Preview: South Alabama Visits Appalachian State For Final Conference Road Game Of Season
Kickoff: Saturday November 13, 1:30pm
Venue: Kidd Brewer Stadium – Boone, NC
TV/Streaming: ESPN+
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
#5 Jersey (wearing 55 for an offensive lineman): Trey Simpson
Thunderjags Twitter: @USAThunderjags
South Alabama didn’t get the result they were hoping for at Troy last weekend.
It looked like the Jags had a good gameplan from the start. However losing your starting quarterback on the opening possession tends to throw a monkeywrench into your plans. Then having a pair of mistakes by the next man up leading to two easy scores definitely doesn’t help matters.
Quarterback Jake Bentley, on only his second pass attempt of the game, stepped into the throw on a play-action pass and was hit low, below the knee, causing his knee to flex laterally. He was in visible pain on the ground after the play. After being attended to by the trainers, he jogged off the field but could still be seen favoring his left knee.
Desmond Trotter finished off the opening drive with a four yard touchdown run. On the next offensive possession, with the Jags at their own 24 yard line, a botched hand off resulted in the a fumble that was recovered by Troy. That turnover led to a field goal.
With the Jags trailing 24-7 Trotter was pressured and threw the ball in an attempt to prevent a sack, however Troy intercepted it and took it 32 yards for a touchdown. While it was their last points of the game, it would be all Troy would need for the win.
Bentley has a partially torn MCL and at the very least will miss this weeks game at Appalachian State. What his status will be going forward is still very much unknown. Team doctors will be involved as to any likelihood that he could suit up again for any of the remaining games. The concern is some “looseness” with his ACL.
The Jaguars still need to get one more win to bowl eligible with just three games left. The next chance is Appalachian State on the road this weekend. So let’s get started with the breakdown.
Appalachian State
The Mountaineers (7-2, 4-1 SBC) went to Arkansas State and earned a 48-14 win over the Red Wolves.
Arkansas State scored twice in the second quarter to tie the game at 14-all. But it was all App State after that with 34-unanswered points to close out the game. Among those 34 unanswered were two interceptions returned for touchdowns by the defense.
App State’s two losses came to #22 Miami 24-23 on September 11 and on October 12 at Louisiana-Lafayette 41-13.
They rebounded from the Louisiana loss on a Tuesday to defeat #14 Coastal Carolina on a nationally televised Wednesday night game on October 20.
Boone, NC is always a difficult place to play. But with with a forecast of a high of 41 degrees and winds between 10 to 20 MPH it doesn’t make it any more welcoming.
The Mountaineers are in their second season under the direction of head football coach Shawn Clark. He was named the head coach after Eliah Drinkwitz left after one season to take the head coaching position at Missouri.
Eight days after taking the reigns, Clark led the Mountaineers to a 31-17 win over UAB in the 2019 New Orleans Bowl.
In his first season as a head coach the Mountaineers went 9-3 and 6-2 in Sun Belt Conference play. They finished 2nd in the east division with a 56-28 win over North Texas in the Myrtle Beach Bowl.
Offense
Here is the offense by the numbers.
They average 36.9 points, 200.8 yards rushing, 263.3 passing yards, and 464.1 total offensive yards per game. They average 24.4 first downs per game.
They are converting 44-of-116 (38%) of their 3rd down attempts. They are also converting 11-of-20 (55%) of their 4th down attempts.
Their red zone efficiency is very high. Of their 34 red zone trips they have scored 31 times (91%) and of those scores 21 of them have been touchdowns.
Their offensive line has only allowed 9 sacks on the season.
They have 14 turnovers on the season. Six interceptions and out of 14 total fumbles, they’ve failed to recover eight of them.
Quarterback Chase Brice is 172-of-264 for 2,261 yards, 15 touchdowns, and six interceptions.
Corey Sutton and Malik Williams are the top two receivers with almost identical numbers. Sutton has 47 catches for 711 yards and 5 touchdowns with an average of 15.1 yards per reception. Williams has 45 catches for 678 yards and 5 touchdowns with an average of 15.1 yards per catch.
The receiving numbers drop off pretty substantially after those two. Thomas Hennigan is third on the team with 34 catches for 472 yards and two touchdowns. No other receiver has more than nine catches after him.
The rushing statistics are similarly dominated by two individuals. Nate Noel leads the way with 153 carries for 889 yards and three touchdowns. Camerun Peoples is next with 105 carries for 609 yards and 13 touchdowns (double checks the number…wow) in seven games. Both average 5.8 yards per carry.
Chase Brice is next in line with 43 carries for 95 yards and two touchdowns. Followed by Anderson Castle with 24 carries for 120 yards and two touchdowns. No other ball carrier has over 59 yards rushing on the season after those four.
Defense
The App State defense is allowing an average of 23.3 points, 133.9 rushing yards, 226 passing yards, and 359.9 total yards per game.
Opponents are converting 46-of-129 (36%) 3rd down attempts and 4-of-10 (40%) of their 4th down attempts.
Opposing offenses have had 31 trips into the red zone, they have scored 25 times (81%), but only 16 of them have been touchdowns (52%).
They have an eye-opeing 66 tackles for loss and have sacked opposing quarterbacks 24 times on the season. They’ve collected 17 turnovers on the season, forcing 13 interceptions and recovering 4 fumbles.
D’Marco Jackson leads the Mountaineer defense with a whopping 84 total stops, 42 of them solo, with 12 tackles for loss, five sacks, and seven quarterback hurries from his linebacker position.
The next closest defender is Nick Hampton with 48 total stops, 27 solo, with a team leading 12.5 tackles for loss and six sacks.
Steven Jones leads the team with six interceptions.
This is another case where the Jags offensve will have to be able to operate behind the down and distance schedule. The Mountaineers will get negative plays.
As with any game, South Alabama must protect the ball, but against a ball-hawking defense like App State they will be out to pick off Trotter if he makes an errant throw.
Special Teams
Chandler Staton is perfect on the season. He’s made all 38 extra point attempts and all 14 field goal attempts. His longest is a 48 yard attempt against Georgia State.
Xavier Subotsch has punted 29 times on the season with an average of 39.6 yards per kick, 17 of them have been downed inside the 20 yard line and one went 51 yards, the only one to go over 50 yards for him this season. While his average yards isn’t high, he’s hasn’t needed to be. He’s been very effective with over half of his punts being downed inside the 20 yard line.
South Alabama
The loss of Bentley came as he was playing some of his best football. The offense struggled when Trotter took over but eventually started to find their rhythm and had a chance at a tying drive late in the game.
With a week of practice, Trotter should be well prepared to take back over the role he had previously. Trotter completed 64.5% of his passes last season for 1,917 yards and 11 touchdowns.
There are things that Bentley does that elevated himself over Trotter and earned the starting position. However there are things that Trotter does better than Bentley. One of the major things is his legs. He can run and he can extend plays.
We saw him use his legs on the first snap he took in place of Bentley.
Troy took away the deep threat of Jalen Tolbert and Jalen Wayne. Trotter and company found success underneath with one of his favorite targets being Lincoln Sefcik.
In the second half offensive coordinator Major Applewhite and Trotter pieced together a 19 play, 76 yard drive for a touchdown that drained 9:52 off the clock.
Offense
Let’s get the stats out of the way.
On average the Jags are scoring 28.6 points per game. They are rushing for an average of 135 yards, throwing for an average of 252.9 yards, and putting up an average of 387.9 total yards per game.
They are converting 47-of-131 (36%) of their 3rd down attempts and 19-of-28 (68%) of their 4th down attempts.
Their red zone trips have resulted in points on 33-of-39 (85%) times, with 28 of them being touchdowns.
Jaguar quarterbacks have been sacked 19 times on the season.
With the interception and fumble against Troy the offense has now had 15 turnovers, six have been interceptions along with nine lost fumbles out of 12 total fumbles.
Jake Bentley currently stands at 184-of-262 passing which is a 70.2% completion rate for 2,122 yards, 15 touchdowns, and five interceptions. Trotter is 21-of-34 (61.8%) for 154 yards, two touchdowns and an interception.
Jalen Tolbert has caught 58 passes for 1,032 yards and six touchdowns, for back-to-back 1,000 yard seasons for the Jags.
Jalen Wayne has 37 catches for 414 yards and two touchdowns. Caullin Lacy has 34 catches for 269 yards and Lincoln Sefcik has 26 catches for 201 yards and three touchdowns. Avery is the last player with double-digit catches with 17 for 92 yards and three touchdowns.
Terrion Avery has hit triple digit carries on the season now with 118 for 474 yards with one touchdown. Bryan Hill has 67 carries for 297 and three touchdowns. Kareem Walker, who didn’t see any playing time last week, has 63 carries for 237 yards and four touchdowns.
Defense
The defense played quite a good game outside of a pair of touchdown drives late in the first quarter and early second. The other two touchdown came on a very short field after a fumbled handoff attempt and a pick-six.
On to the numbers.
The defense is allowing an average of 22.1 points per game, 117.2 rushing yards, 202.1 passing yards, and 319.3 total offensive yards per game.
Opponents are converting 39-of-125 (31%) of their third down attempts and 9-of-16 (56%) of their 4th down attempts. Opponents have scored on 20-of-30 (67%) of their red zone trips, out of those 20 scores only 14 have been touchdowns.
The Jags defense have taken the ball away from opponents 18 times, 12 have been by interception and six have been fumbles. They’ve also sacked opposing quarterbacks 24 times on the season.
Quentin Wilfawn leads the defense with 45 total stops, 18 solo with 1 sack and 2.5 tackles for loss. Trey Young is not far behind with 41 total stops, 24 solo, with 1.5 tackels for loss and tied for the team lead with three interceptions.
Charles Coleman III and CJ Rias are tied for the team’s sack lead with three each. Christian Bell is next in line with 2.5 sacks. Then Wy’Kevious Thomas, Chris Henderson, Shawn Jennings, and Jamall Hickbottom all have two sacks each.
Jamal Brooks leads the team with 5.5 tackles for loss. Wy’Kevious Thomas right behind him with five tackles for loss.
Darrell Luter is tied with Young with three interceptions.
Special Teams
Diego Guajardo made all four extra points and his only field goal attempt against the Trojans. He is now 29-of-31 on extra points and 10-of-14 on field goals, with a long of 48.
Jack Brooks has punted 38 times with an average of 42.5 yards per attempt with 11 downed inside the 20 and nine have traveled over 50 yards.
