IS4S Salute To Veterans Bowl Preview: South Alabama vs Western Michigan

December 13, 2024 · Filed Under Bowl Games, Football · Comment 

Kickoff: Saturday, December 14, 2024
Venue: Cramton Bowl, Montgomery, AL
TV/Streaming: ESPN
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags on X (formerly known as Twitter): @USAThunderjags


South Alabama is playing in their third-consecutive bowl game just one season after earning their first-ever bowl win in the 68 Ventures Bowl in 2023. This game will cap off head coach Major Applewhite’s first at the helm of the program and could mark the first head coach to win a bowl game in their debut at South Alabama.

It also marks a return for the Jaguar program. They return to the site of their first-ever bowl game ten-years removed. The Jags, then still under the direction of Joey Jones, played in the first-ever Cameillia Bowl in 2014.

The Jaguars knew about their selection a little early, the official bowl selection show was just on Saturday, December 8th which would have been less than a week before the IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl. Early last week the teams accepted their invites so preparations by both teams could begin in earnest for the kickoff of the bowl season.

USA enters the game 6-6 overall and 5-3 in conference play. Their season finale against Texas State didn’t turn out the way they wanted. They came out on the losing side of a 45-38 score after committing three turnovers and eight penalties at home.

Western Michigan (6-6, 5-3 Mid-American Conference) got a 26-18 win over Eastern Michigan in their season finale to earn bowl eligibility and to snap a three-game losing streak.

Let’s compare the stats between the two teams.

Offensive Stats

StatSouth AlabamaWestern Michigan
Points34.829.4
Total Offense433.8374.4
Passing Offense240.8186.1
Rushing Offense193188.3
Interceptions58
Time of Possession29:3329:21
Penalty Yards per game7139.1
3rd Downs58 – 146 (39.7%)51 – 147 (34.7%)
4th Downs11 – 17 (64.7%)18 – 30 (60%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts46 – 53 (86.8%)34 – 38 (89.5%)
Red Zone Touchdowns34 – 53 (64.2%)28 – 38 (73.7%)
Penalties – Yards99 – 85248 – 469
Fumbles – Lost11 – 611 – 4
Total Turnovers1112

Defensive Stats

StatSouth AlabamaWestern Michigan
Points25.331.4
Total Offense397.8404.9
Passing Offense253.3218.6
Rushing Offense144.6186.3
Interceptions157
Time of Possession30:2729:48
Penalty Yards per game49.135.7
3rd Downs66 – 172 (38.4%)68 – 157 (43.3%)
4th Downs12 – 24 (50%)11 – 14 (78.6%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts35 – 44 (79.5%)40 – 43 (93%)
Red Zone Touchdowns21 – 44 (47.7%)30 – 43 (69.8%)
Penalties – Yards64 – 58952 – 428
Fumbles – Lost11 – 423 – 13
Total Turnovers1920

Western Michigan

The Broncos are back in a bowl game for the first time since 2021 and the first under head coach Lance Taylor. Taylor is fairly well known in southern Alabama and to some in the state of Alabama. He’s a native of Mt. Vernon, went to high school at Citronelle, and was a walk-on at the University of Alabama from 1999-2003 where he played in 38 consecutive games and served as specials teams captain for then head coach Mike Shula.

After a short stint in the Arena Football League, Taylor began his coaching career as a graduate assistant for Nick Saban at Alabama from 2007-08. He then coached receivers at App State in 2009. Then spent 2010-2012 with the New York Jets as an offensive quality control coach and assistant tight ends coach.

He made two stops at the Carolina Panthers with a stint at Stanford in between. While at Stanford he coached running backs such as Heisman runner-up Christian McCaffrey and recruited another runner-up in Bryce Love. He then spent three seasons at Notre Dame coaching running backs and run game coordinator. Finally, he served as the offensive coordinator at the University of Louisville before landing the head job at Western Michigan.

Offense

Hayden Wolff is 191 of 285 (67%) for 2,212 yards with 17 touchdowns to 7 interceptions.

His most prolific receiver, tight end Blake Bosma, caught 37 passes for 403 yards with 6 touchdowns. However, he entered the transfer portal and does not look like he will be playing. Chris Toudle is the next tight end on the receiving list with just 8 catches for 91 yards in 7 games with a touchdown.

Kenneth Womack is next up with 34 catches in nine games, with 456 yards and a touchdown. Anthony Sambucci has 31 catches in 10 games with 376 yards and two touchdowns.

Zahir Abdus-Salaam has 28 catches for 227 yards and a touchdown.

Jaden Nixon leads the rushing attack with 876 yards on 132 carries with 12 touchdowns. Jalen Buckley has 657 yards on 120 carries with 8 touchdowns in 9 games played. Abdus-Salaam has 567 yards on 104 carries with three touchdowns. Broc Lowry has 123 yards on 22 carries with three touchdowns in 10 games played.

Defense

Donald Willis leads the defense with 99 total stops, 58 solo, with a sack and six tackles for loss from his linebacker position. Tate Hallock is second on the team with 78 total stops, 47 solo, with a team-leading four interceptions and 5 tackles for loss from his safety position.

Isaiah Green leads the team with three sacks. Mason Nelson is behind him with two sacks and nine other players each have one sack each.

Special Teams

Ryan Millmore is averaging 40.3 yards per punt with 21 fair catches, 21 downed inside the 20-yard line, 7 kicks of 50+ yards and a long of 60 on the season.

Luka Zurak is 10 of 12 on the season placekicking with a long of 45 yards. His misses were from 40+ yards and one of 50+ yards.

South Alabama

Offense

Gio Lopez is 205 for 311 (65.9%) for 2,557 yards with 18 touchdowns to 5 interceptions in 11 games played while adding 465 yards rushing and 7 touchdowns. His availability for the game is unknown after suffering an injury against Texas State that forced him out of the game.

Bishop Davenport is 33 for 55 (60%) for 333 yards and a touchdown on the season passing and added 76 yards rushing.

Jamaal Pritchett finished the regular season with 91 catches for 1,126 yards with 9 touchdowns.

Jeremiah Webb had 467 yards on 30 catches with three touchdowns. Devin Voisin had 31 catches for 365 yards. DJ Thomas-Jones had 22 catches for 191 yards and three touchdowns.

Fluff Bothwell ended the season as the Jags leading rusher with 834 yards on 112 attempts with 13 touchdowns. However, it is uncertain if he will play as he announced he was entering the transfer portal.

Kentrel Bullock was the next leading rusher with 702 yards on 135 carries with six touchdowns. Braylon McReynolds rushed for 113 yards on 19 carries in 8 games with a touchdown.

Defense

Blayne Myrick finished the regular season with 92 total stops, 41 solo, with two sacks and 7 TFLs and an interception.

Jaden Voisin is second on the team with 74 total stops, 38 solo, with 2.5 TFLs and a team leading 5 interceptions.

Special Teams

Aleksi Pulkkinen averages 40.5 yards per punt with 21 fair catches, 16 downed inside the 20, two touchbacks and two kicks of 50+ yards with his longest being 67 yards.

Laith Marjan is 16 of 17 placekicking on the season with his only miss coming from 50+ yards. He has a long of 49 on the season. It’s uncertain if he will play as he has also announced he is entering the transfer portal.

If Marjan does not play, it will either be Davis Little (true freshman) or Hamilton DiBoyan (redshirt freshman) handling the placekicking duties. 

Keys to the Game

Don’t beat yourself with penalties

Against Texas State the Jags had eight penalties but many of them came at inopportune times. South Alabama finished the regular season tied for 127th in fewest penalties, only four schools were flagged more than the Jags. They also finished 124th with fewest penalty yards.

So many penalties have disrupted offensive drives and put the offense behind the chains which led to the ball going over to the other team one way or another.

Turnovers

Both teams are +8 in turnover margin, both teams are better at taking the ball away from their opponents than giving the ball away. However, both teams have gotten there in different ways. The Jags have done it more through intercepting the ball while Western Michigan has gotten there by generating fumbles. The Broncos have forced 23 fumbles and recovered 13 of them.

Three turnovers coupled with the eight penalties was just too much for South Alabama to overcome against Texas State.

Fundamentals

Often times bowl games are kinda sloppy because teams have had a lot of time off from the end of the season until the bowl game without game action. So you tend to see more unforced errors, missed tackles, and the such. Both teams enter just two weeks since their last action and should be ready to go, like both teams just had a bye week.

Prediction

Bowl games in this day in age with Name, Image and Likeness and the Transfer Portal is very hard to predict. We may not know until the day of the game who may or may not play for either team. We already see that a key offensive and defensive player for the Jags have opted to go into the portal. Meanwhile the Broncos have a laundry list of players in the portal, including some key players on both sides of the ball as well.  

Setting aside the uncertainty of NIL and transfer portal, I believe South Alabama has a more talented roster from top to bottom, however inconsistent they can be from game to game.

The spread opened with South Alabama as the favorite by 10.5-points and is down to 7.5-points depending on where you look. Some of the factors are Fluff Bothwell and Jordan Scruggs opting for the portal and Gio Lopez’s injury against Texas State. While by all accounts Bishop Davenport is a very capable quarterback who really hasn’t been used to his full potential on gameday, we have only really seen him in limited duty even when he started against Ohio in week 2.

I think the Jags cover the 7.5-points and goes into the postseason with momentum for 2025.

Go Jags!

Preview: A Season Finale Cat Fight Between Jaguars and Bobcats

November 28, 2024 · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comment 

Kickoff: Friday, November 29, 2:30pm
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
TV/Streaming: ESPN+
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags on X (formerly known as Twitter): @USAThunderjags


South Alabama punched their bowl ticket with a win last Saturday at Southern Miss. But they also kept their chances alive to win the Sun Belt Western Division title. In order to realize that, they need some help this week from Louisiana-Lafayette’s cross-state rival Louisiana-Monroe.

But first, the Jags have to take care of their own business and get a win against Texas State in order to keep those dreams alive.

The Jags (6-5, 5-2 Sun Belt Conference) and Texas State (6-5, 4-3 SBC) will meet at Hancock Whitney Stadium on Senior Day for South Alabama. If they win, they can sit back on Saturday and watch how the Sun Belt Conference divisions play out. Both division crowns will be determined this weekend.

What is South Alabama facing when the Bobcats come to town for a good ole cat fight? Let’s get familiar with the Bobcats head coach and take a look through the season stats for both teams.

Texas State

GJ Kinne is completing his second season at the helm in San Marcos. He has already taken Texas State to new heights in his short time in charge. He led them to a FBS program record 8 wins in his first season and their first-ever appearance in a bowl game.

When he took over the program, they had not had a winning season in 9 years. In an age of NIL and the transfer portal, Kinne brought in 53 scholarship newcomers and 71 total new players over the spring and summer of 2023. They got the programs first-ever win over a Power-5 program when they defeated Baylor to start the 2023 season. They tied for 2nd place in the west division and earned a 45-21 win over Rice in the Servpro First Responders Bowl in Dallas, TX for their first bowl win.

Kinne and his staff have overhauled the Bobcat offense since arriving in San Marcos. They were the nations most improved offense in 2023 with a 15-point improvement in scoring offense and finished 14th in the nation in scoring and total offense.

Offense

The Bobcats ranks 1st in Scoring Offense and Total Offense, 2nd in Offensive Efficiency, 3rd in Passing Offense, and 4th in Rushing Offense in the conference.

StatAverage per game
Points36.4
Total Offense469.3
Passing Offense267.1
Rushing Offense202.2
Time of Possession30:13
Penalty Yards59.6
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs61 of 138 (44.2%)
4th Downs12 of 20 (60%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts35 of 42 (83.3%)
Red Zone Touchdowns29 of 42 (69%)
Penalties – Yards71 – 655
Fumbles – Lost18 – 8

Jordan McCloud, the former JMU quarterback, now leads the offense in San Marcos. So far this season he is 226 of 327 (69.1%) for 2,672 yards with 28 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also adds 249 yards on 62 carries with 6 touchdowns.

