (21-17), East Carolina (31-13), Virginia Tech (24-17) and Old Dominion (41-35).
Then they hit the rough patch in their season. They lost to @ NC State (41-48), @ Georgia State (24-41), vs James Madison (9-20), @ Coastal Carolina (6-34), and @ App State (9-31).
Marshall head coach Charles Huff is in his third season at the helm. He went 7-6 in his first season with a loss in the New Orleans Bowl against Louisiana-Lafayette. The Herd was still in Conference USA at the time.
Last season Huff lead the Herd to a 9-4 and a 5-3 conference record in their first year in the Sun Belt. They made waves in with a 26-21 win at then #8 Notre Dame and finished the season with a 28-14 win over UConn in the Myrtle Beach Bowl.
Prior to Marshall, Huff was an assistant coach at Alabama for two years.
The Jags were able to break their two-game losing streak themselves with the return of Carter Bradley behind center, an offensive line that were determined to set the line of scrimmage, and a stingy defense.
With two games left for both teams to earn bowl eligibility, both squads would like to go ahead and get that done this week.
Marshall (5-5, 2-4 SBC)
Marshall has a -11 turnover margin on the season. They’ve given the ball away a total of 23 times, 14 interceptions and have lost 9 out of 18 total fumbles. Meanwhile the defense has taken the ball away 12 times, they have 10 interceptions and have recovered 2 out of 9 fumbles.
Offense
| Stat | Average per game |
| Points | 24.4 (83rd) |
| Total Offense | 359.9 (85th) |
| Passing Offense | 230.9 (T-59th) |
| Rushing Offense | 129.0 (97th) |
| Time of Possession | 29:13 |
| Penalty Yards | 55.8 |
Cam Fancher is the leader passer on the team going 186-of-287 (64.8%) for 1,948 yards with eight touchdowns to 11 interceptions on the season. Redshirt freshman Cole Pennington is 27-of-43 (62.8%) for 278 yards with no touchdowns to three interceptions in two game appearances. Pennington made his first career start last week in Marshall’s 38-33 win over Georgia Southern.
The Herd has many receivers involved in their passing game. Five receivers have 20 or more catches on the season and 10 receivers in all have 100+ receiving yards. Caleb Coombs leads the team in catches with 33 catches and receiving touchdowns with two, for 287 yards. DeMarcus Harris leads the receiving corps with 362 yards on 21 catches with a touchdown. In all, eight receivers have touchdowns receptions on the team.
Jaden Harrison has 238 yards on 19 catches with a touchdown. Darryle Simmons has 226 yards on 22 catches.
Rasheen Ali leads the team with 932 yards rushing on 173 carries with 14 touchdowns in nine games played. Ali is tied for 7th in the nation in rushing touchdowns, one TD behind Webb. Ethan Payne has 183 yards on 50 carries. Fancher is third on the team in rushing with 173 yards on 102 carries with two touchdowns in the nine games he’s played in.
| Season Stat | |
| 3rd Downs | 40-of-130 (31%) |
| 4th Downs | 6-of-21 (29%) |
| Red Zone Scoring Attempts | 26-of-34 |
| Red Zone Touchdowns | 17-of-34 |
| Penalties-Yards | 61-558 |
| Fumbles-Lost | 18-9 |
Defense
| Stat | Average per game |
| Points | 28.9 (T-94th) |
| Total Offense | 381.5 (72nd) |
| Passing Offense | 216.3 (50th) |
| Rushing Offense | 165.2 (94th) |
| Time of Possession | 30:47 |
| Penalty Yards | 62.5 |
JJ Roberts leads the team with 73 total stops, 39 solo, with two interceptions, a forced fumble, a pass breakup and a quarterback hurry in nine games played. Eli Neal has 64 total stops, 20 solo, with 6.5 Tackles for Loss, 2 sacks, an interceptions and three quarterback hurries.
Owen Porter leads the team with 13 sacks, is tied for the team lead with 5 sacks, with 50 total stops, 20 solo, 11 quarterback hurries, two forced fumbles and two pass breakups.
Elijah Alston is second on the team with 9.5 TFLs, 4 sacks, 15 quarterback hurries, two pass breakups, and an interception with an 85 yard return for a TD.
Sam Burton co-leads the team with 5 sacks, he has 5.5 TFLs and 8 quarterback hurries.
| Season Stat | |
| 3rd Downs | 44-of-143 (31%) |
| 4th Downs | 9-of-21 (43%) |
| Red Zone Scoring Attempts | 29-of-37 |
| Red Zone Touchdowns | 15-of-37 |
| Penalties-Yards | 68-625 |
| Fumbles-Lost | 9-2 |
Special Teams
Rece Verhoff is 10-of-13 (76.9%) placekicking with a long of 44 with one kick blocked. Kameron Lake is 1-of-2 with a long of 20.