Keys to the Game
Establishing the Run
The coaches will probably ease Trotter into the game. Look for them to probably lean on the run quite a bit and use short, high percentage throws to make sure he is comfortable and get him going, especially against a ball-hawking secondary like the Mountaineers field.
With Trotters dual threat ability you’ll likely see more zone read looks than what they call with Bentley. If that is successful then that could open up Wayne and Tolbert for some big plays down field.
Stopping the Run
App State thrives on running the ball. The Jags defense loves to shut down the run.
Who wins that battle could determine the game.
App State runs the ball to open up the pass. When they can open up the pass they are a very hard team to beat.
The Elements
Weather forecasts are calling for a cold and breezy game in Boone. It may not snow but it may feel like it should when they are playing.
The training staff will have to ensure that all the players warm up properly in pre-game and stay warm throughout the game.
Cold weather tends to make skin and extremity injuries more painful due to the cold’s effect on the sensory nerves. Players also tend to be an increased risk of muscle strains and tears, usually to the hamstring, quadriceps and calf muscles. But with winds over 5 mph and temperatures around 40 or below you can experience hypothermia or cold-induced asthma.
Special teams players are usually at a heightened risk as they only play intermittently and are expected to go “all out” without significant warm up time.
Skill players also need to keep their hands warm or risk fumbles or dropped balls as well.
Prediction
It’s not like the Jaguars are having to prep and start a quarterback who’s never started before. Trotter has 14 starts in his career at South Alabama.
But the Jags will also be getting some players back from injury. James Jackson looks to be ready to suit up, but it’s not a certainty he will start or play. If an injury happens to occur, Trey Simpson could move back over to guard and Jackson could potentially play at center. Wilfawn and CJ Rias may both be able to play as well. Having any or all of these will help tremendously.
Will it be enough?
The Jags are a 21.5 point underdog on the road against the Mountaineers. With that number I’ll definitely take the Jags and the points.
Can the Jags win outright?
They’ve responded to losses like Texas State and ULM with some big wins. They need at least one more this season to get bowl eligible.
It won’t be easy on the road. Boone is a tough place to enter and leave with a win and the elements may not be the most favorable. But I think the Jags can do just that. It’ll be a bit of a statement win on the road against a conference foe.
Go Jags!
Preview: Battle For The Belt Edition, Jags Look To Bring The Belt Back From Troy
Kickoff: Saturday November 6, 2:30pm
Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, Alabama
TV/Streaming: ESPN+
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags Twitter: @USAThunderjags
#5 Jersey: Darrell Luter
It’s Battle for the Belt Week.
South Alabama (5-3, 2-3 SBC) came out of the locker room ready to play from the opening whistle. They scored touchdowns on each of their first four possessions in route to a 31-13 win over Arkansas State (1-7, 0-4 SBC).
The only touchdown allowed came on the ensuing kickoff after the Jags fourth touchdown of the first half.
Jalen Tolbert scored the first two touchdowns for his 9th career touchdown against the Red Wolves.
Terrion Avery is only the second Jaguar to rush for over 100 yards in a game this season. The last was Kareem Walker against Alcorn State back in week 3 of the season.
Second half adjustments by Arkansas State really stymied the Jaguars offense in the second half. They had negative yardage in the third quarter. While the offensive adjustments by the Red Wolves helped them to have more production in the second half, the Jaguar defense kept them out of the end zone and forced four turnovers.
Now the Jags are just one win away from bowl eligibility.
But they also being the much talked about three-game road swing. It all begins on the road in Troy, AL.
Troy
The Trojans are 4-4 overall, 2-2 in Sun Belt play and the largest margin of defeat was 13 points to the ULM. Both of their conference wins have been by 3 points (27-24 over Georgia Southern in Troy, 31-28 over Texas State in San Marcos). Both conference wins came by late game heroics.
The two conference losses have come at the hands of ULM (29-16) and Coastal Carolina (35-28).
Their two non-conference wins were over Southern (55-3) and Southern Miss (21-9). Their losses were to Liberty (21-13) and South Carolina (23-14).
Offense
Here are the Trojans by the numbers. They are averaging 27.4 points, 138.3 rushing yards, 243.7 passing yards and 382 total offensive yards per game.
They are 41-of-99 (41.4%) on third down situations. They are 6-of-11 (54.6%) on fourth down situations.
In the red zone they have scored 19-of-25 trips, with 15 of them being touchdowns.
The offense has fumbled the ball 8 times and lost possession 6 times. Quarterbacks have thrown 4 interceptions on the season.
Kimani Vidal leads the running back corps with 105 attempts for 553 yards and 5 touchdowns. BJ Smith has 248 yards on 54 attempts with 2 touchdowns. Jamontez Woods has 222 yards on 40 carries with 4 touchdowns.
Taylor Powell, a transfer from Missouri, started the first four games of the season before being sidelined by a knee injury. Powell is 101-of-153 for 960 yards, 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions in those four games.
Gunnar Watson has started the last four games and is 68-of-100 for 746 yards and 6 touchdowns without an interception. Watson started nine games last season before being beaten out for the job by Powell.
Tez Johnson is the teams leading receiver with 46 catches for 481 yards and three touchdowns.
Reggie Todd in the next leading receiver with 21 catches for 257 yards and a touchdown. However Todd has been indefinitely suspended after being arrested on a charge of hindering prosecution in relation to a shooting during a high school football game at Ladd-Peebles Stadium on October 15.
Three other receivers have over 100 yards receiving on the season and five have 10 or more catches on the season.
While the offense hasn’t been overly productive, they really been kept in games by their defense.
The Jags know how that goes.
Defense
The Troy defense is a scrappy, stingy unit.
Statistically speaking the Trojans defense allows an average of 21.6 points, 99.9 rushing yards, 211.4 passing yards, and 311.3 total yards of offense per game.
Opponents are converting 35-of-101 (34.7%) 3rd down attempts and 6-of-9 (66.7%) 4th down attempts.
When opponents get into the red zone, they have scored all 13 times, however less than half have been touchdowns (6-of-13).
As a team the defense has 59 tackles for loss with 27 sacks, 13 interceptions, and 3 fumble recoveries.
Linebacker Carlton Martial from Mobile’s McGill-Toolen HS, leads the team with 70 total tackles, 31 solo, 8 tackles for loss, a sack, and an interception.
The next two combined come up one short of Martial’s total. Javon Solomon from the Bandit position has 35 total stops, 19 solo with 11.5 tackles for loss and team leading 8 sacks and an interception. Linebacker KJ Robertson has 34 total stops with 3 tackles for loss and 1/2 sack.
The defense kept the game against Coastal Carolina close in the fourth quarter. The Chanticleers gambled with a fake punt on a 4th and 4 from their own 31, which paid off in their favor. Though they still had to punt a little later, they were able to burn more time off the clock before doing so.
The Trojan defense forced three interceptions in the fourth quarter against Texas State. One of them went for a touchdown which provided the go-ahead score.
The week before that the defense collected an interception which allowed the Trojans to drive and get the game-winning field goal with 1:46 left in the game.
Troy’s defense ranks 18th in the nation in total defense, 39th in passing yards allowed, 20th in rushing defense, T36th 3rd down conversion percentage, and T10th in turnovers gained. Which right there with the Jags.
Special Teams
Brooks Buce is 4-of-4 on field goal attempts, his longes of the season is only 34 yards and is 24-of-25 in extra point attempts.
Luke Magliozzi has punted 38 times on the season with an average of 42.8 yards per kick, 15 fair catches, 9 downed inside the 20, 7 have gone 50+ yards with the longest being 65 yards.
South Alabama
One win away from bowl eligibility. Did any fans think this would happen a year ago?
It’s a testament to head coach Kane Wommack and his staff for the progress they’ve been able to make through eight games.
Offense
Four touchdowns on their first four possessions. This is type of execution a coach wants to see.
Statistically the Jags are averaging 29.1 points, 133.4 rushing yards, 261.1 passing yards and 394.5 total yards of offense per game.
They are converting 43-of-115 3rd down attempts (37%) and they are converting 13-of-20 on 4th down (65%).
The offense has given the ball away 13 times with 8 fumbles loss on 10 total fumbles and five interceptions.
Terrion Avery, who wore the honorary #5 jersey, showed why he earned. Avery was only the second Jag rusher to run for over 100 yards this season. He continues to be the Jags leading rusher with 399 yards on 95 carries with a touchdown.
Bryan Hill is next in line with 271 yards on 58 carries with three touchdowns. Kareem Walker, in only his second game back from a quad inury, has 237 yards on 63 carries with four touchdowns in five games of action.
Jake Bentley is the first Jag in five seasons to throw for over 2,000 yards. And he’s only 2/3rds of the way through the season!
On the season Bentley is 181-of-259 (69.9%) for 2,073 yards and 15 touchdowns.
Not only is Jalen Tolbert leading the team, but he’s among the best in the conference and the nation in receiving. He has 54 catches for 967 yards with six touchdowns.
Jalen Wayne is next in line with 34 catches for 385 yards and two touchdowns. Caullin Lacy has 262 yards on 32 catches. Lincoln Sefcik has 17 catches for 146 yards with three touchdowns.
Defense
South Alabama’s defense held the Red Wolves to only 28 yards of total offense in the first half. The rushing yardage was -12! Though they weren’t quite as dominant in the second half, they didn’t allow a single touchdown.
Statistically the defense is allowing an average of 21 points, 118.5 rushing yards, 202.2 passing yards and 320.8 total offensive yards per game.
Opponents are converting 33-of-113 (29%) of their 3rd down attempts and 9-of-16 (56%) of their 4th down attempts.
On the season they have 54 tackles for loss with 24 sacks. Jamal Brooks, despite not playing, still leads the team with 5.5 tackles for loss. Charles Coleman III tied CJ Rias for the team lead with 3 sacks.
With Darrell Luter’s two interceptions he jumps Tre Young into the team lead with 3 on the season.
Quentin Wilfawn leads the team with 36 total stops, 18 solo with two tackles for loss and a sack. Keith Gallmon and Yam Banks are still tied with 35 stops each and both have 21 solo.
The first two interceptions last week came at great times. The Red Wolves were starting to move the ball some and the Jags were able to shut those drives down with turnovers. The final one simply sealed the game with a nice exclamation point.
Special Teams
Diego Guajardo connected on all four extra points against Arkansas State, he’s not 26-of-28 on the season. He also connected on a 39 yard field, his only attempt of the night, to put the icing on the game. He’s not 9-of-13 on the season.
