Preview: A Season Finale Cat Fight Between Jaguars and Bobcats

November 28, 2024 · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comment 

Kickoff: Friday, November 29, 2:30pm
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
TV/Streaming: ESPN+
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags on X (formerly known as Twitter): @USAThunderjags


South Alabama punched their bowl ticket with a win last Saturday at Southern Miss. But they also kept their chances alive to win the Sun Belt Western Division title. In order to realize that, they need some help this week from Louisiana-Lafayette’s cross-state rival Louisiana-Monroe.

But first, the Jags have to take care of their own business and get a win against Texas State in order to keep those dreams alive.

The Jags (6-5, 5-2 Sun Belt Conference) and Texas State (6-5, 4-3 SBC) will meet at Hancock Whitney Stadium on Senior Day for South Alabama. If they win, they can sit back on Saturday and watch how the Sun Belt Conference divisions play out. Both division crowns will be determined this weekend.

What is South Alabama facing when the Bobcats come to town for a good ole cat fight? Let’s get familiar with the Bobcats head coach and take a look through the season stats for both teams.

Texas State

GJ Kinne is completing his second season at the helm in San Marcos. He has already taken Texas State to new heights in his short time in charge. He led them to a FBS program record 8 wins in his first season and their first-ever appearance in a bowl game.

When he took over the program, they had not had a winning season in 9 years. In an age of NIL and the transfer portal, Kinne brought in 53 scholarship newcomers and 71 total new players over the spring and summer of 2023. They got the programs first-ever win over a Power-5 program when they defeated Baylor to start the 2023 season. They tied for 2nd place in the west division and earned a 45-21 win over Rice in the Servpro First Responders Bowl in Dallas, TX for their first bowl win.

Kinne and his staff have overhauled the Bobcat offense since arriving in San Marcos. They were the nations most improved offense in 2023 with a 15-point improvement in scoring offense and finished 14th in the nation in scoring and total offense.

Offense

The Bobcats ranks 1st in Scoring Offense and Total Offense, 2nd in Offensive Efficiency, 3rd in Passing Offense, and 4th in Rushing Offense in the conference.

StatAverage per game
Points36.4
Total Offense469.3
Passing Offense267.1
Rushing Offense202.2
Time of Possession30:13
Penalty Yards59.6
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs61 of 138 (44.2%)
4th Downs12 of 20 (60%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts35 of 42 (83.3%)
Red Zone Touchdowns29 of 42 (69%)
Penalties – Yards71 – 655
Fumbles – Lost18 – 8

Jordan McCloud, the former JMU quarterback, now leads the offense in San Marcos. So far this season he is 226 of 327 (69.1%) for 2,672 yards with 28 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also adds 249 yards on 62 carries with 6 touchdowns.

McCloud spreads the ball around pretty well as you’ll see. Joey Hobert leads the team with 59 catches for 581 yards and 7 touchdowns. Jaden Williams leads the team with 644 receiving yards on 48 catches with 6 touchdowns. Kole Wilson has 40 catches for 567 yards and 4 touchdowns. Chris Dawn Jr has 30 catches for 370 yards and 6 touchdowns.

Ismail Mahdi leads the Bobcats rushing attack with 844 yards on 163 attempts with 3 touchdowns. Torrance Burgess Jr has 344 yards on 54 carries with 2 touchdowns. Lincoln Pare has 315 yards on 48 carries with 5 touchdowns.

Defense

The Bobcats ranks 1st Forced Fumbles, 2nd in Defensive Effenciency, 3rd in Total Defense, and 3rd in Scoring Defense, Rushing Defense and Passing Defense in the conference.

StatAverage per game
Points23
Total Offense345.3
Passing Offense197
Rushing Offense148.3
Time of Possession29:47
Penalty Yards43.9
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs58 of 162 (35.8%)
4th Downs12 of 23 (52.2%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts32 of 37 (86.5%)
Red Zone Touchdowns21 of 37 (56.8%)
Penalties – Yards65 – 483
Fumbles – Lost18 – 7

Jordan Polk leads the team with 56 total stops, 28 solo, with 3.5 Tackles for Loss and a sack. James Neal is next on the team with 47 total stops, 23 solo, with 1.5 TFLs

Kalil Alexander leads the team with 5.5 sacks and also adds 7 TFLs. Steven Parker leads the defense with 9 TFLs with 5 sacks.

Trez Moore leads the Bobcats with 2 interceptions.

Special Teams

Lars Rau is averaging 38.1 yards per punt over his 20 attempts, with 16 fair catches, 4 downed inside the 20 and a 58-yarder as his long.

David Nunez is averaging 38.9 yards per punt over his 13 kicks with 7 fair catches, 9 downed inside the 20, and 3 touchbacks with a long of 52 yards.

Mason Shipley is 11-of-15 placekicking with a long on the season of 60 yards and is 44 of 46 on extra point attempts.