John McConnell is averaging 43 yards per punt, a long of 74 yards, with 16 fair catches, 13 downed inside the 20, 5 kicks of 50+ yards, and one touchback.
South Alabama (5-5, 3-3 SBC)
The Jags continue to have a turnover margin of -2 on the season. They have turned the ball over a total of 16 times, nine interceptions and seven fumbles lost. The defense has taken the ball away from opponents 14 times, seven interceptions and seven fumbles. The Jags gave the ball away once to Arkansas State last week, but took the ball away once as well.
Offense
| Stat | Average per game |
| Points | 29.9 (T-49th) |
| Total Offense | 423.0 (40th) |
| Passing Offense | 258.4 (42nd) |
| Rushing Offense | 164.6 |
| Time of Possession | 29:50 |
| Penalty Yards | 59.70 |
Carter Bradley’s is 186-of-279 (66.7%) for 2,301 yards and 15 touchdowns to 7 interceptions in nine games played. Gio Lopez, with one start but four game appearances, is 27-of-42 (64.3%) for 283 yards with 1 touchdown to 2 interceptions on the season.
Caullin Lacy leads the team with 71 catches, 1,096 yards, and six touchdowns. Lacy ranks 4th in the nation in receiving yards after a 50-yard game last week. Jamaal Pritchett has 650 yards on 44 catches with 5 touchdowns. Lincoln Sefcik has 165 yards on 17 catches with a touchdown. DJ Thomas-Jones has 156 yards on 15 catches.
La’Damian Webb leads the team with 890 yards rushing on 162 carries with 15 touchdowns and an average of 5.5 yards per carry. Webb is 31st in the nation in rushing yards and tied for 2nd in the nation in rushing touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock, despite missing last week in the concussion protocol, has 380 yards on 76 carries with three touchdowns and a 5 yard per carry average. Marco Lee Jr has 186 yards on 41 carries with two touchdowns and a 4.5 yards per carry average.
| Season Stat | |
| 3rd Downs | 57-of-133 (42.9%) (29th) |
| 4th Downs | 12-of-20 (58.8%) |
| Red Zone Scoring Attempts | 32-of-34 |
| Red Zone Touchdowns | 26-of-32 |
| Penalties-Yards | 69-597 |
| Fumbles-Lost | 12-7 |
Defense
| Stat | Average per game |
| Points | 21.1 (37th) |
| Total Offense | 323.7 (25th) |
| Passing Offense | 198.9 (31nd) |
| Rushing Offense | 124.8 (35th) |
| Time of Possession | 30:09 |
| Penalty Yards | 46.7 |
Quentin Wilfawn’s tear over the last three weeks continues to have him pace the defense with 71 total stops, 40 solo, with a team leading 13.5 TFLs and also a team leading 5.5 sacks. He also has 5 quarterback hurries, two forced fumbles, and a pass breakup.
James Miller has 61 total stops, 23 solo, with 4 TFLs, a quarterback hurry and a fumble recovery.
Trey Kiser has 60 total stops, 26 solo, with 8.5 TFLs, 2.5 sacks, two pass breakups and a quarterback hurry.
Jamie Sheriff is third on the team with 6 TFLs and is tied for second on the team with 3 sacks. He leads the team with 7 quarterback hurries with a forced fumble.
Jaden Voisin leads the team with 3 interceptions to go with his 6 pass breakups and a forced fumble.
Ricky Fletcher leads the defense with 11 pass breakups.
| Season Stat | |
| 3rd Downs | 45-of-1330 (33.83%) (43rd) |
| 4th Downs | 7-of-15 (46.67%) |
| Red Zone Scoring Attempts | 19-of-26 |
| Red Zone Touchdowns | 11-of-26 |
| Penalties-Yards | 55-467 |
| Fumbles-Lost | 11-7 |
Special Teams
Diego Guajardo is 10-of-14 (71.4%) placekicking with a long of 46 yards.
Jack Martin is averaging 39.06 yards per punt with a long of 53 yards, 16 fair catches, 10 downed inside the 20 and two kicks of 50+ yards.
Injuries
Carter Bradley returned and played the entire game. At times it looked like he may have been favoring his left knee, but he moved around in the pocket well and even ran a few times. There was a strong northern wind during most of the game which affected his deep passes a bit. Some sailed long on him when the wind was at his back.
Overall Bradley looked good in his return.