Jack Brooks’ punting averaging a solid 41.6 yards per attempt.
Keys to the Game
Offensive line
Which way the game goes will greatly depend offensive line play. Both defenses create havoc which results in negative plays and turnovers.
The Jaguar offensive line needs to communicate and play well in a hostile environment. If they can give Bentley and his receivers time, the Trojan defense is susceptible to big plays. Can you think of a better pair of receivers ready to exploit a secondary deep than the two Jalen’s?
Playing Behind Schedule
The Trojan defense generate a lot of negative plays. The Jaguar offense will have to find a way to be comfortable playing behind schedule.
That means they need to come to terms with and be comfortable executing 2nd-and-12 or 3rd-and-long situations. They don’t necessarily need to get all the yards back in a chunk but they must execute each and every play with a neutral mindset.
A player does not need to be heroic when behind schedule, they just need to execute their job each and every play at a high level no matter the previous outcome.
Injuries
You can’t talk about injuries without circling back to point number one: offensive line.
The Jags are thin as gift tissue paper on the offensive line right now. Center James Jackson injured his knee a couple of games ago. Hadon Merchant missed last week with a knee injury. Right guard Anterrious Gray suffered a concussion against Arkansas State and will have to clear the concussion protocol in order to play against Troy.
Due to Jackson’s injury, Trey Simpson moved from guard to center. If neither Jackson nor Merchant are able to play against Troy, that would likely leave Kent Foster and a group of freshmen and former walk-ons to back up the interior of the offensive line.
But that’s not all.
Jamal Brooks missed playing time against Arkansas State due to a shoulder injury that he had been trying to play through.
Bryan Hill broke a 47 yard run, his only carry of the game, but exited the game with a shoulder injury of his own.
Not only do they need to stay healthy but, if needed, they need to be ready if their number is called.
Prediction
Head coach Kane Wommack talked to the team about the Battle for the Belt rivalry on Monday. He brought in the empty case that houses the belt when under South Alabama’s care.
The Trojans have won the last three games in the series and currently holds a 6 games to 3 advantage in the series.
The last time the Jags won was in 2017 when coach Wommack was the defensive coordinator.
What could be sweeter than the Jags ending the three winning streak, bringing the belt back home, and getting bowl eligible against your in-state rival?
But Troy would like to keep their streak alive and also get within one game of bowl eligibility themselves.
Troy is favored by 3.5 points in the game. Basically an even game but given the three point home boost. I think the Jags get it done and win outright, get bowl eligible, and bring the belt back to Mobile.
Go Jags!
South Alabama’s Fast Start Leads To 31-13 Win Over Arkansas State
The South Alabama Jaguars got their third-consecutive win over Arkansas State and is now one game away from earning bowl eligibility after the 31-13 win.
A pair of Jalen Tolbert touchdown receptions in the first half and a pair of interceptions by Darrell Luter Jr in the second half propelled the Jags (5-3, 2-3 SBC) over the Red Wolves (1-7, 0-4 SBC).
The Jags opened the game with an 8 play, 79 yard touchdown drive on their first possession. A great mix of run and pass where the shortest gain was of 5 yards was capped off by a 13 yard touchdown pass by Jake Bentley to Jalen Tolbert.
The offense got the ball back after Arkansas State went three-and-out. The Jags only needed 7 plays to cover the 75 yards for the score. Jalen Tolbert got his second score of the game and his 9th overall against the Red Wolves when Jake Bentley connected with him for 30 yards.
Alan Lamar returned the kickoff 52 yards to give the Red Wolves the ball in Jaguar territory for the first time in the game. The Jags defense were backed up with ASU getting a 1st and goal at the 7 yard line after a pass interference penalty. On 4th and goal at the 1 Chris Henderson hurried quarterback Layne Hatcher and helped force an incomplete pass.
The Jaguar offense took over possession at their own 1 yard line with 1:41 left in the opening quarter. Terrion Avery barely got the ball out of the end zone saving a safety on the first play from scrimmage. When it was all said and done the Jags put together a 18 play, 99 yard touchdown drive that was capped off by a two yard touchdown pass from Bentley to Avery. The drive took 8:31 off the clock with the Jags up 21-0.
The defense forced another three-and-out and pushed the offense back 16 yards as they did it.
Bryan Hill took the first handoff and scampered 47 yards to the Red Wolves 14 yard line. Then Bentley connected with Brandon Crum for a 14 yard touchdown to cap off the 2 play, 61 yard drive for a 28-0 advantage.
Alan Lamar took the ensuing kickoff 100 yards to give Arkansas State their only touchdown of the game to make the halftime score 28-7.
“I thought it was a tremendous first half in terms of our execute,” head coack Kane Wommack said. “I thought we did a poor job on our kickoff unit, we have to get better there. But outside of that, we really played with a lot of effort and energy. We executed at a high level. It was a good response victory to a week ago against Louisiana-Monroe where I didn’t think we played anywhere near the standard offensively, defensively, special teams.”
Arkansas State came out hot early in the second half but the Jags defense got a stop when needed and forced a 32 yard field goal and cutting the score 28-10 with 10:05 left in the third quarter.
The South Alabama offense’s next three possession all were three-and-outs.
Arkansas State’s first two possessions after the field goal all ended with turnovers. The first was a fumble forced and recovered by AJ DeShazor. The second was Darrell Luter’s first interception of the game.
On the second play of the fourth quarter, Jake Bentley was intercepted when his pass intended for Tolbert was taken away by the defender. But the Jags would get it back a few plays later when Devin Rockette caught the ball as he was sliding down.
The Jags defense bent but refused to break again when the Red Wolves drove down to the Jaguar 17 yard line. A sack on 3rd and 7 took the option of going for it out of ASU head coach Butch Jones’ playbook and forced them to settle for a 43 yard field goal to shrink the lead to 28-13 with 6:22 left in the game.
The onsides kick attempt bounced and went off a Jaguar player out of bounds at the 50 yard line. On the kick Arkansas State’s Corey Rucker was injured. After a long time on the turf on the Jags sideline, he was finally helped up but immediately was assisted through the Jags bench towards the tunnel until the cart came to take him into the locker area.
Terrion Avery got 23 yards on the first play of the possession but the offense could not muster much else. Diego Guajardo made it a three score game with a 39 yard field goal for the 31-13 final score.
Darrell Luter got his second interception to ensure Arkansas State would not have another opportunity to score.
Game Stats
After putting up 352 total yards of offense in the first half. The Jags were negative in all three yardage categories in the third quarter. Their total yards was -5, their rushing yardage was -4 and their passing was -1 yard.
“I thought we played very hard and aggressive on defense the entire game,” Wommack said. “You look at the numbers and you can see that it was a dominating performance by our defense [only allowing] 242 yards total, giving up 38 yards rushing. They were 3-of-13 [on third down]. We stopped them in the red zone on fourth down. Obviously getting four takeaways on defense is huge and tremendous.
“Offensively, we did such a great job in the first half. I thought Arkansas State responded well in the second half. They competed their tails off, particularly their defense. I thought offensively, they did some challenging things that we had to continue to adjust to and we did. We’ve got to be more consistent though. When we can operate at such a high level at the beginning of the game, we need to do that in the third and fourth quarter as well.”
The Jags ended the game with 424 yards of total offense, they rushed for 173 yards and threw for 251 yards.
They were 5-of-14 (36%) on third down attempts and 2-of-3 (67%) on 4th down attempts. They had 23 first downs in the game, 20 of them came in the first half.
Arkansas State finished the game with 224 total yards of offense after going into halftime with 28 yards. They ran for only 38 yards and passed for 186.
The Jags defense held the Red Wolves to only 3-of-13 (27%) on third down and 1-of-2 (50%).
Arkansas State had 232 kickoff return yards, more than their total offensive output for the game.
Jake Bentley went 29-of-39 for 251 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Jalen Tolbert caught 8 passes for 94 yards and two touchdowns. Jalen Wayne, Caullin Lacy and Lincoln Sefcik all caught five passes for 42, 39, and 35 yards respectively. Brandon Crum cuaght 3 passes for 31 yards and a touchdown. Terrion Avery’s only catch of the game went for a 2 yard touchdown.
Terrion Avery carried the ball 22 times for 113 yards. Bryan Hill had one carry before injurying his shoulder and it went for 47 yards. Kareem Walker had 5 carries for 26 yards.
Quentin Wilfawn led the defense with 11 total stops, 6 solo with 1/2 sack. Ke’Shun Brown had two tackles for loss with one sack. Charles Coleman III had 1 1/2 sacks. Luter had one tackle for loss to go along with his two interceptions. Devin Rockette had 1/2 tackle for loss to go along with his interception.
Layne Hatcher was 19-of-37 for 186 yards and three interceptions. Corey Rucker caught 4 passes for 67 yards.
Lincoln Pare had 8 carries for 32 yards. Johnnie Lang had 7 carries for 20 yards.
The Jags have the most wins (5) since the 6-7 record in the 2016 season, the last appearance in a bowl game.
“…the standard and capability of this team is not five wins,” Wommack said. “It’s disappointing that it’s been so long since we’ve had five wins as a program, but at the same time we need to be process oriented. To me, we are not where we can be, but we’ve created an opportunity for this team to play our best ball at the end of the year and that is really exciting.
“You appreciate what you have, because at the end of the season there are a lot of teams sitting there that don’t get to compete or play their best football at the end of the year and they don’t have opportunities to better themselves in a bowl game and all the preparation that comes with that. We do have those things, but our process and consistency has to get better. This was a great win, but we need to move the dial forward in this program, and until we become a consistent football team, we will not achieve our goals.”
Next Game
The Jags will travel to Troy for the annual Battle for the Belt game against the Trojans. Kickoff in Troy, AL is scheduled for 2:30pm.
South Alabama Falls On The Road At ULM 41-31
The South Alabama Jaguars couldn’t get it done in Monroe as the Jags fall 41-31 to Louisiana-Monroe. The Jags record falls to 0-4 in Monroe, LA. and the Warhawks extend their lead in the series to 5-3.
The Warhawks (4-3, 2-2 SBC) grab control of the game early. They took the opening possession down the field in chunks with gains of 12, 18, 19 and 20 yards. The drive only took 7 plays to score with a 20 yard touchdown run by Andrew Henry.
The Jags (4-3, 1-3 SBC) start driving on their first possession of the game however a completion to Jalen Tolbert was knocked loose and recovered by the Warhawks at their 42 yard line.