McCloud spreads the ball around pretty well as you’ll see. Joey Hobert leads the team with 59 catches for 581 yards and 7 touchdowns. Jaden Williams leads the team with 644 receiving yards on 48 catches with 6 touchdowns. Kole Wilson has 40 catches for 567 yards and 4 touchdowns. Chris Dawn Jr has 30 catches for 370 yards and 6 touchdowns.

Ismail Mahdi leads the Bobcats rushing attack with 844 yards on 163 attempts with 3 touchdowns. Torrance Burgess Jr has 344 yards on 54 carries with 2 touchdowns. Lincoln Pare has 315 yards on 48 carries with 5 touchdowns.

Defense

The Bobcats ranks 1st Forced Fumbles, 2nd in Defensive Effenciency, 3rd in Total Defense, and 3rd in Scoring Defense, Rushing Defense and Passing Defense in the conference.

StatAverage per game
Points23
Total Offense345.3
Passing Offense197
Rushing Offense148.3
Time of Possession29:47
Penalty Yards43.9
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs58 of 162 (35.8%)
4th Downs12 of 23 (52.2%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts32 of 37 (86.5%)
Red Zone Touchdowns21 of 37 (56.8%)
Penalties – Yards65 – 483
Fumbles – Lost18 – 7

Jordan Polk leads the team with 56 total stops, 28 solo, with 3.5 Tackles for Loss and a sack. James Neal is next on the team with 47 total stops, 23 solo, with 1.5 TFLs

Kalil Alexander leads the team with 5.5 sacks and also adds 7 TFLs. Steven Parker leads the defense with 9 TFLs with 5 sacks.

Trez Moore leads the Bobcats with 2 interceptions.

Special Teams

Lars Rau is averaging 38.1 yards per punt over his 20 attempts, with 16 fair catches, 4 downed inside the 20 and a 58-yarder as his long.

David Nunez is averaging 38.9 yards per punt over his 13 kicks with 7 fair catches, 9 downed inside the 20, and 3 touchbacks with a long of 52 yards.

Mason Shipley is 11-of-15 placekicking with a long on the season of 60 yards and is 44 of 46 on extra point attempts.

South Alabama

Offense

The Jags currently sit 3rd in the conference in scoring offense, 3rd in rushing offense, and total offense. Nationally the Jags are 25th in rushing offense and scoring offense, 23rd in total offense, 45th in time of possession. But they are also 3rd nationally in Passes Had Intercepted (3), 13th Turnovers Lost (8), and 6th in Punt Returns (17.5).

StatAverage per game
Points34.5
Total Offense439
Passing Offense241.8
Rushing Offense197.2
Time of Possession30:00
Penalty Yards72.1
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs55 of 135 (40.7%)
4th Downs8 of 14 (57.1%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts43 of 50 (86%)
Red Zone Touchdowns32 of 50 (64%)
Penalties – Yards91 – 739
Fumbles – Lost10 – 5   

After last weeks win Gio Lopez is now 189 of 288 (65.6%) for 2,367 yards, 17 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He also has 436 rushing yards on 75 carries with 6 touchdowns.  

Jamaal Pritchett became the fourth Jaguar receiver in the past five seasons to surpass 1,000 receiving yard mark and only the 3rd player ever to do so (Caullin Lacy and Jalen Tolbert twice). He has 1,041 yards on 81 catches with 8 touchdowns on the season. Jeremiah Webb is second on the team with 414 yards on 27 catches with 3 touchdowns. Devin Voisin has 28 catches for 332 yards.

Fluff Bothwell leads the rushing attack with 753 yards on 106 carries with 11 touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock has 684 yards on 125 carries with 6 touchdowns.

Defense

The Jags defense stacks up pretty good in the several categories in the conference. They are 2nd in Rush Defense, 4th in 3rd down defense, 4th in red zone defense, 4th in scoring defense and 6th in 1st down defense and 5th down defense, and 6th in total defense. 

Nationally the defense ranks 18th in passes intercepted (13), 40th in turnovers gained (17), and 44th in rushing defense (127.6).

StatAverage per game
Points23.6
Total Offense385.8
Passing Offense253.7
Rushing Offense132.1
Time of Possession30:00
Penalty Yards45.8
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs56 of 155 (36.1%)
4th Downs11-23 (47.8%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts30 of 37 (81%)
Red Zone Touchdowns17 of 37 (45.9%)
Penalties – Yards56 – 155
Fumbles – Lost11 – 4  

Blayne Myrick leads the team with 82 total stops, 38 solo, with 2 sacks and 7 Tackles for Loss. Jordan Scruggs and Jaden Voisin are next on the list with 60 total stops each.

Courtney McBride Jr leads the team with 4 sacks and also 8 TFLs.

Jaden Voisin leads the team with 4 interceptions but Wesley Miller has 3 after his pick-six last week. Lardarius Webb Jr has 2. Scruggs, Amarion Fortenberry, Ty Goodwill and Chrystylle Caldwell each have an interception.

Special Teams

Aleksi Pulkkinen is averaging 40.7 yards per punt with 19 fair catches, 16 downed inside the 20, and 2 touchbacks. His 67-yard boot continues to be the long.

Laith Marjan is 15-of-16 with his only miss coming from 50+ yards and a season long of 49 yards.

Keys to the Game

Don’t beat yourself

Just one more regular season game left with a lot left to play for in this game. They cannot afford to set themselves back with preventable penalties. When you watch the game with Red, White & Blue glasses its easy to feel that the Jags keep coming up on the short end of the penalty game. They just have to play as cleanly as possible, don’t let frustrations get to them if they do get penalized, and hope for the best. If they can avoid setting the offense back with holds and false starts this week, I think the offense will be able to put plenty of points on the board against the Bobcats.

Solid Special Teams

The Jags played a better on special teams last week, lets keep that momentum going this week. Don’t let the Bobcats gain any momentum from good return or a good play in special teams.

Turnovers

South Alabama has a turnover margin of +9, they have intercepted opponents 13 times and recovered 4 fumbles on the season. Texas State has a turnover margin of -5, they have forced 18 fumbles, recovering 7, and intercepted opponents 5 times. But offensively they have thrown 11 interceptions and lost 8 fumbles.

Watch for turnover opportunities in this game.

Prediction

South Alabama hosts their regular season finale after two weeks on the road. Both teams will have one less day to prepare for the game since it’ll kickoff at 2:30pm on Friday, the day after Thanksgiving.

The Jags are a 1.5-point underdog at home to the Bobcats, which is basically a toss-up.

South Alabama will be without probably their best offensive lineman, Reed Buys, who tore his ACL against Southern Miss. When he has been out of the lineup, the Jags have struggled somewhat because they prefer to shuffle the offensive line a bit and move a more experienced guy into the right guard position then fill in on the left side. Since Lopez is a left-handed quarterback, the right side of the line is protecting his back.

Hopefully they can get starting offensive line plenty of reps this week to be ready on Friday. Perhaps the home underdog status will motivate them to come out firing on all cylinders.

Texas State will have plenty of motivation on their own. They come in after a somewhat embarrassing loss to a 3-8 Georgia State team in a very high scoring affair.

No matter how you cut it, I think this is going to be a great one for a Friday afternoon when there’s not going to be many games on to watch.

I think the Jags win outright.

Go Jags!

Preview: South Alabama Looking To Get Bowl Eligible On The Road At Southern Miss

November 22, 2024 · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on Preview: South Alabama Looking To Get Bowl Eligible On The Road At Southern Miss 

Kickoff: Saturday, November 23, 2pm
Venue: M. M. Malone Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS
TV/Streaming: ESPN+
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags on X (formerly known as Twitter): @USAThunderjags


South Alabama went into Lafayette and did what no other Sun Belt team has been able to do this season: defeat the Cajuns. The once blemish free conference record for the Cajuns now has a chip in it and the Jags hopes for West Division title, like the Undertaker, has risen from the coffin yet to be completely dead and buried for the season.

The Jags (5-5, 4-2 Sun Belt Conference) now just needs one more win to get bowl eligible in head coach Major Applewhite’s first season at the helm and for the third consecutive season.

They travel to Hattiesburg to take on the ailing Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-9, 0-6 SBC). They enter on an eight-game skid and only managing 3 points in each of their last two games (37-3 vs Marshall and 58-3 vs Texas State). Their only win of the season has come against FCS Southeastern Louisiana 35-10.

What are the Jags facing when they get to “The Rock,” let’s dig into the opponent some along with the season stats to this point.

Southern Miss

Head coach Will Hall was dismissed the day after the Golden Eagles lost at home to Arkansas State 44-28 and a 14-30 record overall in Hattiesburg. Since his dismissal, USM has only managed to put 21 total points on the scoreboard across their last three games.

Reed Stringer is serving at the interim head coach. Before being tapped for the interim position he was in his fourth season as the assistant head coach and general manager. He was in his seventh year overall with the Golden Eagle program. He joined the program in 2018 with coach Jay Hopson as an offensive quality control coach. He took over coaching tight ends in 2019 and made it through the chaotic 2020 season when Hopson stepped down and the Golden Eagles had three coaches. He remained on staff when Hall was hired.

Previously he spent seven seasons as an assistant head coach, recruiting coordinator and tight ends coach at Louisiana-Lafayette.

Southern Miss will honor just two seniors for their senior day on Saturday so they don’t really have that much upper level experience it seems.

Offense

StatAverage per game
Points14.9
Total Offense281
Passing Offense170.3
Rushing Offense110.7
Time of Possession26:09
Penalty Yards51.9
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs29 of 124 (23.4%)
4th Downs11 of 23 (47.8%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts18 of 25 (72%)
Red Zone Touchdowns14 of 25 (56%)
Penalties – Yards64 – 519
Fumbles – Lost15 – 12

Ethan Crawford leads USM with pass attempts, he is 50 of 120 (41.7%) for 849 yards with no touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Tate Rodemaker leads the team with completions, going 65 of 107 (60.8%) for 643 yards, four touchdowns and five interceptions.

Larry Simmons leads the receiving corps with 318 yards on 20 catches. Tiaquelin Mims has a team leading 25 catches for 287 yards. They have four other receivers with between 10 and 13 catches each. Kyirin Heath leads the group with 2 touchdown catches.

Rodrigues “Dreke” Clark is the leading rusher with 468 yards on 104 carries with a touchdown. Kenyon Clay has 320 yards on 61 attempts with six touchdowns. Ethan Crawford has 211 yards on 97 carries and three touchdowns.

Defense

StatAverage per game
Points36.6
Total Offense455.7
Passing Offense221.8
Rushing Offense233.9
Time of Possession32:21
Penalty Yards40.1
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs54 of 132 (40.9%)
4th Downs12 of 17 (70.6%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts41 of 46 (89.1%)
Red Zone Touchdowns28 of 46 (60.9%)
Penalties – Yards63 – 541
Fumbles – Lost8 – 3

Tre’ Pinkney leads USM with 67 total stops, 33 solo, with 3.5 tackles for loss and .5 sacks. Chris Jones is next on the team with 46 total stops, 25 solo, with 2.5 TFLs and one sack with an interception. Dylan Lawrence leads the team with a pair of interceptions. Jalil Clemons and Ryan Johnson co-lead the team with three sacks.

Special Teams

Bryce Lofton is averaging 44.96 yards per punt with 18 fair catches, 14 downed inside the 20, 14 punts of 50+ yards with a long of 57.

Connor Gibbs is 8 of 8 on field goal attempts with his longest of the season being from 54 yards out. Andrew Stein has attempted three field goals and has yet to put up between the uprights.

South Alabama

Offense

The Jags currently sit 3rd in the conference in scoring offense, rushing offense, total offense, and time of possession. Nationally the Jags are 25th in rushing offense and scoring offense, 23rd in total offense, 45th in time of possession. But they are also 3rd nationally in Passes Had Intercepted (3), 13th Turnovers Lost (8), and 6th in Punt Returns (17.5).