Braylon McReynolds returned to the lineup for the first time since his injury suffered against Tulane in the season opener. The coaching staff said they were limiting how much playing time he got in the game. His first time touching the ball he gained 10 yards, so it’s safe to say he is ready to go. The coaching staff will evaluate him throughout the week and may “significantly” increase it workload this Saturday.
McReynolds return came at the perfect time. Kentrel Bullock missed the game after being unable to clear the concussion protocol prior to the game against Arkansas State. Each player and each concussion is different so the timetables to return are completely different each time. Hopefully Bullock will completely recover in time for the game.
Lincoln Sefcik will miss the remainder of the season due to breaking unspecified team rules, not due to injury.
Keys to the Game
Turnovers
Marshall averages 2.3 turnovers a game this season. Last week they gave the ball away twice to Georgia Southern, an INT and a fumble, yet still won the game. Over the five game losing streak they had a total of 14, or nearly three per game.
The Jags defense has not generated as many turnovers this season as they have over the last two seasons. I’m sure the team will look at this game as an opportunity to improve on the turnover margin with some takeaways
Meanwhile the Jaguar offense wants to protect the ball more. Webb had a very uncharacteristic fumble last week against the Red Wolves. It looked as though he was slipping on the turf as the defender knocked the ball loose. Bradley has cut down his interceptions after what looked like he was trying to force the ball downfield into bad coverage.
Turnover margin in a game is one of those key stats teams want to win as it increases their likelihood to win.
Offensive Line
The guys up front did a great job against the Arkansas defense. They limited the Red Wolves to only two sacks and led the way for La’Damian Webb to rush for 163 yards.
That kind of play is exactly what the team needed to help defeat the Red Wolves.
Marshall’s rushing defense is 94th in the nation, so if the offensive line can set the line of scrimmage the Jaguar backfield could have a field day running the ball.
But it all starts up front.
Stadium Presence
South Alabama still has a fan problem. Despite on-campus students not having far to go to view the game, they just didn’t turn out very well against Arkansas State.
It was the Jaguar Marching Band along with the Honor Band that provided most of the crowd noise in the game. They did a very good job of it too!
Everyone in the stadium last week could take a lesson from them.
The stadium was rocking for the Southern Miss game. We need that each and every week at Hancock Whitney Stadium. We need to “Rock the ‘cock” every home game. Whoever programs the in-game music really needs get off their personal playlist and look for some music to energize the crowd. The “Stand up and Shout” on 3rd down needs to go away for the foreboding chimes of “Hell’s Bells.” We need to settle on one good sing-along song to play early in the fourth quarter.
Give Thunderjags a crack at the in-game musical choices!
Senior Recognition
A strong group of seniors will be honored before the game on Saturday. They are in no particular order: Jamie Sheriff, Jamall Hickbottom, Maurice Strong Jr, Carter Bradley, Desmond Trotter, Tanner McGee, La’Damian Webb, Marco Lee Jr, Reggie Smith, Josh McCulloch, Brandon Crum, Jacob Hopper, Lincoln Sefcik, Ke’Shun Brown, Trey Kiser, James Miller, Quentin Wilfawn, Keith Gallmon, Jalen Jordan, Jacob Meeks and Diego Guajardo.
Many of those names you’ve heard mentioned on this site, while watching on television or streaming, or on the radio broadcast. Thank you for what you have done as a Jaguar and for being outstanding ambassadors of the team and the school. We wish you the best in whatever comes next in your journey.
Prediction
The Jags are another double-digit favorite this week with a 10.5 point favorite to win. Every time the Jags have been favored this season I have cringed a bit just because of the uncertainty and the inconsistency.
But I think South Alabama will be ready for Marshall. If the Jag defense can pick up where they left off last week, they should hold Marshall in check like they did Arkansas State no matter who starts at quarterback.
Though the Jaguar offense did just enough to win, we’d like to see them do a bit more.
The weather was a factor last week though. A strong northerly wind with mist doesn’t make for the best playing conditions, particularly throwing the ball. The weather on Saturday looks good, so hopefully that means lots of fireworks and light display for South Alabama.
I think the Jags win and they squeak out a cover while they’re at it.
Go Jags!
Preview: South Alabama Hosts Old Dominion On Senior Day, Regular Season Finale
Kickoff: Saturday, November 26, 11:00am
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, Alabama
TV/Streaming: ESPN+
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags Twitter: @USAThunderjags
#5 Jersey: A.J. DeShazor
South Alabama’s (9-2, 6-1 SBC) win over Southern Miss (5-6, 3-4 SBC) wasn’t the stellar performance by the Jags. Fans will be quick to say that any win is a good win. But coaches will be quick to point out lots of things that need attention before the next game.
But both can be true, and this is one of those instances.