ULM was driving and looking to go up two scores however a very similar situation happened. Quarterback Chandler Rogers connected with Will Derrick, Jamal Brooks knocked the ball loose and Keith Gallmon picked it up and returned it 26 yards to the USA 38 yard line.
USA tied the game on the possession when Bentley connected with Jalen Wayne in the back of the end zone on a 4th and 3 play at the ULM 10 yard line.
Bentley was intercepted early in the 2nd quarter which led to a touchdown pass to Jared Sparks for the Warhawks to go back up by a touchdown, 14-7.
The Jags answer with a field goal from 28 yards out. Facing 3rd and 6 at the Warhawk 7 yard line Bentley couldn’t find a receiver and was sacked for a three yard loss.
The Jags defense kept them out of the end zone but couldn’t keep them off the scoreboard. Calum Sutherland connected on a 39 yard field goal for a 17-10 advantage.
The Jags and the Warhawks traded scores with ULM taking a 24-17 lead into the halftime locker room.
South Alabama came out in the second half with some urgency. They took the opening possession and drove down the field methodically. The 10 play, 85 yard drive spanned 4:43. Jalen Tolbert called off the drive with an 8 yard touchdown reception to tie the game at 24-all.
ULM could not convert a 4th and 3 at the Jags 33 yard line turning the ball over on downs. The Jags only needed four plays to put it into the end zone again. The drive was capped off when Bentley connected with Tolbert for a 40 yard touchdown to go up 31-24.
The Jags offense went cold and the defense got worn down after that. ULM scored 17 unanswered points to go up 41-31.
The Jags got the ball back after the final score of the game, a 40 yard field goal, with 6:21 left in the game. Facing 3rd & 19 Bentley scrambled for 14 yards to the ULM 21. However Diego Guajardo’s 39 yard field goal attempt missed wide left with only 1:22 left on the clock.
USA managed to get the ball back with 1:00 left in the game, but it was too little too late.
The Jags defense allowed a season-high 554 total yards of offense. The Warhawks passed for 369 yards and rushed for another 185 yards.
ULM converted 7-of-13 3rd down attempts (54%), the best conversion rate the Jags have allowed this season.
Chandler Rogers was 25-of-35 for 369 yards with four touchdown passes.
Boogie Knight caught 6 passes for 75 yards and a touchdown. Will Derrick had 135 yards on 5 catches, including an 81 yard touchdown reception.
Andrew Henry carried the ball 18 times for 88 yards and a touchdown as the leading rusher.
The Warhawks also won the turnover battle 2-1.
The Jags had 409 total offensive yards, 320 through the air and 89 on the ground. They converted 6-of-16 of their 3rd down attempts (37.5%). They were also 3-of-4 on 4th down attempts (75%).
Jake Bentley went 30-of-41 for 320 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions.
Jalen Tolbert set the record for career touchdown receptions in the game and also set a school-record seventh 100-yard game of his career. He caught 10 passes for 155 yards and two touchdowns. Terrion Avery caught seven for 48 yards. Jalen Wayne caught 5 for 36 yards and a touchdown.
Avery led the Jags backfield with 87 yards on 14 carries. Bryan Hill had 10 yards on 5 carries. Kareem Walker had 5 carries for 3 yards in his return to action.
“I thought ULM did a nice job of attacking our seams,” head coach Kane Wommack said. “They did a good job attacking some of the zone windows. Their quarterback was very decisive. Credit Rich Rod [offensive coordinator Rich Rodriguez] on what he was able to do… I thought he did a nice job of continually adjusting and keeping us off balance and off kilter. At the same time, we call things and we have to know that our guys are in this position.”
“I thought it was an all-around thing,” Wommack said as to what he thought led to the struggles in the game. “There wasn’t enough effort or execution.”
“To build consistency in a program is the only way that we are going to be able to get to where we want to go,” Wommack said. “That means consistent effort, consistent execution, consistent adjustment and we are not there as a program right now and we have to be. We have to get to that point. It’s not all going to change in year one, but we’re capable of it, and so we have to be able to go do it.”
The Jags return home on Saturday, October 30 when they host Arkansas State for a 4pm kick at Hancock Whitney Stadium for the Jags Homecoming game.
South Alabama Snaps Two-Game Skid, Gets First Ever Win Over Georgia Southern 41-14
South Alabama finally got the monkey off their back, defeating Georgia Southern and also breaking a two-game losing streak in an impressive rout, 41-14.
The Jags (4-2, 1-2 SBC) took control from the opening possession and never really let the Georgia Southern Eagles (2-5, 1-3 SBC) take flight. They took the opening kickoff and drove 84 yards in 10 plays to put up the opening score. Jake Bentley capped the drive off with a 12 yard run.
In each of the previous five games, the Jags first possession has been a three-and-out. So not only getting their first 1st down on an opening possession, but scoring a touchdown were both firsts for the 2021 team.
The Jags added to their lead with a 42-yard field goal by Diego Guajardo with 2:03 left in the opening quarter.
The defense forced a punt with little over a minute left in the opening quarter. Only a minute into the second quarter the Jags were back on the board with Jake Bentley’s second rushing touchdown of the game, this time from six yards out.
On the ensuing possession the Eagles were quickly facing a 3rd and 6 from their own 29 when CJ Rias picked off the pass at the Georgia Southern 40 yard line. Then the first offensive play Bentley connected with Jalen Tolbert down the near sideline for a 40 yard touchdown to go up 24-0 with 12:29 left in the second quarter.
South Alabama’s defense forced another punt after being aided by a holding penalty. All the offense needed was three plays to go 70 yards with a 5 yard touchdown pass by Bentley to Jalen Wayne to put the Jags ahead 31-0 with 9:08 left until hafltime.
Georgia Southern finally got on the board on a 15 play, 75 yard drive. The Eagles opted for the 2-point conversion, which they got, to cut the Jags lead to 31-8 with 2:00 left until halftime.
GSU opened the second half with a 10 play, 48 yard drive culminating in a 44 yard field goal to put the score at 31-11 with 10:22 left in the third quarter.
A 58 yard run by Bryan Hill set up Bentley’s second touchdown pass of the game. Bentley connected with Lincoln Sefcik for his second touchdown of the season. It gave the Jags a 38-11 advantage with 3:41 left in the third quarter and ending the 11-unanswered point streak by the Eagles.
The fourth quarter began with a 34 yard field goal on the second snap of the quarter. It would end up being Georgia Southerns final points of the game.
The Jags tried to answer on the next possession however Diego’s 43 yard field goal flew wide right.
The next Jaguar possession Diego got another opportunity to put one between the uprights, which he did from 31 yards out to set the final score.
Jake Bentley is the first Jaguar to account for five touchdowns in a game. He ran for two and threw for three more in the game. He is also the first Jaguar quarterback to throw for over 300 yards in a game since Evan Orth did in 2018.
Bentley finished with 389 yards and three touchdowns on 24-of-31 passing. He also ran six times for 8 yards after sack yardage was subtracted.
Desmond Trotter was 1-of-2 for 16 yards at the end of the game.
Bryan Hill led all rushers with 65 yards on eight carries. Terrion Avery carried the ball 10 times for 43 yards.
Jalen Tolbert broke the record with the most 100-yard receiving games in Jaguar history. He caught 11 passes for 174 yards and a touchdown after being targeted 18 times in the game.
Jalen Wayne added 117 yards on 7 receptions with a touchdown.
Justin Tomlin went 5-of-13 passing for 49 yards and an interception. Cam Ransom went 2-of-12 for 63 yards.
Logan Wright led the Eagles backfield with 60 yards on 14 carries. Ransom added 23 yards on 10 carries.
Amare Jones led the Eagles receiving corps with 90 yards on four receptions. Emil Smith caught two passes for 20 yards. Beau Johnson caught 1 pass for 2 yards.
South Alabama rolled up 545 yards of total offense to Georgia Southern’s 233. The Jags threw for 405 yards to GSU’s 112 and the Jags out rushed the Eagles 140-121.
Offensively the Jags converted 7-of-12 3rd down attempts to GSU’s 9-of-21. USA was 5-of-6 in red zone scoring, the one trip without a score was at the end of the game when they allowed time to expire.
South Alabama’s CJ Rias collected the only turnover of the game with an interception. GSU put the ball on the ground once in the game but were able to recover it.
The Jags scored on five of its first six possession while the defense forced three-an-outs on four of Georgia Southern’s first five possessions. The other was Rias’s interception.
“It just felt free,” Bentley said. “The game plan going in was to be aggressive. We consistently did that all night, up-front, on the perimeter, we just really attacked all night. It felt really good as an offense to really get rolling and put up some points.”
“You think of how we’ve opened games and how we’ve opened drives, to take the ball and score the first drive of the game, and the defense continue to get three-and-outs,” head coach Kane Wommack said after the game. “They made some adjustments on their side and got some momentum, and we adjusted right back and took it away from them. That, to me, is awesome against a very proud program. But this program has been waiting to beat that team for a very long time and we got it done tonight.”
“You have to be able to build off momentum,” Wommack said. “A team that’s never had those situations.”
“The guys in that locker room have never responded to adversity and found ways to win.” Wommack continued. “And that’s what this group is doing right now.”
Speaking of adversity, the Jags had a long list of injured players sitting out the game. Center James Jackson (knee), wide receiver Caullin Lacy (ankle), linebacker Shawn Jennings (ankle) and tight end Trent Tyre (undisclosed) all missed the game due to injuries suffered in the last week.
Running back Kareem Walker (quad) missed his third consecutive game with his nagging injury.
Tight end Lincoln Sefcik, running back Terrion Avery, left tackle Ja’Chai Baker, and linebackers Chris Henderson and Ke’Shun Brown all missed some practice time this week after suffering injuries against Texas State last weekend.
Next Game
South Alabama has a couple extra days to rest and prepare for their trip to Monroe, Louisiana to take on the ULM Warhawks. Kickoff is scheduled for 6pm on Saturday, October 23.
Preview: South Alabama Hosts Georgia Southern For Thursday Night Matchup
Kickoff: Thursday October 14, 6:30 pm
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium Mobile, Alabama
TV: ESPNU
Radio: Sports Talk 99.5 fm, 96.1 fm The Rocket, iHeartRadio App
We saw another first from the South Alabama Jaguars on Saturday evening against Texas State. It was the first time under first year head coach Kane Wommack that the Jaguars faltered coming down the stretch.