StatAverage per game
Points34.4
Total Offense444.9
Passing Offense246.7
Rushing Offense198.2
Time of Possession30:53
Penalty Yards72.4
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs52 of 125 (41.6%)
4th Downs8 of 14 (57.1%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts41 of 48 (85.4%)
Red Zone Touchdowns30 of 48 (62.5%)
Penalties – Yards84 – 724
Fumbles – Lost10-5

Gio Lopez ranks 17th nationally in total offense, 24th in yards per pass attempt, 25th in completion percentage and passing efficiency. He is 174 of 265 (65.9%) with 2,174 yards, 14 touchdowns and three interceptions.

Jamaal Pritchett leads the team in catches with 73, receiving yards 939, and touchdowns with seven. he ranks 7th nationally in receptions per game, 8th nationally in Receiving Yards and Receiving Yards per game, 28th in Receiving Touchdowns, and 33rd in All-Purpose yards.

Jeremiah Webb is next on the list with 364 yards on 24 catches with two touchdowns. Devin Voisin has 332 yards on 29-8 catches.  Devin Voisin has 332 yards on 28 catches. Shemar Sandgren has 176 yards on 16 catches with a touchdown.

Fluff Bothwell leads the team in rushing yards with 649 on 100 carries with a team-leading 10 touchdowns. He ranks 30th nationally in rushing touchdowns and 41st in total touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock is right on his heels with 630 yards on 111 carries with six touchdowns. Gio Lopez is running fourth on the team with 427 yards on 70 carries and six touchdowns.

Kentrel Bullock ranks 42nd nationally in rush yards per carry.

Defense

The Jags defense stacks up pretty good in the several categories in the conference. They are 2nd in Rush Defense, 4th in 3rd down defense and red zone defense, 5th in scoring defense and 6th in 1st down defense and 4th down defense, and 7th in total defense. 

Nationally the defense ranks 19th in passes intercepted (12), 34th in turnovers gained (16), 40th in Punt Return Defense (5.38), and 44th in rushing defense (127.6).

StatAverage per game
Points24.5
Total Offense393.8
Passing Offense265.4
Rushing Offense128.4
Time of Possession29:07
Penalty Yards48.4
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs50 of 136 (36.8%)
4th Downs10-20 (50%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts28 of 34 (82.4%)
Red Zone Touchdowns16 of 14 (47.1%)
Penalties – Yards53 – 484  
Fumbles – Lost10 – 4

Blayne Myrick leads the team with 75 total stops, 33 solo with 6 TFLs and a sack. Jordan Scruggs is next with 53 total stops, 26 solo, with 3 TFLs and an interception.

Jaden Voisin, who broke the record for career interceptions as a Jaguar last week, now ranks 7th nationally in total interceptions on the season with 52 total stops, 30 solo.

Special Teams

Aleksi Pulkkinen is averaging 41.3 yards per punt with 14 fair catches, 14 downed inside the 20, two touchbacks and two kicks of 50+ yards.

Laith Marjan is 15 of 16 placekicking on the season (93.75%) with his only miss coming from over 50 yards.

Keys to the Game

Don’t beat yourself

After playing a very disciplined first half, the Jags got a little too complacent in the second half and the offensive penalties creeped back in a little. Not necessarily the cause of all of the second half offensive woes, but they definitely didn’t help the cause. Just play more like the first-half team, not the second half team.

Play a complete game

It’s been a while since the Jags have really played a complete game. You have to go all the way back to the App State game for that. While they did end up winning big over ULM, they really didn’t play a complete game. The first half of that game wasn’t their best first half of football, by any means.

The last two weeks have seen the Jags play good first halves, but falter in the second half. They lost one against Georgia Southern but they held on to win last week against the Cajuns.

With just two games to go and a potential bowl game, now is the time to put everything together and get two big wins and hope for some help to get to the conference championship game.

Solid Special Teams

The special teams have had some problems over the last couple of weeks too. Miscommunication, turnovers, etc. Don’t give the other team an opportunity to seize momentum with a big play on special teams.

Prediction

The Jags roll into the game as a 22.5-point favorite over the Golden Eagles. The Southern Miss fanbase may just be ready for the season to be over and done with. They wouldn’t mind getting a couple of wins to end the season, but are they able to regroup at this point and execute at a high enough level to win.

Meanwhile my ability to predict what this team can and will do continues to be beyond my grasp. The only consistency is that I cannot consistently prognosticate which Jaguar team will show up to play. I’ll go ahead and apologize if my prediction does not pan out. But I think the Jags will cover the 22.5 point spread and earn bowl eligibility this week running their all-time record against the Golden Eagles to 5-0.

Go Jags!

Preview: South Alabama Travels To Louisiana-Lafayette For West Division Showdown

November 15, 2024 · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on Preview: South Alabama Travels To Louisiana-Lafayette For West Division Showdown 

Kickoff: Saturday, November 16, 6pm
Venue: Cajun Field, Lafayette, LA
TV/Streaming: ESPN+
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags on X (formerly known as Twitter): @USAThunderjags


The South Alabama Jaguars are back on the road this weekend for the first road game in over a month. They travel to Lafayette, LA to take on the West Division leading Ragin’ Cajuns for a very pivotal game as the end of the regular season is quickly approaching.

The Jags (4-5, 3-2 Sun Belt Conference) all but had their hopes to represent the west in the conference title game dashed two weeks ago. Georgia Southern took advantage of two opportunities given to them and seized control of the game for a 34-30 defeat of USA on November 2nd. A game the Jags should have won.

The Cajuns (8-1, 5-0) may be playing some of their best football of the season right now. They enter the game coming off of a 55-19 blowout of Arkansas State at Cajun Field last Saturday.

This is an opportunity for the Jags to earn a season-defining win and creep one game closer to bowl eligibility. They’ve already let two conference wins slip from their grasp this season. They held the lead against both Arkansas State and Georgia Southern when they held the lead late in the game. They cannot afford to let any more slip away as their path to earn bowl eligibility is narrowing by the week.

The Cajuns have a history of winning and their home stadium is a difficult place to play. Head coach Major Applewhite and the Jags have their work cut out for them this week. Hopefully coming into the game after an off week will work to their advantage.

Let’s dig into the opponent some along with the season stats to this point.

Louisiana-Lafayette

The Cajuns are under the direction of Michael Desormeaux, who is in his third season as head coach of the program. He was a former record-setting quarterback for Louisiana-Lafayette.

In both seasons as head coach, he’s led ULL to its fifth and sixth-consecutive bowl games, which is a school record. He has a career head coaching record of 21-15 (11-9 SBC) including his win in the 2021 New Orleans Bowl as interim head coach. However, he has lost both bowl games he’s coached since then.

He was named the head coach after joining the staff in 2016 and helped the program win four consecutive SBC West Division titles (2018-2021) and won its first outright SBC Championship in program history in 2021 when he was serving a Co-Offensive coordinator. His offense ranked 3rd in the Sun Belt in both scoring offense and total offense during the 2021 13-win season.

Desormeaux was the only member that Billy Napier retained from the previous staff when he was hired.

Offense

Ben Wooldridge is 177-of-258 (68.6%) for 2,301 yards with 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Chandler Fields is 10-of-12 (83.3%) for 97 yards on the season in three games.

The Cajuns spread the ball around pretty equally. They have five players with 21 or more pass receptions and over 200 yards receiving on the season.

Terrance Carter has 558 yards on 36 catches (both lead the team) with four touchdowns. Lance LeGrendre has 515 yards on 27 catches with four touchdowns. Harvey Broussard has 271 yards on 18 catches for three touchdowns.

Similarly, the offensive backfield spreads the ball around a lot too. They have three running backs with over 400 yards rushing and over 50 carries each. Bill Davis leads the backfield with 585 yards on 98 carries with 5 touchdowns. Zylan Perry has 463 yards on 73 carries with two touchdowns. Dre’lyn Washington has 412 yards on 56 carries with 5 touchdowns. Ben Wooldridge has 190 yards on 56 carries with 5 touchdowns.

StatAverage per game
Points32.2
Total Offense392.4
Passing Offense216.7
Rushing Offense175.7
Time of Possession29:06
Penalty Yards48.6
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs68 of 167 (41%)
4th Downs11 of 20 (55%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts42 of 52 (81%)
Red Zone Touchdowns30 of 52 (58%)
Penalties – Yards79 – 632
Fumbles – Lost27 – 12

Defense

KC Ossai leads the team with 76 total stops, 41 solo, with two tackles for loss, three pass breakups and 0.5 sacks. Carmycah Glass has 51 total stops, 30 solo, with 3.5 TFLs and 0.5 sacks.

Cameron Whitfield leads the team with five sacks and six TFLs.

Tyrone Lewis and Tyree Skipper are both tied for the team lead with four interceptions each.

StatAverage per game
Points28.6
Total Offense385.8
Passing Offense215
Rushing Offense170.8
Time of Possession30:51
Penalty Yards48.9
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs89 of 200 (45%)
4th Downs23 of 31 (74%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts48 of 58 (83%)
Red Zone Touchdowns37 of 58 (64%)
Penalties – Yards70 – 636
Fumbles – Lost16 – 9

Special Teams

Nathan Torney is averaging 39.6 yards per punt with 10 fair catches, 5 downed inside the 20 and a long of 54 yards.

Kenneth Almendares is 19-of-21 placekicking (90.5%) with his only misses coming from 50+ yards. He does have a season long of 53 yards to his credit.

Jacob Bernard returns most puts for the Cajuns and he is averaging 5.8 yards per return. His longest was 32 yards.

South Alabama

Offense

The Jags currently sit 1st in the conference in scoring offense, 2nd in the Sun Belt Conference in rushing offense while 2nd in the conference in total offense and time of possession. Nationally the Jags are 15th in rushing offense, 21st in scoring offense, 14th in total offense, 35th in time of possession. But they are also 2nd nationally in Passes Had Intercepted (2), 5th Turnovers Lost (6), and 5th in Punt Returns (17.5).

StatAverage per game
Points35.2
Total Offense457.1
Passing Offense266.8
Rushing Offense190.3
Time of Possession32:29
Penalty Yards44.4
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs54 of 108 (50%)
4th Downs7 of 12 (58.3%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts40 of 43 (93%)
Red Zone Touchdowns27 of 43 (62.8%)
Penalties – Yards51 – 400
Fumbles – Lost3 – 0

Gio Lopez is 150-of-230 (65.2%) for 1,889 yards with 14 touchdowns to 2 interceptions. Bishop Davenport is 28-of-48 (58.3%) for 293 yards with 1 touchdown.

Jamaal Pritchett continues to distance himself from the remainder of the receivers. He has 62 catches for 769 yards and 7 touchdowns. Devin Voisin has 27 catches for 326 yards. Jeremiah Webb has 333 yards on 20 catches with two touchdowns.

Fluff Bothwell barely holds the team lead in rushing yards with 611 on 91 carries while leading the team with 10 rushing touchdowns. He also ranks 1st in the conference with his 10 touchdowns and 10th nationally in rush yards per carry (6.77). Kentrel Bullock has 606 yards on 102 carries with 5 touchdowns. Lopez has rushed for 393 yards on 62 carries with 4 touchdowns.

Defense

The Jags defense stacks up pretty good in the several categories in the conference. They are 2nd in Rush Defense, 3rd in 3rd down defense and red zone defense, 4th in scoring defense and 1st down defense, 6th in 4th down defense, and 7th in total defense. 

StatAverage per game
Points21.8
Total Offense335.4
Passing Offense173
Rushing Offense162.4
Time of Possession27:31
Penalty Yards44.8
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs51 of 111 (46%)
4th Downs8 of 9 (88.9%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts25 of 25 (100%)
Red Zone Touchdowns18 of 25 (72%)
Penalties – Yards44 – 403
Fumbles – Lost6 – 3

Blayne Myrick paces the defense with 68 total stops, 28 solo, with one sack and 5 TFLs. Jordan Scruggs is next on the team with 49 total stops, 23 solo, with 3 TFLs and an interception.