The Jags win was a good win. They showed great resilience in the face of adversity. Overcoming turnovers and a poorly executed fake punt in route to a 27-20 win on the road was exactly what a good team does. Head coach Kane Wommack’s process-oriented approach and neutral mindset philosophy has proven to be effective in changing the culture in the program.
The win sets a new record for wins in a season as a FBS program. The previous record was set just the week before. Now they have an opportunity to move that bar one notch higher with a 10th regular season win on the line this Saturday against Old Dominion.
Being Senior Day, it’s a great time to reflect on this group of seniors. Many of them have seen this program at it’s lowest (2-10 in 2019) and, even if the season ended prior to the game versus Old Dominion, they have seen the best FBS season for this same program. But they have one final chance to play in Hancock Whitney Stadium and earn a 10 win season. They’ll also have an opportunity to record the first-ever bowl win, they just have to wait to find out the details on when and where.
They also still have an outside shot to play in the Sun Belt Conference Championship game. They just have to win against Old Dominion and they need Arkansas State to upset Troy in Jonesboro, Arkansas.
Two of the seniors on the team are the last players to play under South Alabama’s first football coach and architect for the program, Joey Jones. Jalen Wayne and this weeks #5 jersey honoree, A.J. DeShazor.
Old Dominion (3-8, 2-5 SBC)
The Monarchs have had quite an interesting season first season in the Sun Belt. They opened the year with a 20-17 win over Virginia Tech. Then dropped games to East Carolina (39-21) and Virginia (16-14). They earned their second win against Arkansas State (29-26). They dropped their next game 38-24 against Liberty before knocking off the top team in the Sun Belt Conference, and gave them their only loss of the season so far, with a 49-21 win at Coastal Carolina.
They come to Mobile on a five-game losing skid after defeating the Chanticleers and looking to go into the offseason on a high note.
Offense
The offense is averaging 19.5 points, 335.9 total yards, 243.7 passing yards, 92.2 rushing yards, and 24:17 time of possession per game.
They are converting only 40-of-144 (27.8%) of their 3rd down attempts, and 7-of-20 (35%) of their 4th down attempts. Of their 24 trips into opponents red zone, they have scored points 19 times with 13 of them being touchdowns.
In total, they have thrown seven interceptions and lost 11 fumbles.
Hayden Wolff is 213-of-376 (56.7%) for 2,623 yards, 16 touchdowns and 6 interceptions.
Ali Jennings III is the leading receiver with 54 catches for 959 yards and nine touchdowns in only nine games played before being lost for the season to injury. Javon Harvey has 28 catches for 523 yards and three touchdowns in 11 games played. Blake Watson has 31 catches for 226 yards and a touchdown in 10 games played. Bly Jordan adds 22 catches for 225 yards in 10 games. Four other receivers have recorded over 100 yards on the season. One of those, Zach Kuntz, had 144 yards receiving on just 12 catches with two touchdowns in only five games before his season ended due to injury.
Blake Watson has 806 yards rushing on 140 attempts with five touchdowns in 10 games played. Keshawn Wicks has 125 yards on 32 attempts and a touchdown as the only other player with over 100 yards rushing on the season.
Complicating things is that the offensive line has been beat up this season too.
Defense
The Monarchs defense found itself bruised and beaten after last weeks game against Appalachian State. Linebackers Jason Henderson entered last weeks game just 28 tackles short of breaking the FBS record for tackles in a season. If he is able to go this week, he would need to record 26 tackles in order to get the record.
The defense is allowing an average of 26.6 points, 446.6 total yards, 249.2 passing yards, 197.5 rushing yards, and 35:43 time of possession per game.
Opponents are converting 68-of-170 (40%) of their 3rd down attempts and 13-of-22 (59.1%) of their 4th down attempts.
Of the 44 times opponents have been in the Monarch red zone, they have scored 32 times but only 19 have been touchdowns.
The defense has collected 11 interceptions and recovered 7 fumbles.
Unsurprisingly, Henderson is the leading tackler with 168 total stops, 52 of them solo. The next closest is R’Tarrium Johnson with 80 total tops, 48 solo. Henderson also leads the team with 10 tackles for loss. Ryan Henry and Denzel Lowry are tied leading the team with four sacks each.
Tre Hawkins III leads the team with just two interceptions. Nine other players have one interception each.
Special Teams
Ethan Sanchez is 8-of-11 on the season as placekicker. His long for the season is a 44-yarder. He’s missed one of this three attempts from 40-49 yards and two of his five attempted from 20-29 yards.
Ethan Duane is averaging 43.1 yards per punt. His longest punt of the season is a 59 yarder. He has 26 punts downed inside the 20, 20 have been fair caught, 13 kicks have gone over 50 yards and only three have been touchbacks.