Through the first four games the Jags (3-2, 0-2 SBC) have started slow but in each of them they rallied towards the final whistle. Three of them were wins and one was a loss.
While the Jags still opened slowly against the Bobcats, they took control and had a 17-7 lead at halftime.
They led 24-10 early in the fourth quarter.
Momentum shifted decisively into the Bobcats favor when a flea flicker attempt went awry. Running back Bryan Hill technically fumbled the ball away on the stats sheet, however his lateral intended for Jake Bentley was plucked out of the air by a Bobcat defender.
The Jags have quite a tough assignment this week.
They have to clear their minds, rest their bodies, and yet they still need to prepare to host Georgia Southern on Thursday night after that very physical game in San Marcos, Texas.
Georgia Southern
The Eagles (2-4, 1-2 SBC) dismissed head coach Chad Lunsford after a 28-20 loss to Louisiana in the fourth game of the season after starting the season 1-3. They then split the two games since then with a win over Arkansas State (59-33) and last Saturday a loss to Troy (27-24) on a very late field goal.
They fought back from a 24-3 deficit early in the third quarter to tie the game with 6:08 left in the game. Aided by an interception, Troy regained the lead with 1:46 left in the game. The Eagles had an opportunity tie or win the game, but quarterback Justin Tomlin threw his third interception near midfield with :32 left to seal the game.
They too have a short week but at least they have to travel to Mobile for the game.
Offense
As is normal for a Georgia Southern offense, they are a predominately running offense.
They average just under 381 yards of total offense per game. The running game accounts for an average of just over 253 yards per game and they pass for 127.5 yards per game on average.
However the script was flipped for the Eagles against Troy. Georgia Southern only managed to run for 82 yards against the Trojans but threw for 219 yards.
Georgia Southern scores an average of 24.8 points per game. They have only converted 27-of-86 3rd down attempts (31.4%) on the season. They have converted 9-of-17 4th down attempts (52.9%).
As a team they have thrown 5 interceptions and fumbled 7 times, but only lost 1 fumble to opponents.
In the red zone the Eagles have scored 14 times out of 16 trips. Of those 14 scores, 8 of them have been touchdowns.
Logan Wright leads the Eagles backfield with 66 carries for 481 yards and five touchdowns on the season. Gerald Green accounts for 342 yards on 48 carries with five touchdowns. Jalen White has ran 32 times for 210 yards and two touchdowns.
The Eagles have a bit of a two quarterback system going on. Justin Tomlin has carried the ball 50 times this season for 116 yards and two touchdowns. Passing he is 38-of-77 for 458 yards, no touchdowns but four interceptions. Cam Ransom is 25-of-49 for 242 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions.
The Eagles only have three receivers with over 100 yards receiving so far on the season. Khaleb Hood leads the receiver corps with 22 catches, the only receiver in double digits, for 230 yards. Running back Logan Wright is next with 9 catches for 102 yards. Derwin Burgess Jr has four receptions for 101 yards.
Defense
GSU allows an average of 32.7 points per game.
They allow an average of 483 yards per game. However they only allow 144.2 yards rushing per game. But they allow 338.8 yards passing per game.
Their 3rd down defense is pretty strong with opponents converting 31-of-78 (39.7%) on 3rd down. Opponents have only attempted 9 4th down attempts and only converted 2 (22.2%).
Safety Anthony Wilson leads the defense with 34 total tackles, 19 of them solo, with two tackles-for-loss, one sack, three pass break ups and a forced fumble.
Safety Justin Birdsong is second with 32 total tackles, 18 of them solo, with 1.5 tackles for loss, .5 sack, and a pass break up.
Gardner-Webb opened the season with only 50 yards rushing against the Eagles defense, but they threw for 365 yards. The Eagles squeaked out a 30-25 win over the FCS opponent.
Their only other win was against Arkansas State when they held the Red Wolves to 81 yards rushing but allowed 453 yards passing in route to the 59-33 victory.
When Georgia Southern holds their opponents to under 100 yards rushing they are 2-0 this season. But when they allow over 100 yards, they are 0-4.
Against Louisiana they only allowed 129 rushing yards and lost the game 28-20. Against Troy they allowed 139 yards and lost 27-24.
Special Teams
Anthony Beck averages just a hair under 45 yards per punt. His longest on the season is 60 yards and he has 12 downed inside the opponents 20 yard line.
Alex Raynor has converted 5-of-6 field goal attempts with a long of 42 yards. The one missed attempt was blocked. Raynor has 13 kickoffs with six touchbacks.
Freshman Britton Williams is 3-for-3 in field goal attempts with a long of 49 yards. Williams has handled 18 kickoffs with five touchbacks and two out of bounds.
South Alabama
The Jags have a laundry list of injured players that are in various stages of recovery from the game. Running back Kareem Walker, who has missed the last two games, should be able to return on Thursday. Running back Terrion Avery, wide receiver Caullin Lacy, offensive tackle Ja’Chai Baker, tight ends Trent Tyre and Lincoln Sefcik, and linebackers Chris Henderson, Shawn Jennings and Ke’Shun Brown are all trying to recover from being banged up against the Bobcats, but should be able to play.
Center James Jackson suffered an injury to this right knee and will not play on Thursday.
Add in A.J. DeShazor’s disqualification for targeting in the second half of the game in San Marcos, the Jags will be without him in the first half against Georgia Southern as well. With Jennings’ being banged up, that means Juco transfer Trey Kiser will likely see more action.
Offense
The Jags offensive line has been particularly hit by injuries, however Jackson’s injury is the most significant. This will be the sixth different starting offensive line configuration in six games. You’ll likely see Trey Simpson move over to play center with Josh McCulloch at left tackle, Hadon Merchant at left guard, Anterrious Gray at right guard and Antawn Lewis at right tackle.
After last weeks performance, Bryan Hill only managed to run for 17 net yards on 13 carries against the Bobcats. AJ Phillips was the Jags leading rusher with 19 carries for 72 yards and two touchdowns, his first career score as a Jaguar. Caullin Lacy ran four times for 23 yards.
The Jags have done a good job developing their run game so far this season. They entered the season with Walker and Avery as the top two backs. Now with the emergence of Hill and Phillips, the Jags have developed depth at a position that was lacking it somewhat.
But the running backs would not be having as much success if the offensive line had not continued to improve as well.
The run game success translated into play-action passing and increased vertical passing opportunities as seen against Louisiana two weeks ago.
Georgia Southern’s defense has been pretty good against the run but susceptible to the pass by allowing an average of 338.8 yards per game.
If the Jags run game can get some footing early then Jalen Tolbert, Jalen Wayne, Caullin Lacy, and Cade Sutherland should be able to find some success against the Eagles.
Defense
For the first time this season the Jags defense struggled coming down the stretch against Texas State. They allowed two touchdown drives in the fourth quarter. Up until that point the Jags only allowed one touchdown all season in the fourth quarter
Though they were missing AJ DeShazor due to disqualification and had three linebackers banged up.
They allowed 399 yards of total offense, the most so far this season, and 212 yards rushing, also the most allowed so far this season.
Maybe one of their toughest assignments yet is coming to town.
Georgia Southern runs the triple-option, an offense that has given the Jags fits historically.
So much so the Jags have yet to notch a win against the Eagles.
The first five meetings between the two were decided by 22, 38, 15, 52, and 35 points. However the last two meetings were decided by a field goal in overtime in 2019 and a touchdown last season.
Head coach Kane Wommack said that he and defensive coordinator Corey Batoon’s defense had facets built in that would naturally help defend against the triple option.
Special Teams
Diego Guajardo made all of his extra points against Texas State and is now 13-of-15. He missed a 28 yard attempt attempt against the Bobcats but connected on a 35 yard attempt. He is now 5-of-7 on the season.
Jack Brooks averages 41.4 yards punt with 7 downed inside the opponents 20 yard line and no touchbacks.
Keys to the Game
Stopping the Run
Georgia Southern isn’t the traditional triple option team that they once were. But running the ball is still 100% their identity.
When they’ve been held to under 100 yards rushing this season they are 0-2. Over the last few years when their opponent out gains them on the ground, they have lost all 20-some-odd games.
The South Alabama defense has ranked very high in the nation in run defense. Coach Wommack said that their defensive scheme has elements to it that help to stop their type of rushing attack too.
Rushing Offense
Being a predominately run offense, the Eagles defense tends to be pretty good against the run themselves.
When they have been able to take away the run and force their opponents to be one dimensional with the pass, they have excelled.
However when the opponent has success on the ground, gets favorable down and distances, and can use play-action passing to their advantage their opponents have done well.
The Jags have tall, athletic receivers in Jalen Tolbert and Jalen Wayne. The Jags have an average height advantage over the defensive backs of 3 inches. Tolbert has shown that he is one of the best receivers in the Sun Belt and possibly in the nation too.
If they can establish that run game and use play-action to get some man-to-man coverage on the outside with either Wayne or Tolbert then they could have a field day with the Eagles secondary.
Offensive Line
The Jags offensive line is a banged and bruised up group right. They’ve been that way all season though.
They have yet to start the same five guys in the same five positions twice this season.
Trey Simpson is slated to move over to center while while James Jackson will miss the game with a right knee injury. Thankfully it doesn’t look too serious or season ending.
Left tackle Ja’Chai Baker missed some time last Saturday due to injury.
They’ll need to be ready to go come Thursday evening.
Prediction
South Alabama is only a few plays away from being 5-0. But they are also only a few plays away from being 1-4 as well.
As an article a couple weeks ago pointed out, the Jags have a run of four games that should be very winnable. The first was Texas State.
Next up is Georgia Southern.
This may not be a must-win game in order to keep hope alive to get bowl-eligible. But the difficulty increases week by week. The last three game will be against the three most difficult teams on the schedule. The game before that three-game stretch is at Troy. Need I say more?
The time to win is now.
Also, let’s get that first win against Georgia Southern. Having that big zero staring at you from the win column each and every year is really old.
The Jags are a 3 point favorite according to the different odds sites. I think the Jags win but I’m not sure if they will cover. It may be yet another nail biter decided late in the game.
Let’s get to 4-2 and a win closer to bowl eligibility.
Go Jags!
Preview: South Alabama Travels To Texas State For First Road Conference Game Of The Season
Kickoff: Saturday October 9, 6 pm
Venue: Bobcat Stadium, San Marcos, Texas
TV: ESPN+
Radio: Sports Talk 99.5 fm, 96.1 fm The Rocket, iHeartRadio App
All eyes are on South Alabama this week. Not because of any national implications (not yet anyway). But because fans are eager to see how the Jaguars respond after the first loss under first year head coach Kane Wommack.