Jaden Voisin leads the team with 3 interceptions. Courtney McBride Jr leads the team with 4 sacks and 6.5 TFLs.

Special Teams

Aleksi Pulkkinen is averaging 41.7 yards per punt with 13 fair catches, 13 downed inside the 20-yard line, two touchbacks and 2 50+ kicks and a long of 67 yards.

Laith Marjan is 14-of-15 (93.3%) with his only miss coming from 50+ yards out. He has a season long of 49 yards.

Pritchett is averaging 17.5 yards per punt return with one touchdown on the year.

Braylon McReynolds, after re-emerging for the Jags, showed up on kickoff returns and is averaging 25.3 yards per return over his three kick returns. Unfortunately, he fumbled in his second return attempt that gave Georgia Southern a big boost of momentum to get back into the game.

Keys to the Game

Don’t beat yourself

The Jags were mired with 13 penalties for 99 yards, with 10 of them coming from the offense. Six were false starts, three holding and one offensive pass interference. This was at home too, not on the road in a loud stadium in hostile environment.

While the officiating in the game, and the conference, is something that can easily be debated (look for more about this soon). You still have to play very disciplined football and you just cannot set your team back like that so many times.

That has to be cleaned up to compete against the Cajuns.

Turnovers

One key turnover very early in the fourth quarter solidly swung the momentum into Georgia Southern’s favor. After the Jags had taken a commanding 30-14 lead, but had just given up a touchdown after miscommunication on the kickoff gave the Eagles a short field. On the kickoff, Braylon McReynolds took the kickoff at the 3-yard line but fumbled the ball on the return giving the Eagles the ball at the Jaguars 21-yard line. Just a couple plays later they had cut the lead to a mere 3 points.

The Jags have a +7-turnover margin on the season while the Cajuns have a +8-turnover margin. The Cajuns have 9 interceptions while the Jags have 11 takeaways by interception. Since both teams protect the ball very well, but generate takeaways, if either team can force one it could prove to be big storyline in this game.

The Jags rank 2nd in the nation with only 2 interceptions thrown on the season.

Stretching the Defense

The Jags and Gio Lopez have not been very accurate taking deep shots downfield. From memory, it has seemed that Lopez has been overthrowing his receivers lately. It could be from his limited reps in practice due to his lingering turf toe injury. Hopefully with some extra rest his toe will be in better shape going into the game against the Cajuns and have allowed him more practice reps during game week.

If he can stretch the field on some deep passes, it will further open up running lanes and play action passes.

Prediction

After being favored over the last few games, the Jags now find themselves the underdog on the road. The Cajuns are a 7-point favorite to win.

The Cajuns lead the series 9-3 and have a 5-1 record at home. This game could have a lot of fireworks as these two teams are two of the top offenses in the conference. The Cajuns just edge out the Jags in total offense 457.1 to 455.1.

I don’t have the best feeling about this after watching what the Cajuns did last week against Arkansas State and the week before against Texas State. It really depends which Jaguar team gets off the bus for the game.

I think with an extra week to prepare, I think the Jags cover but Cajuns pull out the win.

Go Jags!

Preview: South Alabama vs Georgia Southern

November 1, 2024 · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference, Uncategorized · Comments Off on Preview: South Alabama vs Georgia Southern 

Kickoff: Saturday, November 2, 6:30pm
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
TV/Streaming: ESPNU
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags on X (formerly known as Twitter): @USAThunderjags
#5 Jersey: TBA


South Alabama enters this week’s game with an even record overall and looks to both break some bad patterns and continue some good patterns when they host Georgia Southern on Saturday night at Hancock Whitney Stadium.

The Jags (4-4, 3-1 Sun Belt) comes in after winning their last two match-ups on the season, both at home. This will be the third and final game of a three-game home stand by the Jags. They also have a two-game streak going against Georgia Southern (5-3, 3-1 SBC).

They are also the only two wins the Jags have had in nine meetings between the two programs.

We also alluded to breaking a streak. Dating back to the 2023 season the Jags have had a curious pattern going. They tend to win and lose in pairs. It’s not a perfect pattern, it was technically broken by the win in the 68 Ventures Bowl.

Or was it just interrupted?

Head Coach Major Applewhite can have a testy side to him. Last week when a reporter brought up that his team was 3-0 in weeknight games but 0-4 in Saturday games, he didn’t seem very…entertaining of that question. This week the same reporter asked about “the pattern” as I have referred to it.

“This is about as much prosperity as we can handle,” Applewhite joked. “So, everybody brace themselves it’s time to go win three in a row.”

It’s good to see both sides of coach Applewhite, throwing some shade and also tossing out a laugh.

The Eagles come to Mobile tied for first place in the Sun Belt East Division and looking to keep it that way. But they are tied with Old Dominion who holds the tiebreaker based on their 47-19 head-to-head loss on Thursday, October 17. They will have a slight advantage over the Jags since they will be coming in with a couple extra days to prepare.

But enough of that, let’s take a look at some of the team stats.

Georgia Southern

Clay Helton is in his third season at the helm in Statesboro. He’s led the Eagles to back-to-back 6-7 seasons with losses in the Camellia Bowl (2022) and the Myrtle Beach Bowl (2023). He came to Georgia Southern after spending 11 years at USC in all. He started as the quarterbacks coach under Lane Kiffin then was promoted to offensive coordinator in 2013. He served at interim head coach when the previous interim head coach, Ed Orgeron, resigned following the hiring of Steve Sarkisian. In the 2015 season he served as the interim head coach again when Sarkisian took a leave of absence. USC then they promoted him to the head coach.

Helton went 46-24 over his time as head coach at USC and notably with a win in the 2017 Rose Bowl over Penn State. 

Fans in Statesboro are getting a little itchy to get back to their winning way more like they had previously. Everything was looking up and up until their upset loss to Old Dominion.

Offense

Ryan Aplin has helped Helton transform Georgia State into a passing team. After setting just about every passing record for the Eagles in 2022, the 2023 season saw the Eagles finish in the top 20 nationally in passing yards per game with many of the records previously set falling again.

StatAverage per game
Points28.6
Total Offense379.1
Passing Offense252.1
Rushing Offense127
Time of Possession30:24
Penalty Yards47.5
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs50 of 112 (44.6%)
4th Downs6 of 9 (66.7%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts25 of 27 (92.6%)
Red Zone Touchdowns22 of 27 (81.5%)
Penalties – Yards45 – 380
Fumbles – Lost16 – 7

JC French is 169 of 265 (63.8%) for 1,790 yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. He is also the fourth leading rusher on the team with 138 yards on 68 attempts with one touchdown.

Dalen Cobb leads the team in catches with 37 for 434 yards and three touchdowns. Derwin Burgess Jr leads the team in receiving yards with 440 on 35 catches with three touchdowns as well.

Josh Dallas has 25 catches for 325 yards and a pair of touchdowns. LV Bunkley-Shelton has 20 catches for 216 yards. Tyler Fromm has 18 catches for 211 yards and two touchdowns as the final pass catcher with over 100 yards receiving for the season.

Jalen White leads the ground game with 393 yards on 92 carries with seven touchdowns. OJ Arnold has 253 yards on 43 carries with three touchdowns. David Mbadinga adds 145 yards on 35 carries with a pair of touchdowns.

Defense

Brandon Bailey is in his second season as defensive coordinator for Georgia Southern. In 2023 the Eagles finished top 30 nationally in passes intercepted, defensive touchdowns and tackles for loss.

In 2022 he was the youngest defensive coordinator in FBS while at the University of Buffalo. His defense finished 7th nationally with 28 turnovers, 7th nationally in interceptions with 13, and 2nd nationally with 15 forced fumbles. They were 4th in the MAC in scoring.

StatAverage per game
Points30.5
Total Offense457.6
Passing Offense272.5
Rushing Offense185.1
Time of Possession29:36
Penalty Yards83.9
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs51 of 110 (46.4%)
4th Downs5 of 13 (38.5%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts24 of 26 (92.3%)
Red Zone Touchdowns19 of 26 (73.1%)
Penalties – Yards69 – 671
Fumbles – Lost8 – 3

Marques Watson-Trent (r-Sr LB) far and away leads the team with 77 stops, 34 solo. He also leads the team with 6.5 tackles for loss and is in a three-way tie for second on the team with 1.5 sacks. He is a big disrupter too with four forced fumbles, two quarterback hurries and a pass breakup.

Marc Stampley II (Jr DB) leads the team in sacks (2) and pass breakups (7), and is tied for the team lead in interceptions (2).

Special Teams

Alex Smith is averaging 43 yards per punt attempt with 20 fair catches, 15 downed inside the 20, 5 punts of over 50 yards, and a long of 63 yards.

Gavin Stewart is 7 of 9 placekicking for the Eagles with a long of 53 yards. He is 24 of 26 on extra point attempts.

South Alabama

Offense

The Jags currently sit 1st in the Sun Belt Conference in rushing offense and scoring offense while 2nd in the conference in total offense and time of possession. Nationally the Jags are 14th in rushing offense, 22nd in scoring offense, 19th in total offense, 29th in time of possession. But they are also 2nd nationally in Passes Had Intercepted (1), Turnovers Lost (4), and 3rd in Punt Returns (21.5).

StatAverage per game
Points36.3
Total Offense454.8
Passing Offense238.5
Rushing Offense216.3
Time of Possession31:41
Penalty Yards70.5
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs43 of 102 (42.2%)
4th Downs6 of 10 (60%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts32 of 38 (84.2%)
Red Zone Touchdowns24 of 38 (63.2%)
Penalties – Yards63 – 564
Fumbles – Lost7 – 3

After a predominantly ground game last week Gio Lopez is 128 of 200 (64%) for 1,632 yards, 13 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Behind his career-high 11 catches last week, Jamaal Pritchett has 50 receptions for 662 yards and 6 touchdowns for the season. Second place on the team in receptions is Devin Voisin with 22 for 260 yards. Jeremiah Webb is third on the team in receptions with 17 but second on the team in reception yardage with 276 and a pair of touchdowns. DJ Thomas-Jones is second on the team in touchdown receptions with 3.

Fluff Bothwell continues to lead the Jags rushing attack with 580 yards on 85 carries with 8 touchdowns as a true freshman. His average of 6.88 yards per carry is 9th in the nation while his rushing touchdowns is 28th, but 1st among true freshmen.

Kentrel Bullock is not too far behind him with 505 yards on 85 carries with 5 touchdowns. Lopez is third on the team with 350 yards on 55 carries with 4 touchdowns. His 5.93 yards per carry ranks 38th nationally.

Defense

The Jags defense stacks up pretty good in the several categories in the conference. They are 2nd in Rush Defense, 3rd in 3rd down defense and red zone defense, 4th in scoring defense and 1st down defense, 6th in 4th down defense, and 7th in total defense. 

StatAverage per game
Points23.6
Total Offense401.7
Passing Offense268.4
Rushing Offense133.3
Time of Possession28:19
Penalty Yards47.3
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs39 of 107 (36.5%)
4th Downs4 of 11 (36.4%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts22 of 28
Red Zone Touchdowns13 of 28
Penalties – Yards42 – 378
Fumbles – Lost8 – 3

Blayne Myrick continues to pace the team with 58 total stops, 23 solo. He also has a sack, 5 tackles for loss, two pass breakups and a forced fumble to his resume. Jordan Scruggs is second on the team with 41 total stops, 19 solo, with an interception and a pass breakup.

Courtney McBride leads the team with 3 sacks. Tyler Thomas is next with 2 sacks.

Jaden Voisin’s three interceptions leads the team and is 14th nationally.

Wesley Miller’s interception against ULM ties him with Lardarius Webb for second on the team with two each.