South Alabama

Offense

The Jags currently sit 3rd in the conference in scoring offense, 3rd in rushing offense, and total offense. Nationally the Jags are 25th in rushing offense and scoring offense, 23rd in total offense, 45th in time of possession. But they are also 3rd nationally in Passes Had Intercepted (3), 13th Turnovers Lost (8), and 6th in Punt Returns (17.5).

StatAverage per game
Points34.5
Total Offense439
Passing Offense241.8
Rushing Offense197.2
Time of Possession30:00
Penalty Yards72.1
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs55 of 135 (40.7%)
4th Downs8 of 14 (57.1%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts43 of 50 (86%)
Red Zone Touchdowns32 of 50 (64%)
Penalties – Yards91 – 739
Fumbles – Lost10 – 5   

After last weeks win Gio Lopez is now 189 of 288 (65.6%) for 2,367 yards, 17 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He also has 436 rushing yards on 75 carries with 6 touchdowns.  

Jamaal Pritchett became the fourth Jaguar receiver in the past five seasons to surpass 1,000 receiving yard mark and only the 3rd player ever to do so (Caullin Lacy and Jalen Tolbert twice). He has 1,041 yards on 81 catches with 8 touchdowns on the season. Jeremiah Webb is second on the team with 414 yards on 27 catches with 3 touchdowns. Devin Voisin has 28 catches for 332 yards.

Fluff Bothwell leads the rushing attack with 753 yards on 106 carries with 11 touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock has 684 yards on 125 carries with 6 touchdowns.

Defense

The Jags defense stacks up pretty good in the several categories in the conference. They are 2nd in Rush Defense, 4th in 3rd down defense, 4th in red zone defense, 4th in scoring defense and 6th in 1st down defense and 5th down defense, and 6th in total defense. 

Nationally the defense ranks 18th in passes intercepted (13), 40th in turnovers gained (17), and 44th in rushing defense (127.6).

StatAverage per game
Points23.6
Total Offense385.8
Passing Offense253.7
Rushing Offense132.1
Time of Possession30:00
Penalty Yards45.8
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs56 of 155 (36.1%)
4th Downs11-23 (47.8%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts30 of 37 (81%)
Red Zone Touchdowns17 of 37 (45.9%)
Penalties – Yards56 – 155
Fumbles – Lost11 – 4  

Blayne Myrick leads the team with 82 total stops, 38 solo, with 2 sacks and 7 Tackles for Loss. Jordan Scruggs and Jaden Voisin are next on the list with 60 total stops each.

Courtney McBride Jr leads the team with 4 sacks and also 8 TFLs.

Jaden Voisin leads the team with 4 interceptions but Wesley Miller has 3 after his pick-six last week. Lardarius Webb Jr has 2. Scruggs, Amarion Fortenberry, Ty Goodwill and Chrystylle Caldwell each have an interception.

Special Teams

Aleksi Pulkkinen is averaging 40.7 yards per punt with 19 fair catches, 16 downed inside the 20, and 2 touchbacks. His 67-yard boot continues to be the long.

Laith Marjan is 15-of-16 with his only miss coming from 50+ yards and a season long of 49 yards.

Keys to the Game

Don’t beat yourself

Just one more regular season game left with a lot left to play for in this game. They cannot afford to set themselves back with preventable penalties. When you watch the game with Red, White & Blue glasses its easy to feel that the Jags keep coming up on the short end of the penalty game. They just have to play as cleanly as possible, don’t let frustrations get to them if they do get penalized, and hope for the best. If they can avoid setting the offense back with holds and false starts this week, I think the offense will be able to put plenty of points on the board against the Bobcats.

Solid Special Teams

The Jags played a better on special teams last week, lets keep that momentum going this week. Don’t let the Bobcats gain any momentum from good return or a good play in special teams.

Turnovers

South Alabama has a turnover margin of +9, they have intercepted opponents 13 times and recovered 4 fumbles on the season. Texas State has a turnover margin of -5, they have forced 18 fumbles, recovering 7, and intercepted opponents 5 times. But offensively they have thrown 11 interceptions and lost 8 fumbles.

Watch for turnover opportunities in this game.

Prediction

South Alabama hosts their regular season finale after two weeks on the road. Both teams will have one less day to prepare for the game since it’ll kickoff at 2:30pm on Friday, the day after Thanksgiving.

The Jags are a 1.5-point underdog at home to the Bobcats, which is basically a toss-up.

South Alabama will be without probably their best offensive lineman, Reed Buys, who tore his ACL against Southern Miss. When he has been out of the lineup, the Jags have struggled somewhat because they prefer to shuffle the offensive line a bit and move a more experienced guy into the right guard position then fill in on the left side. Since Lopez is a left-handed quarterback, the right side of the line is protecting his back.

Hopefully they can get starting offensive line plenty of reps this week to be ready on Friday. Perhaps the home underdog status will motivate them to come out firing on all cylinders.

Texas State will have plenty of motivation on their own. They come in after a somewhat embarrassing loss to a 3-8 Georgia State team in a very high scoring affair.

No matter how you cut it, I think this is going to be a great one for a Friday afternoon when there’s not going to be many games on to watch.

I think the Jags win outright.

Go Jags!