The Jags (3-1, 0-1 SBC) have spent the week preparing for their first conference road game of the season at Texas State (1-3, 0-0).
Last Saturday the Jags dropped their game to Louisiana 20-18 despite having two opportunities to take the lead late in the game. The first was a 4th and 1 at the 4 yard line where Jake Bentley’s pass was ruled incomplete, though Lincoln Sefcik insists that it was a catch. The other was a 37-yard field goal attempt that was missed wide right with 1:06 left.
This all transpired after the Jags fought back from a 20-0 deficit early in the second quarter. The Jags scored 18 unanswered points after that point giving themselves the opportunity to win the game. This was against the Sun Belt Conference West Division Champion for the last three seasons and the preseason choice to win it again.
As coach Wommack said in the post game press conference, the Jags played some of their best football in the last 40 minutes of the Louisiana game.
All the focus has shifted to Texas State though.
The Louisiana game is over and in the past. The Jags control their future and have to approach each game as if their record is 0-0.
A neutral mindset.
Texas State
Despite playing four games, the Bobcats are still quite a mystery.
They opened the season with a 29-20 loss to Baylor and an overtime win over Florida International. However the team was without more than a dozen players in their last two games due to injuries and Covid protocols. They lost to FCS Incarnate Word 42-34 and to Eastern Michigan 59-21.
They’ll host the Jags coming off a well-timed bye week.
Offense
The Texas State offense is led by quarterback Brady McBride, a 2020 transfer from Memphis. He’s thrown seven touchdowns so far this season.
McBride is another dynamic running quarterback. After facing Alcorn State and Louisiana, hopefully this will only help the Jags to be prepared for his style of play.
The Bobcats average 24.5 points and just under 333 yards of total offense per game. They average 196.5 through the air and 136.3 on the ground per game.
Calvin Hill has 239 yards rushing on 49 carries, appearing in all four games. Brock Sturges is next with 151 yards on 33 carries with two touchdowns in three games. Jahmyl Jeter has 96 yards on 17 carries with three touchdowns in four games. McBride has 36 rushing yards, but that is after 87 yards has been deducted from his total gain to account for runs for loss and sacks.
McBride is 79-of-137 passing on the season for 786 yards, seven touchdowns and three interceptions.
Marcell Barbee leads the Bobcats with 209 yards receiving on 20 catches with three touchdowns. Javen Banks is next with 13 catches for 148 yards and two touchdowns. Ten other receivers have caught passes on the season, the highest among them has 84 yards on 7 catches.
In addition to the three interceptions McBride has throw, the offense has fumbled the ball six times and lost two of them to the opponent.
Texas State is converting 38% of their 3rd down attempts (21-of-56). But have converted 5-of-7 4th down attempts (71%).
The Bobcats have been very efficient in the red zone so far this season. In all 14 trips they have come away with points, 10 trips they came away with touchdowns.
Defense
The Bobcats allow an average of 36.8 points and 435 total yards of offense per game. That breaks down into an average of 175 yards rushing and 260 yards passing per game.
Opponents are completing over 60% of their passing attempts. They are 85-of-140 for 1,040 yards with 10 touchdowns. Texas State has only picked off one opponents passes.
Opponents have converted 31-of-58 3rd down attempts (53%) and 2-0f-3 4th down attempts (67%).
When opponents get into the red zone they are scoring 80% of the time (16-of-20). Of those 16 scoring trips, 13 of them have been touchdowns.
Along with the one interception, the defense has forced nine fumbles and recovered five of them.
Defensive back Troy Lefeged Jr leads the defense with 28 total stops, 12 of them solo. Zion Childress, a safety, is next with 26 total stops, 16 solo along with the lone interception and two forced fumbles. In all three of the top four tacklers all come from the secondary, the lone exception is a linebacker.
Texas State’s pass rush ranks 107th in the nation with only three sacks this season.
Special Teams
Placekicker Seth Keller is perfect on the season, he is 5-for-5 on field goals with his longest being 48 yards. He has also made all 11 extra point attempts.
Punter Seamus O’Kelly is averaging 38.4 yards per kick. He only has two that have gone 50 yards or more and only three have been downed inside the 20.
Jacob Bates had handled all but two of the kickoffs with nine touchbacks and one kick out of bounds.
The kick returners have returned 11 kicks for an average of 19.4 yards. One has gone for a 60 yard return but there have been no kickoff returns for a touchdown.
South Alabama
Offense
The Jags offense had another sputtering start to the game last Saturday. Each of their first offensive possessions this season have been three-and-outs.
Often the problems are self-inflicted with negative-yardage plays and getting behind the down and distance schedule.
It’s possible the Jags get their leading rusher, Kareem Walker, back this week after sitting out last game with a quad issue. However Bryan Hill stepped in and ran the ball great in Walker’s absence.
Offensive stats wise, the Jags are averaging 24.8 points with 363 yards of total offense per game. That breaks down to 131.8 yards rushing and 231.8 yards passing per game.
They have converted 21-of-60 3rd down attempts (35%) and 5-of-10 4th down attempts (50%) through four games.
Kareem Walker not only leads the team in rushing yards (208) but also in carries (53) and touchdowns (4). Terrion Avery has 142 yards on 45 carries and a touchdown in four games. Bryan Hill already has 132 yards rushing on 31 carries with three touchdowns in only two games.
Jake Bentley is 79-of-122 (65%) for 927 yards, two touchdowns and one interception.
Jalen Tolbert leads the team with 20 catches for 460 yards. Caullin Lacy has 19 catches for 152 yards and Jalen Wayne has 15 catches for 153 yards. The only receivers to catch touchdown passes have been Walker and Trent Tyre.
Along with the one interception, the offense has fumbled the ball six times and lost five of them.
Defense
The Jags defense continues to rank high nationally.
South Alabama is third in the nation in Stop Rate (percentage of possessions that end in a punt, turnover, or turnover on downs). The Jags stop rate is 84.6% which only trails Georgia (93.4%) and Iowa (85.7%) on the list.
In numerous categories they rank in the top 20 nationally like Total Defense, Scoring Defense, Rushing Defense, and Pass Efficiency Defense. They lead the country in third-down conversion rate (19%), is 3rd in the nation in total first downs allows per game (14.8), and opponent’s red-zone scoring percentage (54.5%).
Statistically on the season they allow 16.8 points and 288.8 yards of total offense per game. That breaks down to 191 passing yards and 97.8 yards rushing per game.
As you can see, its a very stingy defense.
Jamal Brooks and Yam Banks lead the defense with 16 total stops each. Banks has 10 solo stops and Brooks has nine.
Wy’Kevious Thomas, Tre Young, and AJ DeShazor each have 15 stops with Young coming in with the most solo at 11.
The defense has forced five fumbles and recovered four. They also have 4 interceptions on the season for a total of eight takeaways.
Special Teams
Diego Guajardo missed his first field goal attempt near the end of the Louisiana game, however he has made his four other attempts on the season. Of the four he’s made, three of them have been in the 40 yard range with the longest coming from 48 yards out.
Guajardo also missed two extra points. The sure-footed kicker had his first attempt blocked then a second one hit off the right upright on a very wet night at Hancock Whitney Stadium.
Jack Brooks is averaging 41 yards per punt, three of them have gone over 50 yards with the longest traveling 53 yards. He’s had six downed inside the opponents 20 yards line with no touchbacks. One of his 22 attempts was blocked (Bowling Green).
Guajardo had handled 20 kickoffs with eight touchbacks.
Keys to the Game
Fast Start Offensively
The Jags offense has started each of the four games with a three-and-out. They’ve been marred by negative plays and played behind the chains each time.
They could really use at least a few first downs on their opening possession. Even better, take the opening possession down the field for a touchdown.
Turnovers
I always hate to use turnovers as a key to the game, because they always are. It’s common sense. But sometimes it just needs to be spotlighted.
With five lost fumbles on six overall fumbles through the first three games, the Jags did an excellent job of protecting the ball against Louisiana. Despite the often rainy conditions and wet field, the Jags didn’t put the ball on the ground once in the game.
Nor did they throw an interception.
They are +2 in turnover margin on the season after forcing the Cajun fumble.
First Down Production
The Jags were able to establish the run fairly early in the game against Louisiana. Bryan Hill and the Jags running backs were able to get some big chunks on first down.
They were giving offensive coordinator Major Applewhite 2nd and short. As a play caller, your offensive playbook is wide open in those situations.
You saw what they can do too.
Bentley was able to throw deep down field off play-action for Tolbert and Wayne. Some of them turned into some big gains and flipped field position.
Tolbert will out jump just about anyone to make a catch. If the defender doesn’t keep Wayne in front of him, he is a danger to take one to the end zone any play.
Prediction
The Jags have yet to win a game in San Marcos, Texas. They have come close a couple of times. This is a great time to end that shutout.
They also haven’t won back-to-back road games since 2015 (San Diego State & Troy).
Last year the Jags put up season-high numbers in first downs, rushing attempts, total plays and time of possession. The offense didn’t turn the ball over a single time. The defense allowed their fewest rushing yards and fewest average gain per play on the season. Basically it was the best game, statistically, the Jags played last season.
So far this season, Texas State has one of the nations worst pass rushes with only three sacks thus far. The Jags offensive line have been pretty good protecting Bentley with most the sacks allowed have been coverage sacks. Also the Jags average over 9 yards per pass attempt (24th in the nation) while the Bobcats allow 7.4 yards per pass (79th in nation).
There’s just a lot that stacks up in the Jags favor, but are those numbers actually reflective of the Bobcats considering the injuries and Covid protocols?
South Alabama enters as a 3.5 point favorite in most odds sites.
As I highlighted during the Jags bye week, this should be one more winnable games on the Jags remaining schedule. It would also get them 2/3rds of the way to bowl eligibility as well.
I think the sting of a loss will motivate the players and coaches. They will use it as a bit of a get-right game. The Jags win and they will cover.
Go Jags!
South Alabama’s Comeback Falls Short In 20-18 Loss To Louisiana
South Alabama went toe to toe with Louisiana-Lafayette but came up short in their upset bid, falling by a score of 20-18.
The Jags (3-1, 0-1 SBC) had opportunities late to take the lead over the Ragin’ Cajuns (3-1, 2-0 SBC). Diego Guajardo just barely missed a 37-yard field goal with 1:06 left in the game.