Special Teams

Aleksi Pulkkinen averages 41.9 yards per punt with 13 downed inside the 20, 12 fair catches, 2 touchbacks, two kicks of 50+ yards and a season long of 67 yards.

Laith Marjan is 11 of 12 (91.7%) in field goals for the season, his only miss was from 52 yards. His season long is 49 yards. He is now officially 26 of 28 on extra points, but that counts as a miss against ULM was due to a poor snap and hold.

Jamaal Pritchett is still averaging 21.9 yards per punt return with the 1 touchdown on the season.

Keys to the Game

Turnovers

Georgia Southern’s defensive coordinator Brandon Bailey prioritizes defensive turnovers. They’ve forced seven interceptions but have only recovered three fumbles of the eight fumbles by opponents. On the other hand, the Eagles offense has turned the ball over 13 times (6 INT, 7 fumbles). Astonishingly, the Eagles have put the ball on the ground 16 times. So overall the Eagles are -3 in turnover margin.

South Alabama is very protective of the ball with only 4 offensive turnovers (3 fumbles, 1 INT). Defensively the Jags are pretty good at generating takeaways with 14 overall (11 INT, 3 fumbles) for a turnover margin of +11.

If past patterns continue, the Jags may have some opportunities to force some turnovers.

RTDB

The Jags found their offensive identity again last week: Run the damn ball.

In three of their four wins this season, the Jags have rushed for 300+ yards. The second half against ULM the Jags fully committed to the run and they ran all over the Warhawks.

The running back trio of Bothwell, Bullock and McReynolds were able to shoulder the run load and Gio only had to give the ball off. On passes, he stayed in the pocket more and didn’t move out immediately when he felt some pressure. Hopefully that was planned and not a change due to his lingering turf toe injury from week 1.

Getting the running backs rolling is a huge advantage for the Jags.

Pass Rush

Georgia Southern is predominantly a passing offense. Historically this has given the Jags problems. Generating a pass rush has been problematic in those instances. If they can get to the quarterback and make him uncomfortable, they can disrupt what they do and maybe force some more interceptions out of their quarterback.

Prediction

South Alabama is in the thick of the Sun Belt Conference West race. They have a chance to make another statement with a win. ULM entered with a darling storyline and the Jags were able to make a statement last week. Now they have a chance to knock off one of the eastern division leaders.

But it would also be nice to break “the pattern” and continue the current streak against the Eagles.

The Jags enter the match-up as a 6.5-point favorite. Once again, I have a feeling that the line is too high for whatever reason. I think the Jags win, but I don’t think they’ll cover. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again here, I’m completely open to them proving me wrong.

Go Jags!

Preview: West Division Showdown Against ULM

October 25, 2024 · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on Preview: West Division Showdown Against ULM 

Kickoff: Saturday, October 26, 4pm
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
TV/Streaming: ESPN+
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags on X (formerly known as Twitter): @USAThunderjags
#5 Jersey: TBA


Homecoming is a special tradition that dates back to the early 20th century. A number of schools claim they started the tradition as early at 1909, but a few sources have given the honor to the University of Missouri in 1911 when they faced Kansas and encouraged alumni to attend.

What does this have to do with South Alabama? Nothing really, other than this is homecoming week for the Jags.

Schools have started scheduling “easy” games for homecoming if they have the ability. With Sun Belt schools, they are…encouraged… to schedule all of their non-conference games in the first four weeks of the season. With schools who adhere to that scheduling “suggestion” that leaves scheduling your homecoming game against a conference foe.

That’s where we are now.

South Alabama (3-4, 2-1 Sun Belt Conference) will host their annual homecoming game this Saturday with the ULM Warhawks (5-1, 3-0 SBC).

Yes, you read that right! A Saturday game at Hancock Whitney Stadium! The Jags last played a Saturday home game in the season opener on August 31st.

Scheduling a conference opponent as your homecoming foe can be bulletin board material. Which ULM head coach Bryant Vincent has already alluded to this in his weekly press conference. They also enter the game after a full bye week, they last played on October 12th.

The Warhawks are out to a 5-1 start on the season for the first time ever as a FBS team and the first since 1987 when they played in Division I-AA (now known as FCS). Their 3-0 start in conference play is their first since 2017.

ULM has made a very quick turnaround since the hiring of Vincent. They were picked to finish last in the conference in the SBC Preseason poll but are currently tied atop the SBC West Division standings with Louisiana-Lafayette. Two of their three conference wins have been against teams that aren’t very good. Troy, which we previewed last week, has been plagued by injuries, loss of talent, and a coaching change. Last time out they defeated a downtrodden and dejected Southern Miss team who just fired their head coach after their latest loss. But in between those two games they defeated a James Madison team that has also seen a coaching change after last season’s magical run.

USA enters the game after a long rest from their Tuesday night win over Troy. The 25-9 victory broke a six-game losing streak to the in-state rival and hopefully propels them toward a strong finish down the stretch. They need at least three wins in their final five games to get bowl eligible for the third consecutive season, which would be another milestone for the rather young program.

South Alabama has an opportunity to knock off one of the top teams in the conference and the western division. While the Jags don’t completely control their destiny after the loss to Arkansas State, they have the remainder of the western division on their schedule to round out the season. If they win out, they still need a little help with Arkansas State.

But for that scenario to play out, they need to win on Saturday.

Louisiana-Monroe

Bryant Vincent was named the head coach in December of 2023 after ULM had only won 10 games in the previous three seasons under Tery Bowden.

Vincent has the Warhawks sitting at 5-1 and just one game away from bowl eligibility, which would be the first time since the 2018 season the Warhawks has won six games in a season.

Vincent was the offensive coordinator at the University of New Mexico for the 2023 season. He helped lead the Lobos to a top-20 ranking in red zone offense and rushing offense.

Prior to New Mexico, he was at UAB from 2018 to 2022 where he served as the offensive coordinator and interim head coach in 2022 when Bill Clark retired due to health reasons. He led the Blazers to a 7-6 record and a win the 2022 Bahamas Bowl. UAB’s offense averaged 30.1 points per game and 438.2 yards per game, which was in the top 35 of the nation. Also, during his tenure at UAB the Blazers set a FBS-program record for wins in a season (11-3), as they went 48-27 overall in his six seasons there. In the 2018 season alone the offense set new records for total points (418), total touchdowns (53), rushing touchdowns (32), total yards (5,680), and rushing yards (2,818).

Prior to UAB, Vincent was offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach at South Alabama. He helped lead the Jags to the 2016 Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl and record setting quarterback Dallas Davis, who at the time, threw for a school record 2,706 yards.

Before USA for the second time, he was hired at UAB as the offensive coordinator for a season in 2014 before the program was shut down. Before that he was at USA as tight ends coach in 2011 and then quarterbacks in 2012.

He was an accomplished high school football coach before jumping ranks to the college game. He was the 5A coach of the year at Greenville in 2006 and then went 39-13 at Spanish Fort High School from 2007-2010 winning a state title in his final season with the Toros.

Offense

 In the press release announcing the finalization of Vincent’s staff it had Jamaal Fobbs as offensive coordinator, whoever it’s not on his official title. Before ULM he was assistant head coach and offensive coordinator at Mile College. Before that he spent six seasons as the running backs coach for Tulane.

His experience building Tulane’s rushing attack into the top rush game in the AAC in 2020 with an average of 217.1 yards per game and 32 touchdowns (2nd nationally).

StatAverage per game
Points22.8
Total Offense279.8
Passing Offense123.5
Rushing Offense156.3
Time of Possession31:23
Penalty Yards56.5
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs29 of 80 (36.3%)
4th Downs6 of 8 (75%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts14 of 14
Red Zone Touchdowns8 of 14
Penalties – Yards47 – 339
Fumbles – Lost3 – 1

Aidan Armenta is the Warhawks leading passer going 37 of 62 (59.7%) for 481 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. General Booty is 28 of 53 (52.8%) for 241 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions.

Jake Godfrey is the teams leading receiver by yardage with 191 on 13 catches with a touchdown. Davon Wells is the teams leading pass catcher with 16 receptions for 108 yards and a touchdown. Three other receivers each have caught one touchdown each.

Ahmad Hardy leads the team rushing with 500 yards on 99 carries with 6 touchdowns. James Jones has 172 yards on 43 carries with a touchdown.

Defense

Earnest Hill came to ULM from UAB after two seasons at UAB as the Stars/Nickels coach. Before UAB he was the running backs coach at South Alabama during the 2021 season.

Prior to USA he was head coach at McGill-Toolen Catholic High School where he went 40-8 overall with a state championship game appearance in his first season at the helm.

Through the first half of the season the defense has played very strong. If you take out the 51-3 loss to #1 Texas, the Warhawks are allowing an average of 13.8 points per game and will be an interesting matchup against the South Alabama offense.

StatAverage per game
Points20
Total Offense341.3
Passing Offense189.8
Rushing Offense151.5
Time of Possession28:37
Penalty Yards66.2
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs30 of 79 (38%)
4th Downs4 of 15 (26.7%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts16 of 17
Red Zone Touchdowns10 of 17
Penalties – Yards56 – 397
Fumbles – Lost8 – 4

Carl Glass Jr leads the team in stops with 48, 20 solo, with a half sack, two quarterback hurries, and a forced fumble. Wydett Williams Jr leads the team in interceptions with 3 but is also second on the team with 47 total stops, 20 solo, with a sack, two pass breakups and a fumble recovery.

Billy Pullen leads the team with 4 sacks. Tristan Shorter is right behind him with 3 sacks.

Kevontay Wells leads the Warhawks with 7.5 tackles for loss with Pullen in line behind him with 5.5 TFLs.

Special Teams

Makenzie Ryan is averaging 39.6 yards per punt on his 31 kicks, with 15 downed inside the 20, nine fair catches, 3 touchbacks and 2 kicks of 50+ with his longest going 59 yards.

Max Larson is 8-of-10 on field goals with both of his misses coming from 40+ yards via blocks. His season long is 47 yards. He is also 14-of-15 on extra point attempts.

Davon Wells is averaging 7.4 yards per punt return across his 5 returns. 

South Alabama

Thankfully the Jags had a long rest after the last game to prepare for this week. It also allowed them extra time to let the emotional high to wear off from the rivalry game win over Troy. Also to allow some extra time for players to heal from a very physical game.

While the defense played very good against Troy, the offense struggled against what is still a very strong defensive unit for the Trojans. The offensive line and the Troy defensive front were battling hard every down and made the Jags earn every yard they gained.

Defensively the Jags held the Trojans under 100 yards of total offense until late in the third quarter.

Offense

StatAverage per game
Points34.9
Total Offense445
Passing Offense248.6
Rushing Offense196.4
Time of Possession31:56
Penalty Yards70.6

Gio Lopez is 110-for-170 (64.7%) for 1,464 yards, 13 touchdowns and 1 interception in the six games he’s played this season.

Jamaal Pritchett leads the team with 39 catches for 573 yards and 6 touchdowns. Jeremiah Webb is coming up the list and is second on the team in receiving yards with 253 on 15 catches with 2 touchdowns. Devin Voisin has 224 yards on 19 catches.

Fluff Bothwell leads the team with 461 yards on 68 carries with 6 touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock has 364 yards on 67 carries with three touchdowns. Gio is third on the team with 325 yards on 52 carries with three touchdowns.

StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs36 of 89 (40.5%)
4th Downs6 of 10 (60%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts27 of 32
Red Zone Touchdowns19 of 32
Penalties – Yards57 – 494
Fumbles – Lost6 – 2

Defense

StatAverage per game
Points24.6
Total Offense403.7
Passing Offense285.4
Rushing Offense118.3
Time of Possession28:04
Penalty Yards52.6
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs36 of 92 (39.1%)
4th Downs2 of 7 (28.6%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts21 of 26
Red Zone Touchdowns12 of 26
Penalties – Yards40 – 368
Fumbles – Lost7 – 3

Blayne Myrick leads the defense with 51 total tops, 20 solo, with 4 TFLs, two pass breakups and a forced fumble. Jordan Scruggs is next with 36 total stops, 17 solo, with 2.5 TFLs, an interception and a pass breakup.