South Alabama (9-2, 6-1 SBC)
Offense
The Jags are averaging 32.4 points, 426.1 total yards, 265.5 passing yards, 160.6 rushing yards, and 32:09 time of possession per game. They are converting 68-of-162 (42%) of their 3rd down attempts and 14-of-23 (60.9%) of their 4th down attempts.
They scoring on 38 of their 46 trips into the red zone with 28 of them being touchdowns.
They have only lost 4 fumbles on the season with only 9 interceptions as well.
Carter Bradley is 223-of-345 for 2,793 yards, 22 touchdowns and nine interceptions on the season. Desmond Trotter in only his third game appearance on the season is 14-of-18 for 127 yards with no interceptions or touchdowns.
Jalen Wayne continues to lead the receiving corps with 730 yards on 53 catches with eight touchdowns. Caullin Lacy has 706 yards on 52 catches with five touchdowns. Devin Voisin has 682 yards on 50 catches with four touchdowns. A pair of running backs and a pair of tight ends round out the receiving corps with over 100 yards on the season, all of them have one touchdown each.
La’Damian Webb, after missing his second game of the season, still leads the team with 941 yards on 179 carries with 13 touchdowns. He just needs 59 yards to hit the 1,000-yard mark for the season.
Braylon McReynolds, on his first start, had his first 100-yard rushing game against Southern Miss. He has 255 yards on 45 carries in nine games played. Marco Lee has 239 yards on 64 carries with four touchdowns, but the bruiser has converted a number of 3rd downs for the season. Omni Wells has 194 yards on 46 carries.
Defense
The defense is allowing an average of 19.4 points, 295.5 total yards, 208.6 passing yards, 86.8 rushing yards, and 27:24 time of possession for the season. Opponents are converting just 42-of-149 (28.2%) 3rd down attempts and 14-of-24 (58.3%) of 4th down attempts.
The stingy defense has only allowed 25 scores out of 32 trips into the red zone with only 16 being a touchdown.
Sun Belt Conference defensive player of the week Jaden Voisin had 17 total stops, 11 solo, with 1.5 tackles for loss and an interception last week against Southern Miss. Those tackles jumped him into the top stop for the team with 68 for the season, 37 solo, with 5.5 tackles for loss. Trey Kiser stayed in second place with 65 total stops, 48 solo, with 10 tackles for loss and a pair of sacks. James Miller dropped from the top spot to 3rd with 61 total stops, 35 solo, with 6.5 tackles for loss and 2.5 sacks.
Yam Banks leads the team with five interceptions, but almost added one more against the Golden Eagles. Jaden Voisin moves into a tie with Ke’Shun Brown with two interceptions each.
Kiser and CJ Rias continue to pace the team with 10 tackles for loss each. Jamie Sheriff leads the team with 5 sacks.
Special Teams
Diego Gajardo had another perfect week for the Jags. He is now 15-of-16 for the season. He added a season-long 49-yarder just before halftime to give the Jags the lead going into the locker room.
Jack Brooks is averaging 42.4 yards per punt for the season with a long of 58. He has 8 kicks of 50+ yards, 16 downed inside the 20, 11 fair catches and only two touchbacks.
As coach Wommack highlighted in his weekly radio show, kickoff specialist Jacob Meeks has 25 touchbacks on the season. This is not an insignificant team stat. When you can consistently force touchbacks on kickoffs, the opponents are consistently having to drive the length of the field for touchdowns while preventing momentum-stealing kickoff returns.
Keys to the Game
Continue Limiting Penalties
The Jags entered the game last week ranked #1 in the nation in total penalties, total penalty yards, and penalty yards per game. Those are not categories you want to be a national leader in.
However, after two games with 13 and 11 penalties, the Jags were only flagged five times against Southern Miss. They avoided any post-play unsportsmanlike penalties. They only had one offensive penalty, a false start. But defensively they were flagged three times: one for defensive holding, one for pass interference, and once for targeting.
The targeting wasn’t egregious, the runner dipped his head while Rickey Hyatt Jr was leading with his head. He immediately knew he messed up as he immediately grabbed his head after the flag was thrown. The Jags were already without Jalen Jordan due to a targeting flag in the second half against Texas State.
It would be great for the team to limit penalties for a second-consecutive game.
Balanced Offensive Attack
In the three wins by Old Dominion they have successfully made their opponent primarily one-dimensional by limiting their opponents rushing attack.
Virginia Tech saw the most success on the ground with 136 rushing yards, but the Monarchs were at their peak health-wise. Arkansas State rushed for 112 yards. Coastal Carolina rushed for only 90 yards while the Monarchs had their way with 323 yards on the ground against the Chanticleers.