In the previous offensive drive, the Jags had the ball 4th and 1 at the Cajuns 4 yard line. Head coach Kane Wommack opted to keep the offense on the field. The snap to quarterback Jake Bentley was low and rolled on the ground. Bentley picked it up and rolled to his right and tossed the ball towards a diving Lincoln Sefcik however the ball was just too short and incomplete.
Two missed extra points and a failed two-point conversion attempt also left points on the field for the Jags.
Cajuns’ Chris Smith took the opening kickoff to the Jaguars 13 yard line. Smith would get the touchdown a couple plays later to put Louisiana on top 7-0 with under a minute off the clock.
The Jags offense was stuck in reverse and went three-and-out.
The Cajuns kept the ball on the ground and gashed the defense for second touchdown on only four plays. Runs of 13, 8, 14 and capped off by quarterback Levi Lewis’ 22 yard touchdown run. USA then trailed 14-0 with 11:10 left in the opening quarter.
The Cajuns got down to the Jaguar 23 at the end of the first quarter. The defense stood their ground and forced a 43 yard field goal attempt by Nate Snider, however sailed wide right.
Coach Wommack and the Jags special teams were looking to catch Louisiana off guard with a fake punt early in the second quarter. However Jack Brooks couldn’t get to the edge and ended up losing 3 yards and giving the ball back to the Cajuns at the Jags 31 yard line.
Two Emani Bailey’s runs later and the Cajuns were back in the end zone. However Nate Snider missed the extra point leaving the Cajuns with a 20-0 lead with 11:23 left in the second quarter.
South Alabama finally put points on the board just before halftime. Bryan Hill ran the ball and Bentley connected with Jalen Wayne to move the ball down the field. Hill finally punched it in on 3rd and goal at the 1. Guajardo’s extra point was blocked leaving the Jags trailing 20-6 with 1:33 left in the half.
The Jags came out in the second half with a completely different air about them. They had an air of confidence about them.
South Alabama looked to Bryan Hill and Jalen Tolbert to jump start the offense. Hill was the workhorse, but it was a pass to Tolbert for 49 yards that flipped the field. Hill capped off the drive with a two yard touchdown. The extra point attempt by Guajardo missed to the right leaving the Jags trailing 20-12 at the 4:20 mark in the third quarter.
USA got the ball back after the defense forced a three-and-out on the ensuing possession.
It looked like the Jags were going to go three-and-out themselves but a snap to Keith Gallmon, the up man, who took it 38 yards to the Louisiana 13 yard line. Jake Bentley carried it in for the touchdown with 12:51 left in the game.
The coaches opted for the two-point conversion since they trailed by two points. Bentley was pressured and rolled to his left and missed seeing a wide open Terrion Avery on the right side of the field and took a sack.
Jags get the ball at their own 20 yard line with 9:58 left in the game. Their second offensive play Bentley went deep for Jalen Tolbert, who high pointed the ball perfectly, and came down with a 61 yard catch at the Cajuns 13 yard line.
Facing 4th and 1 at the 4, the ill-fated snap occurred where the ball rolled to Bentley then the throw was short for Sefcik and giving the Cajuns the ball at their own 4 yard line with 6:20 left in the game.
The Jags offense got the ball back at their own 35 yard line with 3:20 left in the game. On the second offensive play again, Bentley went deep to Jalen Wayne for 34 yards and flipped the field once more.
Terrion Avery put the ball on the left hashmark at the 19 yard line with 1:11 left in the game for the potential game-winning field goal from 37 yards out. Guajardo’s kick looked like it was going to slip inside the upright, but instead it barely slipped outside the right upright.
The Jags put up 387 yards of total offense, 144 rushing and 243 passing.
Bryan Hill led the Jags with 81 rushing yards on 22 carries with two touchdowns. Gallmon had 38 yards on the one run. Avery added 27 yards on 10 carries.
Bentley went 19-of-29 for 243 yards.
Tolbert led all receivers with 6 catches for 143 yards. Wayne added 5 catches for 56 yards. Lacy had 5 catches as well for 19 yards.
USA was 6-of-17 on 3rd down attempts and 3-of-5 on 4th down attempts. USA also led the way in time of possession with 36:47.
The South Alabama defense held the Cajuns to 283 total yards of offense, 225 rushing and 58 passing.
Emani Baily rushed for 81 yards on seven carries. Quarterback Levi Lewis rushed for 61 yards on 10 carries.
Lewis went 9-of-20 for 49 yards. Chandle Fields came in for one play and completed his only pass attempt for 9 yards.
Cajuns had three receivers who all caught two passes each and four players with one catch each.
The Cajuns only converted 2-of-10 3rd down attempts and converted their only 4th down attempt.
Next Up
South Alabama will travel to San Marcos, Texas to face Texas State on Saturday, October 9 with kickoff scheduled for 6pm. The game will be streamed online on ESPN+.
Preview: South Alabama Hosts Louisiana For A ‘White Out’ In Sun Belt Opener
Kickoff: Saturday October 2, 7 pm
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium Mobile, Alabama
TV: ESPN+
Radio: Sports Talk 99.5 fm, 96.1 fm The Rocket, iHeartRadio App
South Alabama will host Louisiana-Lafayette in their Sun Belt Conference opener on Saturday. This is a huge game for the Jags, probably the biggest game since moving on campus to Hancock Whitney Stadium.
The Ragin’ Cajuns (4-1) have earned three consecutive Sun Belt West Division titles in three seasons under head coach Billy Napier, including back-to-back 10-win seasons. This is the type of consistency that head coach Kane Wommack wants his team to achieve.
Napier is 31-12 as a head coach and 20-5 in conference play, all at Louisiana-Lafayette. Previously he spent time as recruiting coordinator, tight ends coach, and quarterbacks coach during his stint at Clemson. During his stops at Alabama he was an offensive analyst and later a wide receivers coach.
The Cajuns have won the last five match-ups in the series. The last time the Jags prevailed was a seven point victory in 2015. However six of the last seven games have been decided by 10 points or less, the lone exception was last years 38-10 loss in Lafayette.
Last season the Jags were held to a season-low passing total while allowing the most rushing yards on the season. The Cajuns did it with big plays too, they have double-digit number of 20-plus yard plays on the Jags.
South Alabama
The Jags (3-0) have their best start ever in FBS program history under first-year head coach Kane Wommack. After a 31-7 win over Southern Miss, the Jags had two closer contests against Bowling Green (22-19) and Alcorn State (28-21).
After a bye week to correct some things exposed early in the season, the Jag will return to action on Saturday when they open conference play against the Ragin’ Cajuns.
Defense
The key to the Jags success so far this season has been their excellent play on defense.
The Jags are ranked 1st in the nation in 3rd down conversion percentage defense, 1st in red zone defense, 3rd in rushing yards allowed, 3rd in first down defense, tied for 12th in sacks, 18th in scoring defense, 24th in total defense, tied for 30th in turnovers gained, 79th in team tackles for loss and 81st in passing yards allowed.
The defense is allowing an average of 15.7 points per game to their opponents and only 55.3 rushing yards per game. Opponents are passing for 235.3 yards per game on average.
The defensive secondary has been hit with a number of explosive passing plays in the last two games.
Offense
The Jaguar offense has not been as consistent as the defense. They tend to start games slow but eventually find their way. But they also have periods in the game where they have trouble moving the ball.
The Jags are 97th in the nation in total offense and rushing yards per game, and 3rd down conversion percentage. They are a paltry 126th in 1st down offense, 121st in fumbles lost on the season, and 108th in tackles for loss allowed. But they are tied for 43rd in red zone offense and 48th in time of possession.
While those numbers look pretty grim, the offense is averaging 27 points per game this season, 355 yards of total offense per game, and 5.1 yards per play.
The lack of consistency is what really hampers the offense.
Hopefully the break has allowed the offensive line to get healthy once again. With a healthy offensive line and some work with the running backs urgency to hit the holes, the Jags rushing game will improve. If they can get the running game established earlier in games it will really open up the offensive playbook a lot.
However it looks like they may have to do it without running back Kareem Walker as he has been nursing an injury since last week.
Louisiana
Louisiana (4-1) opened the season with a power 5 loss to Texas but have won three straight, including their conference opener at Georgia Southern last Saturday.
Offense
The Cajuns offense is averaging 423 total yards per game. The throw for an average of 271.7 yards per game and rush for another 151.3 yards per game. They are also averaging 30.5 points per game.
In Cajun fashion, they have not just one running back but three who rotate playing time. Chris Smith just barely edges out Montrell Johnson in rushing attempts (43 to 41) and yards (191, 183). Johnson has four touchdowns though to Smith’s two.
Emani Baily has 168 rushing yards on just 27 carries too.
Dontae Fleming leads the receiving corps with 11 catches for 152 yards and a touchdown. Kyren Lacy has 10 catches for 110 yards and a touchdown. Jalen Williams has nine catches for 109 yards.
Levi Lewis is a dual threat quarterback. He is 85-for-130 for 1,047 yards and seven touchdowns this season with only one interception. He’s gained 125 yards on the ground but lost 64 yards in negative plays and sacks so he only has 61 yards rushing officially.
However it was announced three offensive linemen are out for the season. Two of them are listed on the two-deep, however one is a starter. Additionally they have lost their starting kicker for the season as well.
Defense
The Cajuns needed a late defensive stop to hold on to the win over Georgia Southern last week. The eagles got within one score with 1:34 left after a 76 yard touchdown run.
They also forced two fumbles and an interception in the game.
Louisiana-Lafayette allows an average 413.3 yards of total offense per game. Opponents throw for 235.3 yards per game and rush for 178 yards per game. Georgia Southern ran for 278 yards on the Cajuns despite the loss.
Opponents are converting almost 50% of their 3rd down attempts.
Keys to the Game
Start Fast Offensively
The Jags offense tends to start games a bit slow. After a couple of possessions though, they tend to hit their groove.
They may not be able to get away with that against the Cajuns.
Avoid lots of three-and-outs
The Cajuns defense allows quite a bit of yards but they tend to get stops when they need to. The offense needs to convert some first downs on each possession to give the defense time to rest and to help win the field position game.
Late in the game against Alcorn State, the Jags offense had some three-and-out situations and the Jags defense were visibly getting tired. But they still came up big when needed, including a game-clinching interception in the end zone.
Louisiana is a stronger opponent and allowing the defense to get some rest between possessions will help to keep them fresh.