Jaden Voisin leads the team with three interceptions, and is tied for the career record at South Alabama. Lardarius Webb Jr has two interceptions. Scruggs and three other players have one interception each.

Courtney McBride Jr leads the team with 3 sacks. Tyler Thomas has two sacks.

Special Teams

Aleksi Pulkkinen is averaging 40.5 yards per kick across his 24 punts with 11 downed inside the 20, 10 fair caught and 1 kick of 50 yards.

Laith Marjan is 10-of-11 on the season with the only miss coming from a 52-yard attempt. His longest made attempt was from 49 yards. He is also 21-of-22 on extra point attempts.

Keys to the Game

Offensive Identity

The Jags offense needs to find its identity again. After putting up 135 points in the two games against Northwestern State and Appalachian State, the Jags are averaging only 17 points per game over their last three. Or if you want to toss aside the LSU game, the Jags are averaging 20.5 points per game over their last two outings against Sun Belt opponents.

Either way you stack it, their offense isn’t running with the same effectiveness as it did over the first few games of the season. Some of it can be blamed on injuries. Reed Buys, arguably the best offensive lineman, has missed some playing time. Gio Lopez suffered a turf toe injury in the season opener and sat out the second game. But that injury will continue to plague him the rest of the season until he can rest it for an extended amount of time.

The Warhawks defense has been a scrappy, stingy bunch and they will do whatever they can to disrupt the Jags offense and keep them off the scoreboard. So, they need to find what their identity going forward is going to be and quick.

Penalties

The Jags had 100 yards assessed in penalty yardage against the Trojans. There were only nine flags on them too. That’s a lot of yardage to give back. That’s over half of the Trojans offensive yardage total for the game in just penalties for the Jags.

The worst were the offensive procedure penalties that kept putting the Jags behind the down and distance schedule.

Cleaning up these issues with recurring procedure penalties need to be a high priority.

Stopping the Run

This is a strength of the Jags defense, but ULM’s offense is predicated on the run game. If they have problems stopping the run, it could be a long night for South Alabama.

But the linebacker corps, which was already thin, lost one of their most experienced players for the season last week. Gavin Forsha suffered a knee injury against Troy and sounds like he is out for the season.

How will this affect the defense? We’ll soon see.

Prediction

The Jags entered at a 7.5-point favorite and it’s been shown that my predictions against the spread with USA has not been the best. But let’s do this again.

ULM seems to be playing well but if you look closer at their schedule so far, you really don’t get a sense of the team. The Texas game went about as expected honestly. The overall record of their opponents so far is 17-24 with three opponents with only one win on their resumes and all three of them being wins over FCS programs.

The win over UAB was more satisfactory in a revenge storyline, but you cannot count it as a quality win when their record is 1-6 with their only win over FCS Alcorn State.

The quality win of the season so far is James Madison (5-2), who’s only other loss is Georgia Southern.

Similar to the last two wins, the Jags need to jump on the Warhawks early and force ULM to play from behind. Their offense really doesn’t lend itself to play from multi-score deficit. Their identity on offense is to run the ball and chew the clock. Coaches on both sides have been saying that possessions will be at a premium in the game.

 So, a bonus Key to the Game will be turnovers. Both teams are good at forcing turnovers. The Jags are +9 for the season and ULM is +4. If possessions are at a premium as the coaches alluded to, a turnover that leads to points would be a huge advantage to the benefiting team.

I think the Jags win, but I don’t think they cover the 7.5.

Go Jags!

Preview: Battle For The Belt 2024

October 14, 2024 · Filed Under Battle For The Belt, Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on Preview: Battle For The Belt 2024 

Kickoff: Tuesday, October 15, 6:30pm
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
TV/Streaming: ESPN2
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags on X (formerly known as Twitter): @USAThunderjags
#5 Jersey: Fluff Bothwell


Battle for the Belt.

The yearly renewal of the in-state rivalry between South Alabama and Troy has been fairly one sided over the last few years but the animosity between the two remains as heated as ever. Troy has won the last six meetings between the two, including a 28-10 victory last season that saw Gio Lopez get his first career start as a true freshman.

The Jags (2-4, 1-1 Sun Belt Conference) and the Trojans (1-5, 0-2 SBC) both enter the game with something to prove and two-game losing streaks each. The Jags dropped a lopsided game at LSU then just over a week ago they lost a heart breaker at Arkansas State on a field goal with under a minute to go. Troy fell to Louisiana-Monroe and Texas State at home and see their path to a bowl game shrinking.

Both teams enter with a sense of urgency on top of the drive of playing in a rivalry game.

South Alabama hasn’t defeated Troy since the 19-8 defensive battle at Troy in 2017. Six consecutive losses. Steve Campbell went 0-3 and Kane Wommack went 0-3 in their coaching careers in the Battle for the Belt. Now head coach Major Applewhite gets to see how we fares in the rivalry.

The Jag seniors have never held the belt after a win while the Troy seniors have never had it leave their possession.

With two new head coaches, what does the 2024 renewals have in store for us?

Troy

The Trojans are led by first-year head coach Gerad Parker. He was selected to fill the position left vacant when Jon Sumrall left to take the head job at Tulane. He posting a 23-4 record overall and 16-2 in conference play during his time at Troy.

Parker previously served as offensive coordinator at Notre Dame for the 2023 season, where the Fighting Irish ranked 8th national averaging 39.1 points per game, 12th nationally in passing efficiency, and 29th in total offense. The Irish finished with a 9-3 record.

 The 2022 season he was the tight ends coach at Notre Dame. Previous to Notre Dame, Parker served as the offensive coordinator at West Virginia for 2020-2021. Before that he had stops at Penn State, Duke, Purdue, Marshall, and UT Martin. He served as interim head coach for six games at Purdue in 2016.

The Trojans entered the season with only 11 seniors and only returned a few starters.  

Offense

The offense is led by Sean Reagan who returns to Troy for his 11th season overall as a coach. He returns after a 5-year stint at West Virginia under former Troy head coach Neal Brown. Prior to his first stint at Troy, he served as a graduate assistant at Texas Tech.

In 2018 he was Co-offensive coordinator before leaving with Brown for West Virginia. He worked in varying capacities until he was named passing game coordinator for the 2023 season.

StatAverage per game
Points20.7
Total Offense334.2
Passing Offense202.3
Rushing Offense131.8
Time of Possession28:32
Penalty Yards69
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs38-of-79 (48.1%)
4th Downs3-of-7 (42.9%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts13 of 13
Red Zone Touchdowns8 of 13
Penalties – Yards44 – 414
Fumbles – Lost8 – 3

Goose Crowder is the Trojans starting quarterback but he’s missed time due to injury, including their previous game against Louisiana-Monroe. He is 43 of 62 (69.4%) for 543 yards and 5 touchdowns in five games played. Tucker Kilcrease, who started last week against the Warhawks, is 26 of 44 (59.1%) for 383 yards and three touchdowns. Matthew Caldwell has seen action in four games and is 27 of 45 (60%) for 288 yards with a touchdown and an interception but he too was injured.

Devonte Ross leads the Trojans with 31 catches for 556 yards and 7 touchdowns. Peyton Higgins has 20 catches for 187 yards. Zeriah Beason has 13 catches for 172 yards.

Damien Taylor leads the Trojan rushing attack with 399 yards on 68 carries with 2 touchdowns. Gerald Green has 201 yards on 47 carries with a touchdown. Kilcrease is third on the team with 118 yards on 34 carries.

Defense

The defense is under the direction of Dontae Wright, who also comes to Troy from West Virginia where he coached safeties from 2020-23. Before WVU he coaches safeties at Western Michigan 2018-19.

He previously served as defensive coordinator at Tennessee Tech in 2017 and at Morehead State in 2015.

StatAverage per game
Points27.8
Total Offense380.7
Passing Offense198.8
Rushing Offense181.8
Time of Possession31:28
Penalty Yards54.3
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs30-of-70 (42.9%)
4th Downs2-of-6 (33.3%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts19 of 21
Red Zone Touchdowns13 of 21
Penalties – Yards35 – 326
Fumbles – Lost4 – 1

Jordan Stringer (Jr LB) leads the team with 43 total stops, 20 solo, with 3 TFL’s, a sack and an interception. Justin Powe (Sr S) has 37 total stops, 23 solo, with a TFL and an interception.

Phillip Lee leads the team with 5 TFL’s. Six different players have one sack each as well as three different players have one interception each.

Special Teams

Robert Cole is averaging 40.4 yards per punt with 12 fair catches, 3 downed inside the 20, a touchback and a long of 59 yards.

Scott Taylor Renfroe is 7 of 8 on field goal attempts with a long of 49 yards and is also 13 of 14 on extra point attempts.

Ross leads the Trojans with an average of 36 yards per return across his 3 punt returns, with one returned for a touchdown.

South Alabama

The Jaguar offense and defense played out of character last time out against Arkansas State. The offense couldn’t move the ball consistently or well enough to score for most of the game. The defense, who played poorly over the first two games and LSU, played great holding the Red Wolves to only 18 points. Unfortunately, they couldn’t get a stop when it mattered most though. Arkansas State marched right down the field on their final drive to set up the game winning field goal.

But what plagued the Jags the most last week were penalties. When you are penalized 11 times for a total of 100 yards, it’s hard to win a game.  

While South Alabama has a very favorable turnover margin (+6), their only turnover last week was an interception at a terrible time. The interception thrown by Gio Lopez was the first interception thrown on the season by any Jaguar quarterback. They have fumbled six times but only lost the ball twice. Meanwhile the defense has recovered three fumbles and picked off opposing quarterbacks six times.

Offense

StatAverage per game
Points36.5
Total Offense466.2
Passing Offense263.7
Rushing Offense202.5
Time of Possession31:16
Penalty Yards65.7
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs31 of 74 (41.9%)
4th Downs6 of 10 (60%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts24 of 28
Red Zone Touchdowns19 of 28
Penalties – Yards48 – 394
Fumbles – Lost6 – 2

Gio Lopez is 94 of 149 (63.1%) for 1,306 yards, 12 touchdowns and one interception in five games. Bishop Davenport is 27 of 46 (58.7%) for 276 yards and a touchdown.

Jamaal Pritchett leads the receiving corps by a wide margin, he has almost 3x the catches as the next receiver on the team. He has 36 catches for 531 yards and 6 touchdowns. Devin Voisin has 18 catches for 221 yards. Jeremiah Webb has 12 catches for 224 yards and a touchdown. Anthony Eager has 6 catches for 122 yards and two touchdowns.

Fluff Bothwell leads the Jags with 408 rushing yards on 56 carries with 6 touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock has 326 yards on 52 carries with 3 touchdowns. Lopez has 258 yards on 41 carries with 2 touchdowns.

Defense

StatAverage per game
Points27.2
Total Offense442.3
Passing Offense310.3
Rushing Offense132
Time of Possession28:44
Penalty Yards55.7
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs32 of 79 (40.5%)
4th Downs2 of 5 (40%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts19 of 24
Red Zone Touchdowns12 of 24
Penalties – Yards31 – 283
Fumbles – Lost6 – 3

Blayne Myrick paces the team with 50 total stops, 20 solo, with 4 Tackles for Loss, 2 pass breakups and a forced fumble. Jordan Scruggs is next in line with 30 total stops, 13 solo, with 2.5 TFL’s, and interception and a pass breakup.

Courtney McBride Jr and Tyler Thomas shared the lead with 2 sacks each.

Jaden Voisin leads the team with two interceptions. Scruggs, Amarion Fortenberry, Lardarius Webb Jr., and Chrystyile Caldwell have one pick each.

Special Teams

Aleksi Pulkkinen continues to be the team’s punter with an average of 41.2 yards per attempt across his 20 punts with 11 downed inside the 20 and 8 fair catches.