According to coach Wommack’s radio show, they believe that he will be able to play on Saturday. However, if last week is any indication, Braylon McReynolds would be ready to step into the starting role if needed. But Marco Lee and Omni Wells both rushed for nearly 100 yards each when both Webb and McReynolds were unavailable earlier in the season.
Don’t Look Ahead
With the Jags bowl eligible and eager to win their first bowl game, they can’t look ahead to an unknown opponent just because they are playing a 3-8 team. The Sun Belt has proven that from top to bottom, any team can win on any given week.
Just ask Coastal Carolina.
Though they are the lone top-25 ranked team from the Sun Belt, they would have most certainly been ranked higher than their current 23rd place. They are in the running for a new years 6 bowl game. If they are the highest ranked group of 5 champion, they get an automatic berth in a new years 6 bowl game.
Prediction
Depending on the site you look at the Jags are either a 16.5-point favorite or a 15.5-point favorite on others.
The Monarchs have had lots of attrition due to injury. They’ve lost two key pass catchers on the season. Their top tackler’s status is currently unknown for the season finale this week.
They have played well against their biggest opponents, power five opponent Virginia Tech and top Sun Belt team Coastal Carolina. They would like to add another win against one of the upper-level teams in the conference.
I think the Jags will thwart their attempt in the friendly confines of Hancock Whitney Stadium on Senior Day though. I also think they cover the 15.5 point spread due to the injury status of the Monarchs as well.
Go Jags!
Preview: South Alabama Faces First Road Test Of 2022 At Central Michigan
Kickoff: Saturday, September 10, 12PM
Venue: Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mt. Pleasant, MI
TV/Streaming: ESPN+
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
#5 Jersey: Darrel Luter Jr.
Thunderjags Twitter: @USAThunderjags
South Alabama (1-0) hits the road this week for their first road test of the season. They travel to Mount Pleasant, Michigan for their date with the Central Michigan Chippewas (0-1) of the Mid-American Conference.
This will be the Jags third MAC foe, previously the Jags have faced Bowling Green and Kent State. Overall the Jags are 3-2 against MAC opponents with a 2-1 edge over Kent State and splitting the pair of match-up against Bowling Green, the Jags fell to the Eagles in their first ever bowl game appearance in the 2014 Camellia Bowl then got revenge with a last minute field goal to win 22-19 last year in Bowling Green, Ohio.
This will be the first time South Alabama and Central Michigan have faced each other.
South Alabama came out and dominated Nicholls State last Saturday in the 2022 season opener. They were a 10 point favorite and had that covered in the first quarter as they cruised to a 48-7 win.
USA’s rebuilt offensive line and running back stable made their presence known. The line opened holes for La’Damian Webb and company to take advantage of. Speaking of Webb, he showed why the coaches spoke so highly of him all off-season. He finished two yards shy of 100 yards for the game on 18 carries with two touchdowns. But on all 18 of his carries, the first guy to touch him did not bring him down.
Quarterback Carter Bradley made good decisions in his first start for the Jags. He was 17-of-25 (68%) for 260 and three touchdowns. Two of his strikes were to Jalen Wayne, who has stepped up to fill the #1 receiver role after Jalen Tolbert went to the NFL after last season. Wayne recorded 98 yards on three catches, including a 52 yard touchdown reception in the first half.
Caullin Lacy stepped up with six catches for 72 yards. True freshman Braylon McReynolds, the McGill-Toolen standout, showed his versatility with some good runs as well as a few catches, with one catch going for an 18 yard touchdown in his debut.
Central Michigan
Central Michigan is coached by Jim McElwain. If you live in Alabama or have followed the University of Alabama football over the Nick Saban era, McElwain is a familiar name. He was the offensive coordinator for the Crimson Tide for four seasons and helped lead them to two national titles and the 2009 Heisman Trophy winner Mark Ingram.
Since his time in Tuscaloosa, he has had stops as head coach at Colorado State (22-15) where he turned the program from a 4-8 team his first season to a 10-2 team in his 3rd. He was then the head coach at Florida and compiled a 22-12 record, his first season he went 10-4 then was relieved of his duties in his third season when his team was 3-4 on the season and just lost to Georgia 42-7. He served one season as wide receivers coach at Michigan in 2018 before being named the head coach at Central Michigan. So far at CMU he has a 20-14 record, including a 9-4 record last year with a win over Washington State in the Sun Bowl.
Paul Petrino serves as the offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach at CMU. Petrino had a very short (six week) stint at USA as an offensive analyst. Petrino was also head coach at Idaho during their four year stint in the Sun Belt Conference before they moved down to the FCS ranks. He was an even 2-2 against USA during that time. So it’s obvious he has some familiarity with the South Alabama program, both old and new.