Turnovers
The Jaguar defense has been spectacular in forcing seven turnovers on the season. However the offense has fumbled the ball away five times. Then there was that pick-six at Bowling Green. So the team is only +1 in turnover margin.
Hopefully the defense can continue their turnover havoc. On the other hand, the offense needs to slow their roll.
In a study over a four year period from 2009-2012, a team that averaged a turnover margin of +1 per game could expect about nine wins per season with all other things being equal.
Jag Fans
This may be the first time the crowd truly makes a huge difference in a game.
Yes fans and crowds make differences in games to a point but this one is different. This one could be even more impactful.
This is South Alabama’s first attempt at a “white out” in their new on-campus home.
Penn State has used the “white out” to their advantage a number of times. This could be the beginning of a similar tradition for South Alabama.
So wear WHITE, be LOUD, and create a great ENVIRONMENT!
Prediction
I think this has been one of the games that’s been circled on the calendar for a few weeks now. This is a bit of a measuring stick game too. Where does the team stack up against the back-to-back-to-back Sun Belt Conference West Division Champions.
The Jags have had an extra week to prep for this game. The administration and athletic department are going all out with a “white out” theme. This game clearly means a little more.
The Cajuns opened at a 10.5 point favorite in the game and it has since gone up to 12.5 points.
I think the Jags cover and also I think they win this game outright.
Go Jags!
South Alabama’s Path To Bowl Eligibility: A Look Into The Crystal Football
After the last few seasons, how many people who would have thought the South Alabama would start the season 3-0 and looking at the prospects of getting bowl eligible?
That’s half way to bowl eligibility.
With nine games left, they have plenty of opportunities to win at least three more games. To do so, they have some work to do. But that’s a topic for another article.
In only three game it’s really looking like the hiring of Kane Wommack is the shot in the arm that the South Alabama program needed.
The cultural shift has been nothing short of phenomenal.
Seeing the way the team plays this season versus last season, it’s like night and day. The team responds to adversity in positive, productive ways.
They have bought in.
I don’t know if coach Wommack has a name for his approach, but his “neutral mindset” approach is similar to what other successful head coaches have implemented.
Nick Saban has “The Process” and is in the midst of an unprecedented run in college football at Alabama. P.J. Fleck has the mantra “Row the Boat,” which he’s used to bring Minnesota out of irrelevance in the Big 10. In Fleck’s case, he uses three physical items to reinforce his approach: the oar, the boat, and the compass.
Both Saban and Fleck concentrate on what you can control and living in the present. You cannot change the past. You have no way to know what the future will hold. They all focus on the next play.
Coach Wommack has consistently talked about having a neutral mindset approach. It’s his version of “the process” or “row the boat.” He stresses for the players to approach the next play with a neutral mindset: forget about the past and focus on the next play.
Breaking the Rules
We are going to go against his philosophy and actually take a look ahead. We are going to look down the remaining nine games and guess the likelihood that the Jags can get those necessary wins for bowl-eligibility.
What’s in Store
October 2nd vs Louisiana-Lafayette
Billy Napier is in his 4th season at the helm with back-to-back 10-win seasons under his belt. He also had the Cajuns ranked in the top 25 for a bit last year. However they had to eek out a 27-24 win over FCS Nicholls State in week two of the season.
The Cajuns will have to travel to Georgia Southern before coming to Mobile. Meanwhile the Jags will have an extra week to rest, heal and prepare with a bye week. This could be a game the Jags earn an upset win.
October 9th at Texas State
The Bobcats are have not won more than three games in a season in the last several years. The two teams have faced each other six times since 2013 and the series is evenly split 3-3 with neither team collecting a road win over the other.
The bobcats are probably one of the weaker teams the Jags will face in Sun Belt Conference play. If they play like they should, this should be one of the three wins they need to earn bowl eligibility. However the Bobcats will have a bye week before facing the Jags.
October 14th (Thursday) vs Georgia Southern
The Jags have never defeated the Eagles in any of their seven contests. Though, over the last two seasons, the Jags have closed the scoring gap between the two schools. The 2019 game taking two overtime periods for the Eagles to leave with a 20-17 win.
Georgia Southern opened the season with a struggle win over Gardner-Webb 30-25. They then were spanked by Florida Atlantic 38-6. Last week they were spanked again by #20 Arkansas.
Georgia Southern will travel to Mobile on a short week for a Thursday night game. That will be just after traveling to Troy for a 7pm game the previous Saturday. But the Jags will also have a short week, however they will not have the burden of traveling for the game.
This may be one of the winnable games for the Jags. It would be a huge monkey-off-the-back wins for the program as well.
October 23rd at ULM
The Warhawks had their bye week on the second week of the season, that’s really early. Their first game was a 35 point loss to Kentucky then a 12-7 win over Dion ‘Prime Time’ Sanders coached Jackson State, an FCS school.
The Warhawks only managed four field goals in the win.
However that’s an improvement over their winless 0-10 season in 2020. Though the season was hampered by players missing games due to Covid.
This may be the weakest Sun Belt team the Jags face this season. Historically the Jags are 0-3 in Monroe and this would be another opportunity for coach Wommack and the team to get another monkey off the programs back.
October 30th vs Arkansas State
Arkansas State hired Butch Jones to replace Blake Anderson. Jones was previously an analyst at Alabama as was offensive coordinator Major Applewhite.
Talking about getting a monkey off their back, last year the Jags were able earn their first win in Jonesboro, Arkansas in their fifth try.
After a long run of success, the Red Wolves finished the 2020 season 4-7. They sat home during bowl season for the first time since 2010.
So far this season ASU only has a win over FCS Central Arkansas. They lost a 55-50 shootout against Memphis in week two, then avoided a shutout against Washington in a 52-3 loss last week.
This should be a winnable game for the Jags. A lot of it depends on what first-year head coach Butch Jones does between now and then.
November 6 at Troy
This starts a four week stretch very stiff competition for the Jags. It’s also the first of three consecutive road games.
The Jags have lost the last three “Battle for the Belt” contests. They have also lost four of the last five. The only win in that stretch is the 2017 defensive slugfest when coach Wommack was defensive coordinator.
The Trojans have wins over Southern (55-3) and Southern Miss (21-9) on the season. They lost their second game of the season 21-13 to Liberty.
The Trojans missed an opportunity to get to .500 and bowl eligible when their season finale against ULM was cancelled leaving them with a 5-6 record overall.
In what’s looking like a pattern, the the Trojans will have a couple extra days to prepare to host the Jags. However they will be coming off a Thursday night game against current conference leader Coastal Carolina.
While the last three games have not been particularly close games, this season should be different. This will likely be a close game, as rivalry games should be. But it should be winnable.
November 13 at App State
The Jags have struggled against the Mountaineers the last two times they’ve faced each other (2018 and 2019). In those two games the Jags were defeated by a combined score of 82-10.
Overall the Jags are 1-3 against the Mountaineers. Their only win was a 47-21 contest in Boone in 2014 but then fell to them the following year.
The Mountaineers came up a little short of upsetting #22 Miami 25-23 in week two of the season. They opened the season with a win over East Carolina then defeated Elon the week after the Miami game.
Last night they struggled for most of the game against Marshall. They gave the ball away twice and Marshall capitalized with 10 points off of them. But the missed field goal by the Thundering Herd allowed the Mountaineers to kick a field goal in the fourth quarter and to hold on at the end for a 31-30 win.
Appalachian State will be a tough challenge and will be the second consecutive road contest for the Jags. Additionally it’s after the “Battle for the Belt.” This is one of the more unlikely games for a Jaguar win. But it’s never impossible.
November 20 at Tennessee
Tennessee will be favored in the game. It’s an SEC team vs a Group of Five team.
While the Jags and the Vols last faced off in 2013, the Jags gave them a run for their money in the 31-24 loss. The Jags even lead for a bit in Neyland Stadium.
The Jags had the ball 4th & goal at the Vols 8 yard line but an interception dashed the Jags hopes of a win over an SEC program. They would have to wait until 2016 for that.
Tennessee defeated Bowling Green to open the season 38-6. They’ll enter the game after hosting Georgia (currently ranked #2 in the nation).
It may be a good time for the Jags to visit Knoxville, but I wouldn’t depend on this game to get bowl eligible. A win in this game would be more of an attention-getter and a resume builder for postseason play. It would also be a good introduction of coach Wommack as a definite coach to watch in college football.
November 26 vs Coastal Carolina
The Jags finally end get a home game after three-consecutive road contests. However it will be a short week, but only by a day, as they face off on Friday after Thanksgiving.
The Jags and the Chanticleers have split their two meetings on the field. The Jags welcomed them to Mobile and full conference membership with a 31-28 win in 2018.
Last season they met for the second time with the Chanticleers ranked #15. The Chanticleers sent the Jags home from Conway with 23-6 loss.
They opened the season with a 52-14 win over The Citadel. In week two, they defeated Kansas in Conway 49-22. Last week they went into Buffalo and came away with a 28-25 win.
Both teams will go into the game losing one day of preparation, however the Jags will be the home team. Hopefully the Jags will already have earned bowl-eligibility, because needing to get a win against the Chanticleers would not be an ideal situation. But if the Chanticleers come in with a Thanksgiving hangover, maybe the Jags can capitalize with an upset win.
Gazing into the Crystal Football
(The teams listed in each section are by schedule, not by projected toughness.)
The easiest path to six wins: Texas State, Georgia Southern, ULM, Arkansas State. Win any three out of these four games and they are bowl-eligible.
The next best chance or the “we showed those prognosticators wrong”: Louisiana-Lafayette, Troy, App State. Along with going towards bowl-eligibility, winning any of these would be making a statement to the other programs in the conference that South Alabama is on the rise again.
The long shots or the “we stole the towels on the way out” wins: Tennessee, Coastal Carolina. Winning any of these games, especially Tennessee, would be a rather huge statement and would make for a particularly special season.
Final Thoughts
The Jags best chances for bowl-eligibility all line up over a four week stretch next month.
They could reach six wins before Halloween.
After Halloween the Jags strength of schedule really ramps up. The final four games will be the toughest challenge all season with the first three all on the road. They will be @Troy Nov 6, @App State Nov 13, @Tennessee Nov 20, then home vs Coastal Carolina Nov 26.
The competition in the first three games has been, admittingly, fairly soft. Additionally they have had plenty of struggles in those games, so getting to the six-win mark isn’t a given.
In order to achieve this lofty goal the Jags must continue to live by coach Wommack’s “neutral mindset” mantra.