Laith Marjan is 7-of-8 on field goal attempts this season with a long of 49 yards and his only miss was from about 52 yards and has made 19 of his 20 extra point attempts.

Pritchett is averaging 24.5 yards per punt return including a 62-yard touchdown return against Northwestern Louisiana.

Keys to the Game

Injuries

The Jag offensive line dictate how the offense goes. Reed Buys missed about half or more of the Arkansas State game and the offense floundered outside of the two touchdown drives. It’s affected both the running and passing game.

It seemed fairly obvious that Gio Lopez was being affected by the turf toe some. He was moving around differently and was off on his deep throws. 

With the additional time since the last game hopefully the Jags have been able to get a little rest and treatment so they can get back to closer to full strength again.

Quarterback Pressure

The defense was able to get plenty of pressure on App State’s quarterback but couldn’t generate much against LSU or Arkansas State. On the final drive by the Red Wolves they just couldn’t generate anything, and they got picked apart with the cushion they gave the receivers.

Troy has had plenty of injuries but the quarterback position has been affected a lot this season. In six games they have had to start three different signal callers due to injury. But no matter who is starting behind center, the Jags have to generate pressure.

Penalties

The Jags can’t beat themselves with penalties. They were flagged several times offensively for various infractions last game. Offensive penalties hurt you in two key ways: they put you behind the sticks and they rob you of momentum. The Jags had it 2nd and 10 at the ASU 11 yard line late in the game. They were then flagged for a false start and a hold over the next three plays which made it 3rd and 25 at the 26-yard line. Fortunately, Lopez was able to find Pritchett for a touchdown on the next play, but they didn’t make it any easier on themselves with those two penalties.

Cleaning up those penalties will be key this week. Also making sure they stay disciplined mentally heading into a rivalry game should be a focus for the players and coaches. They can’t allow themselves to lose focus and get drawn into committing penalties if they encounter any adversity or jawing back and forth.

Prediction

 It’s dangerous to play a rival when they’re licking their wounds with their backs against the wall.

While Troy’s record is bad, South Alabama’s record isn’t much better. Both teams need a win if they want to get bowl eligible and they both are seeing the number of games remaining dwindling. Both teams could easily have two more wins than their current records reflect.

But if South Alabama plays up to their capabilities, they can beat anyone left of their schedule. It just depends which team shows up at Hancock Whitney Stadium Tuesday night.

It’s times to bring the belt back to Mobile.

The Jags are a 13.5-point favorite in the game. I think the Jags win, but I don’t think they cover. Jags win a close game to get the belt back against a Troy team that’ll pull out all the stops.

Go Jags!

Preview: South Alabama Travels To Arkansas State In West Division Showdown

October 4, 2024 · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on Preview: South Alabama Travels To Arkansas State In West Division Showdown 

Kickoff: Saturday, October 6, 6pm
Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, AR
TV/Streaming: ESPN+
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags on X (formerly known as Twitter): @USAThunderjags
#5 Jersey: TBA


South Alabama went to LSU last Saturday and was in the game for about three plays. Well, technically it was about nine plays, but it only took LSU three offensive snaps to really show where the game was going. On those three plays they gained 158 yards and put two touchdowns on the scoreboard.

The Jags (2-3, 1-0 Sun Belt) could never really mount a comeback after that as LSU (4-1) showed they had the bigger, stronger, faster team on Saturday night in Tiger Stadium.

The Jaguar offense protected the ball very well, the defense generated two turnovers to further bolster their turnover margin on the season to +7 after picking off Garrett Nussmeier twice in the contest. Neither Gio Lopez nor Bishop Davenport have thrown an interception this season, which makes the Jags one of only five schools who haven’t had a pass intercepted yet on the season.

Now that the Jags have concluded their non-conference slate, the focus is now on the remaining seven games that are all conference contests. Next up in Arkansas State (2-2, 0-0).

Arkansas State

The Red Wolves are led by fourth-year head coach Butch Jones. He holds a 13-28 record at ASU with a 6-18 conference record since taking over the program. The win total has improved each season under his leadership and led them to the Camellia Bowl last season (loss to Northern Illinois 21-19).

Over his 14 seasons as a head coach, Jones is 97-82 with previous stops at Central Michigan (2007-2009), Cincinnati (2010-2012), and Tennessee (2013-2017). He served as an offensive analyst and special assistant to the head coach at Alabama from 2018-2020.

Last season the Jags earned a hard-fought victory over the Red Wolves in Mobile when they needed to win two of the last three in order to get bowl eligible.

Arkansas State (2-2, 0-0 SBC) opened the season with a pair of close wins over FCS Central Arkansas and Tulsa but have lost their last two matchups at #16 Michigan (28-18) and at Iowa State (52-7).

So far this season the Red Wolves have a turnover margin of -2. They have given the ball away on 5 interceptions and lost four fumbles while the defense has taken the ball away from opponents six times by interception and only recovered one fumble.

Offense

The Red Wolves offense is under the direction of Keith Heckendorf in his sixth season at the position. He held the position for the two years before Jones took over. Under his guidance, the Red Wolves offense has put up lots of numbers through the air. True freshman Jaylen Raynor was the first true-freshman quarterback to be named SBC Freshman of the Year since 2007 and only the second in conference history. He finished with 2,543 yards passing with 17 touchdowns along with 380 yards rushing and five more touchdowns.

Raynor is 69-of-128 for 780 yards with 3 touchdowns and 5 interceptions passing and is leading the rushing attack with 143 yards on 44 carries with 2 touchdowns. Timmy McClain is 11-of-18 for 132 yards and three touchdowns in limited action, mostly when Raynor was benched against Iowa State.

Corey Rucker leads the receiving corps with 265 yards on 17 catches with 2 touchdowns. Courtney Jackson has 150 yards on 14 catches. Reagan Ealy has 140 yards on 11 catches.

Behind Raynor is Zak Wallace who has 134 yards on 40 carries with 2 touchdowns. Freshman Devin Spencer has 80 yards on 16 carries in three games. Junior Ja’Quez Cross has 61 yards on 21 carries.

StatAverage per game
Points21.8
Total Offense328.8
Passing Offense228
Rushing Offense100.8
Time of Possession29:28
Penalty Yards53
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs31-of-71 (43.7%)
4th Downs3-of-5 (60%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts8-of-9
Red Zone Touchdowns6-of-9
Penalties – Yards21 – 212
Fumbles – Lost8 – 4

Coming off a bye week, the Red Wolves have a pair of offensive linemen who are trending towards returning to the lineup. Coming into the season Arkansas State expected to have a better running game but it has yet to appear.  

Will they debut a more improved run game when the Jaguars come to town?

Defense

Defensive coordinator Rob Harley is in his fourth season as the defensive play caller for the Red Wolves. Statistically the defense had improved along with the results in the win-loss column. Their red zone defense improved by 82 spots in the national rankings as well as ranking 20th in the nation with an average of 6.8 Tackles for Loss per game.

Marvin Ham (R-Sr LB) and Justin Parks (Sr-Safety) pace the defense with 31 total stops each. Ham has 10 solo with a quarterback hurry, 2.5 TFL’s and .5 sacks. Parks has 15 solo, 1.5 TFL’s, a pass breakup and a forced fumble. Trevian Thomas is third on the team with 29 stops, 16 solo.

Thomas and Dontay Joyner are team co-leaders with 2 interceptions each. Two other defenders have one interception each.

Jayden Jones leads the team with 4 TFLs and 2 sacks.

StatAverage per game
Points33.8
Total Offense429.8
Passing Offense195.8
Rushing Offense234
Time of Possession30:31
Penalty Yards50.3
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs24-of-49 (49%)
4th Downs2-of-2 (100%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts15-of-15
Red Zone Touchdowns13-of-15
Penalties – Yards26 – 201
Fumbles – Lost3 – 1

The Red Wolves defense also has a few players that have been out due to injuries. Unlike their offensive counterparts, their return seems to be less certain. Massachusetts transfer senior cornerback Jordan Mahoney and senior Texas A&M transfer defensive lineman Micaiah Overton are two key pieces the Red Wolves hope to return.

ASU has been susceptible to big, pass-catching tight ends. Could this be a game where Coach Applewhite and offensive coordinator Rob Ezell lean more on DJ Thomas-Jones?

Special Teams

Ryan Heicher is averaging 44.2 yards per punt attempt with 10 fair catches, 7 downed inside the 20, 4 kicks of 50+ yards and a long of 56 over his 20 kicks.

Clune Van Andel is 3-of-6 on his field goal attempts with a long of 44 yards and only 1-of-4 from 30+ yards out.

Courtney Jackson is averaging 17.5 yards per punt return over his 8 returns including one for a 77-yard touchdown.

South Alabama

The Jaguars record-setting run over the last two games came back to earth against LSU. While the Jags looked great against App State, a fellow Sun Belt program, they didn’t match up very well against one of the upper programs in the SEC.

The second half was a bit different, with the Jags scoring their only touchdown while holding LSU to only one touchdown.

This week will be more telling as the Jags return to conference play.

Offense

South Alabama couldn’t establish a running game and the LSU defense was able to routinely get pressure on Lopez and Davenport. The offensive line was outplayed at the line of scrimmage, but still look to be a really good group that have been improving week after week.

Lopez is 73-of-114 (64%) for 1,014 yards and 10 touchdowns through the air. Bishop Davenport is 27-of-45 (60%) for 276 yards and a touchdown.

Jamaal Pritchett, despite leaving the game early against LSU, still leads the team with 29 catches for 394 yards and 4 touchdowns. Devin Voisin is next on the team with 17 catches for 207 yards.

Anthony Eager has 114 yards on 5 catches with two touchdowns. He scored the only touchdown against LSU as he stepped up when Pritchett was unavailable.

Tight end DJ Thomas-Jones adds 60 yards on only 7 catches with 3 touchdowns.

True freshman Fluff Bothwell leads the team with 376 yards on 47 carries with 6 touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock has 260 yards on 39 carries with 3 touchdowns. Lopez in third on the team with 204 yards on 31 carries with 2 touchdowns.

StatAverage per game
Points40.6
Total Offense468.8
Passing Offense258
Rushing Offense210.8
Time of Possession31:19
Penalty Yards58.8
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs25-of-61 (41%)
4th Downs5-of-8 (62.5%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts23-of-25
Red Zone Touchdowns18-of-25
Penalties – Yards37 – 294
Fumbles – Lost5 – 2

Defense

Blayne Myrick continues to lead the defense with 37 total stops, 12 solo, with 2 pass breakups, a TFL and a forced fumble. Jordan Scruggs is next with 25 total stops, 10 solo, with 1.5 TFL’s, a pass breakup and an interception.

Jaden Voisin leads the team with 2 interceptions and has 24 total stops, 16 solo. Scruggs, Amarion Fortenberry, Lardarius Webb Jr and Caldwell Chrystyile each have an interception.

Four Jags all share the lead with one sack each.

StatAverage per game
Points29
Total Offense448.6
Passing Offense303.4
Rushing Offense145.2
Time of Possession28:41
Penalty Yards56.6
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs27-of-64 (42.2%)
4th Downs1-of-4 (25%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts14-of-19
Red Zone Touchdowns11-of-19
Penalties – Yards31 – 283
Fumbles – Lost5 – 3

Special Teams

Aleksi Pulkkinen handled all of the punting duties against LSU and is averaging 41 yards per kick with 7 downed inside the 20, 6 fair catches and 1 punt of 50 yards is his longest.

Laith Marjan is 6-of-7 on the season with a season long of 49 yards last week against LSU.

Jamaal Pritchett is averaging 28 yards per punt return over his 7 returns including one touchdown return of 62 yards.

Keys to the Game

Quarterback Pressure

In the two games prior to LSU the Jags defense generated more pressure on the quarterback and forced bad passes and even some interceptions. They didn’t allow the quarterback to hang in the pocket and wait for a receiver to get open to pick the defense apart.