The Chippewas started the 2022 season with a 58-44 loss to #12 ranked Oklahoma State in Stillwater, OK. They were behind 37-7 late in the second quarter and put up 22 points in the fourth quarter, including the last two touchdowns while converting both 2-point attempts.
Offense
The Chippewa offense actually out-gained Oklahoma State last week. They put up 546 total yards of offense, 424 yards passing and 122 rushing. Quarterback Daniel Richardson slung the ball around and finished 36-of-49 for 424 yards, four touchdowns and an interception.
The Chippewas had nine receivers catch at least one pass last week. Jalen McGaughy led the receivers with six catches for 126 yards and two touchdowns. Carlos Carriere caught five passes for 75 yards and a touchdown. Two other receivers caught six passes and one other caught five in the loss. This was after they sent two receivers to the NFL in the 2022 draft.
Lew Nichols led the backfield with 72 yards rushing on 26 carries with two touchdowns. Myles Bailey added 51 yards on nine carries. Bailey added three pass receptions for 28 yards and a touchdown, while Nichols added six catches for 26 yards.
In 2021, Nichols led the nation in rushing yards (1,848), yards per game (142.2), and carries (341) while tying for ninth nationally in rushing touchdowns (16) and 11th in total touchdowns (18). He ranked first in all-purpose yards (2,186) and all-purpose yards per game (168.2) as he was named MAC offensive player of the year and first team all-MAC honors among his other accolades.
In the preseason, Petrino and McElwain said they want to get the ball into the hands of their best playmakers: Nichols, Bailey, Marion Lukes, and Kobe Lewis. Lewis was a 1,000 yard rusher in 2019 who missed all of 2021 with a knee injury however he transferred to Purdue over the summer. But McGaughy and Carriere, a graduate transfer from Maryland, showed they were players to watch.
The coaching staff spent time in the spring scheming ways to get more than two running backs on the field in a one back formation when they were expecting to have Lewis back.
CMU sent two offensive linemen to the NFL from last season and lost one of their returning starters for the season with a knee injury in preseason camp.
The Chippewas will look to take advantage of whatever the defense gives them. They’ll look to spread the ball around the field then lean on Nichols to run the ball. They will present a challenge to the Jaguar defense.
Defense
Central Michigan uses a more traditional 4-3 base defense. Many schools are moving to more 4-2-5 defenses with the increase of hurry up, no huddle pass-heavy offenses in college football.
The Chipppewa defense had a tough outing against Oklahoma State. They allowed 531 total offensive yards, 406 yards through the air and 125 on the ground in the 58-44 loss.
Though the OSU quarterback was only 28-of-41 for the game, he did throw four touchdowns without an interception and only taking one sack.
OSU had 11 receivers who caught at least one pass in the game, four different receivers caught touchdown passes, and three receivers had over 70 yards for the game. But the Big 10 is known for slinging the ball around quite a bit.
CMU had to rebuild their secondary from a year ago. With the loss of two of their key defenders, they have turned to Trey Jones, a sophomore from Wetumpka, AL, who led the team with 9 total tackles, eight of them solo. They also brought in Junior College transfer Jayden Davis from Diabo Valley CC where he had 47 total tackles, 28 solo, with two interceptions in their six game 2021-22 season. They also started a standout freshmen at corner in Donte Kent.
Special Teams
CMU punted five time with an average of 39.4 yards per punt. They had one downed inside the 20. They missed their only field goal attempt of the game from 50 yards and was 2-for-2 on extra point attempts. They attempted a number of 2-point conversions as they were playing catch-up with the Cowboys.
South Alabama
The Jags imposed their will on Nicholls all game long, from the opening whistle to the final play. That’s what Jaguar fans have been wanting to see a South Alabama team do for a while now. The last time Nicholls visited Mobile, they took it to overtime and the Jags had to stop two 2-point attempts to notch the victory.
Central Michigan is no Nicholls.
This is when the rubber meets the road. What some would call a ‘tune up’ is over and their first FBS opponent awaits them.
But we learned a lot in the first game.
Head coach Kane Wommack praised his team in the Monday press conference with their identity showing up and winning the “double positives.” The double positives, creating explosive plays and ball security, was something offensive coordinator Major Applewhite studied over an eight year period as a graduate assistant at Texas. Every time Texas won the “double positives” they won the game.
Offense
Hold the presses, the Jags have a legit running attack.
But it starts with the offensive line. Coach Wommack had to dig a little deep on the depth chart at right tackle to start the season. They aren’t necessarily thin at offensive line, they have 21 on the roster at that position this season. But Starter Antawn Lewis and his backup Josh McCulloch were both out due to injury which led to redshirt freshman Adrein Strickland making his first career start. The Jags expect to get at least one, and hopefully both, back before facing the Chippewas.
Two things the team has worked on this week have been penalties (10 for 80 yards) and third down conversions (3-of-13, 23.1%). They had some situations where they didn’t execute and it put them off-schedule and in third-and-long situations.
On the plus side, the Jags had zero turnovers and only took two sacks.
In the Jags first game they put up 508 yards of total offense, 332 of it through the air and 176 on the ground. Those rushing yardage numbers is the most the Jags have rushed for since they put up 236 on September 18th in the third game of the 2021 season against Alcorn State.
The Jags will face a defense that is trying to find itself and recover from their play against Oklahoma State, particularly in the secondary. There will be plays to be made against CMU, the team will just have to execute.
Defense
The Jaguars Swarm D got after Nicholls from the get go. The Colonels didn’t scrimmage in Jaguar territory until about half way through the third quarter. They held the Colonels to 2-of-13 on third downs and forced two turnovers with opportunities for a couple more in the game.
Defensively the Jags only allowed 165 total yards of offense, 106 of that through the air and 59 on the ground.
Quite the dominant performance.
This week it will be a little bit different. Petrino was on the Jaguar staff for about six weeks in January and February. Not a very long time but definitely long enough to get familiar with the offense. Especially since he was an offensive analyst.
Will that help the Chippewas? Who know, but it sure can’t hurt.
The Chippewas have a tough offense to defend. If you stack the box to stop Nichols, then you have multiple receivers that they can throw to. If you drop back into coverage then you may open some running lanes for Nichols to exploit. They will have to play fundamentally sound on defense.
Special Teams
Jack Brooks punted six times with an average of 41 yards per kick. He had four downed inside the 20 and one kick of 50+ yards.
Diego Guajardo was 2-for-2 on field goal attempts, his longest was 48 yards. He also made all six extra point attempts.
Keys to the Game
Offensive Line Play
We all know the difference offensive line play means to the offense. Just look at 2018-2020 for some examples.
The offensive line played a little better last season. They were plagued with injuries and the unit became a patchwork for a period down the stretch. I mean at one point they were down to the slimmest of margins with the same player listed as backup for multiple OL positions.
The offensive line has been retooled and the OL unit is the largest on the team (21) with some experienced starters who have come in to help. The Jags average about 37 lbs more per player on the offensive line vs the defensive line they will be facing.
This week will show a couple of things. How much they have gelled as a starting, cohesive unit, and also how good they are against a team more on their talent level.
If they can continue to protect Bradley and open holes for Webb and Co, the Jags will have a good chance to get their offense going early.
Generating Pressure With Defensive Front
With the offensive talent that the Chippewas have, it’s important that the defensive front gets pressure on the quarterback on passing plays and are able to contain the run.
Quarterback Daniel Richardson isn’t the most mobile quarterback but as evidenced against Oklahoma State, the can sling the ball around. If the Jags defense can make him move and throw on the run, perhaps that will be enough to throw him off of his rhythm without having to commit extra guys to the rush.
But they can’t let Nichols and Bailey run wild either.
Run The Ball Effectively
This goes back to the first point, but the Jags running game needs to get in gear early.
While Oklahoma State exposed the Chippewa secondary and linebackers vulnerability, you better believe that McElwain and company have put in their work in this week to prepare for South Alabama. But if the Jaguar backfield can consistently average good yardage, help keep the offense on schedule, and convert first downs, they will force the defense to respect the run game and give Bradley and his receivers favorable coverage downfield.
You may see Bradley and Applewhite throw a home run ball or two early in the game before they open up the run.
Prediction
It’s a huge step up in class this week. The Jags handled what has been a very good FCS team last week handily.
This week will be different.
Central Michigan opened at a 6.5 point favorite, the line dropped to 4.5 points at on point. But it seems to have leveled out at 5.5 points, so 5.5 is what we are going with here.
I think the Jags cover and I’m going out on a line and saying the Jags win outright. I think the Jags special teams is the difference. Brooks looked great with his directional kicks pinning Nicholls inside their 20. He also can boom a kick to flip field position. Diego has been a model of consistency throughout his career. Jacob Meeks has done well on kickoff duty.
But what may be the special teams difference maker is Caullin Lacy.
Lacy has pumped life back into the return game that has been lacking for a few years now, particularly the punt return game. His 38 yard punt return against Nicholls is the fourth-longest return in program history. Tra Minter holds the record for the longest with a 75 yard touchdown return in 2016. Last season the Jags longest punt return was only 16 yards.
I say Jags win 38-37
Go Jags!