Even the week before against Ohio, while they didn’t generate a lot of qb pressure, they started to generate some and it showed both on the scoreboard and on the stat sheet. Though they didn’t manage a win, they played well enough to win.

Against LSU the Jags only managed to get the slightest pressure on the qb and even then, they managed force a couple of incompletions and two interceptions.

Arkansas State is so predominantly a passing team that getting pressure on Raynor will be key to disrupt their game script and prevent them from running up-tempo to take advantage of matchups. Plus Raynor already has five interceptions on the season, the Jags could add to their interception column.

Establishing the Run

When the Jags can run the ball, their offense runs much more efficiently. The Red Wolves allow an average of almost 200 yards rushing per game. With Bullock, Bothwell, PJ Martin, and Braylon McReynolds, who we haven’t seen in a few games, South Alabama has a strong rotation of backs to keep fresh legs in the game and pound on the ASU defense.

Explosive Plays

Explosive plays have caused havoc against the South Alabama defense. In almost every game the defense has allowed an explosive play for a touchdown. Even against Northwestern State they gave up a 74-yard touchdown catch and run for the Demon’s only touchdown of the game.

Last week explosive plays doomed them from the start with a 71-yard touchdown pass and run on the first snap of the game. Then LSU’s second offensive snap they rush for 86 yards before being stopped at the 1-yard line (they scored on the very next play).  

Prediction

South Alabama is a 2.5-point favorite against Arkansas State in Jonesboro. Only recently have the Jags found any success on the road in Arkansas. The Jags have won the previous two meetings in Jonesboro, however they were 0-for-4 at Centennial Bank Stadium prior to that. They’ve also won the five meetings overall between the two programs.

Arkansas State is not an easy place to play, or even to get to really. Which may be a reason why it’s a tough location to play.

While this isn’t the same Arkansas State team that the Jags have faced in Jonesboro that previous two match-ups there, they have improved somewhat.

Injury wise, the Jags are trending well this week. Jamaal Pritchett left the LSU game late in the first quarter and was in the concussion protocol returned to practice on Wednesday in a limited capacity. Cornerback Reggie Neely (ankle in the season opener) and safety Trent Singleton (R-So) transfer from Mississippi State (foot injury in preseason camp) are both expected to be available to play. Gio Lopez was pulled from the game in the fourth quarter after a sack, Applewhite explained that he got up “gimpy” so they took him out as a precaution.

I think the Jags win and cover. They have a lot to play for this season and they won’t let last week define their season.

Go Jags!

Preview: South Alabama Visits #14 LSU For Nighttime Showdown In Death Valley

September 27, 2024 · Filed Under Football · Comments Off on Preview: South Alabama Visits #14 LSU For Nighttime Showdown In Death Valley 

Kickoff: Saturday, September 28, 6:45pm
Venue: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
TV/Streaming: SEC Network
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags on X (formerly known as Twitter): @USAThunderjags
#5 Jersey: TBA


South Alabama travels to Baton Rouge to play in one of the toughest environments in college football: Tiger Stadium. The Jags (2-2) are in the second game of a three-game road swing after their 48-14 dismantling of Appalachian State on Thursday, September 19th in Boone, NC. The #14 ranked LSU Tigers are looking to handle business and get to their bye week to rest and heal up.

The Jags are considered one of the hottest teams in the nation right now. Over the last two weeks they have outscored their opponents by a combined score of 135-24. Head coach Major Applewhite and offensive coordinator Rob Ezell have been making all the right calls offensively and defensive coordinator Will Windham has been doing the same on the opposite side of the ball.

Meanwhile LSU (3-1) enters the game in the second game of a three-game homestand by welcoming USA. Last week the Tigers held UCLA scoreless in the second half to pull away for a 34-17 win after taking a 17-all tie into halftime. The Tigers opened the season with a narrow loss to USC in the Vegas Kickoff Classic then followed with a closer-than-expected game against Nicholls (44-21) and a narrow victory on the road at South Carolina (36-33).

This will be the highest ranked opponent the Jags have faced since they took the field against #10 ranked Oklahoma State in 2017 and the first ranked opponent since playing #25 Louisiana-Lafayette in 2020.

LSU

LSU is led by third-year head coach Brian Kelly, who LSU hired away from Notre Dame after 12 seasons as the head guy there. He was 92-40 with the Fighting Irish after vacating 22 wins in the 2012 and 2013 seasons due to academic misconduct. He also had a record of 4-6 in bowl games after a vacated win in the 2013 Pinstripe bowl.

So far Kelly is 23-8 and 13-4 in SEC games at LSU. His career record is 286-104-2 in his 34th year as a head football coach.

Before Notre Dame, he spent 13 seasons at Grand Valley State (118-35-2 from 1991-2003), three seasons at Central Michigan (19-16 from 2004-2006), and four seasons at Cincinnati (34-6 from 2006-2009).

Getting into the stats, the Tigers have been able to generate six turnovers defensively and have forced nine fumbles overall. They have a +3-turnover margin through the first four games of the season.

Offense

Garrett Nussmeier is the Tigers’ starting quarterback going 113-of-160 (70.6%) with 13 touchdowns and two interceptions on the season.

Mason Taylor is the leading pass catcher on the team with 25 receptions for 237 yards and a touchdown. Aaron Anderson leads the team in receiving yards with 298 on 21 catches with a touchdown. Kyren Lacy is the teams leading scoring receiver with 5 touchdowns on 20 catches with 245 yards. CJ Daniels adds 199 yards on 17 catches while Zavion Thomas rounds out the double-digit receptions with 10 catches for 76 yards and two touchdowns.

The Tigers have two 100-yard rushers on the season. Josh Williams has 134 yards on 36 carries with two touchdowns while averaging 3.7 yards per carry. Caden Durham has 116 yards on 22 carries with two touchdowns while averaging 5.3 yards per carry.

Keleb Jackson has 95 yards on 26 carries while John Emery Jr has 61 yards on 10 carries.

StatAverage per game
Points33.5
Total Offense418.5
Passing Offense239.8
Rushing Offense119
Time of Possession27:54
Penalty Yards83.3
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs25-of-51 (49%)
4th Downs2-of-5 (40%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts17-of-20
Red Zone Touchdowns13-of-20
Penalties – Yards31 – 237
Fumbles – Lost1 – 1

Defense

Whit Weeks leads the defense with 30 total stops, 17 solo, with 1.5 tackles for loss. Greg Penn III is second on the team with 24 stops, 10 solo, with 1 TFL and a forced fumble.

As a team the Tigers have 12 sacks with Bradyn Swinson leading the team with 5 for a loss of 45 yards with two quarterback hurries and two forced fumbles. Sai’vion Jones is right behind him with 4 sacks (19 yards) with two forced fumbles and a fumble recovery.

The defense only has two pass interceptions. Zy Alexander and Jardin Gilbert each have one pick each.

However, the Tigers have lost Harld Perkins Jr for the season due to an ACL tear. While he hasn’t put up flashy numbers, he has been a player offenses have had to account for every play. Could that be a factor in this game?

StatAverage per game
Points24.5
Total Offense358.8
Passing Offense321.3
Rushing Offense134.7
Time of Possession31:57
Penalty Yards64.7
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs17-of-46 (37%)
4th Downs2-of-6 (33%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts11-of-12
Red Zone Touchdowns8-of-12
Penalties – Yards36 – 333
Fumbles – Lost9 – 4

Special Teams

Peyton Todd has handled the majority of the punting duties with an average of 40.7 yards per kick, five fair catches and two downed inside the 20. Blake Ochsendorf is averaging 37.7 yards per attempts with one fair catch and all three of his attempts downed inside the 20.

Damian Ramos is 5-of-6 on field goals this season with a long of 45.

South Alabama

After a pair of losses to begin the season, the Jags have gelled as a team and found their footing in their last two games. The offensive line, who lost a few players in summer camp for various reasons, have improved leaps and bounds over the first four games. They controlled the line of scrimmage against Appalachian State. They’ll face their toughest test yet when they take on LSU Saturday night.

Similarly, the defense has matured a lot over the first four weeks. After only returning two starters, the Jags started the season with a bit of a learning curve experience wise. They’ve improved each and every week. Over the first two weeks the defensive front couldn’t get any pressure on the quarterback, then last week they were harassing Joey Aguilar on pretty much every play.

The Jags have a +5-turnover margin on the season with only two fumbles lost while the defense has a total of 7 take-aways (4 interceptions and 3 fumble recoveries).

Offense

The offense starts with Gio Lopez, who showed that his turf toe injury is not bothering him anymore. He is 57-of-92 (62%) with nine touchdowns and no interceptions on the season.

Jamaal Pritchett continues to lead the receiving corps in receptions (26), yards (354), and touchdowns (4). Devin Voisin has 16 catches for 206 yards on the season. Jeremiah Webb adds 10 catches for 185 yards with a touchdown. DJ Thomas-Jones has 6 catches for 52 yards with three of them being touchdown receptions.

True freshman Fluff Bothwell has emerged as the Jags leading back with 359 yards on 37 carries with six touchdowns through four games. Kentrel Bullock has 204 yards on 30 carries with three touchdowns.

Both Bothwell and Bullock have recorded 100-yard games the last two games.

Gio Lopez is third on the team with 171 yards on 21 carries with a pair of touchdowns.

StatAverage per game
Points48.3
Total Offense502.8
Passing Offense267.3
Rushing Offense235.5
Time of Possession31:24
Penalty Yards64.8
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs21-of-47 (44.7%)
4th Downs4-of-5 (80%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts23-of-24
Red Zone Touchdowns18-of-24
Penalties – Yards32 – 259
Fumbles – Lost4 – 2

Defense

Blayne Myrick continues to pace the defense with 34 total stops, 11 solo, with two pass breakups and a forced fumble. Jordan Scruggs and Jaden Voisin are next with 21 stops each, Voisin with 13 solo while Scruggs has 9 solo and 1.5 Tackles for loss.

The Jags defense has intercepted four passes on the season, Scruggs earned the Sun Belt Player of the Week honor with his 96-yard interception return, it would have been a 100-yard touchdown return however an App State defender pulled him down from behind with a horse collar tackle. Voisin, Amarion Fortenberry, and Chrystyile Caldwell each have one interception each.

Defensively the Jags only have four sacks on the season. Jordan Norman, Maurice Strong Jr, Courtney McBride Jr, and Tyler Thomas have collected one sack each.

StatAverage per game
Points25.8
Total Offense394
Passing Offense271.8
Rushing Offense122.3
Time of Possession28:36
Penalty Yards60.8
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs21-of-55 (38%)
4th Downs1-of-4 (25%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts10-of-14
Red Zone Touchdowns7-of-14
Penalties – Yards27 – 243
Fumbles – Lost5 – 3

Special Teams

Aleksi Pulkkinen has handled most of the punting duties, he’s averaging 38 yards per kick across his nine punts with five downed inside the 20-yard line and three fair catches. Jack Martin is averaging 45 yards per kick across his three punts with one touchback.

Laith Marjan is 5-of-6 on field goals this season with a long of 39. His only miss came from over 50 yards. He’s only missed one of this 18 extra point attempts, his first attempt after halftime last week went off the left upright.

Pritchett is averaging 28 yards per return in seven punt return opportunities with one 62-yard touchdown return.

Keys to the Game

Communication

When playing in big games on the road in a hostile environment, communication is at a premium. Death Valley at night is notoriously loud with Tiger Stadium actually registering on the seismograph a couple of times in big games. When the game is on the line, the Tiger fans can get loud and raucous.

But South Alabama just played in front of a loud crowd in Boone, NC. Are they the same? No, but the team knows what to expect and they can be prepared.

With the new in-helmet communications from the sideline, getting the play onto the field is a bit easier but any pre-snap adjustments still need to be communicated. Hopefully they can stay on the same page in all phases of the game because LSU will take advantage of any miscue.

Fundamentals

Defensively the Tigers have taken the ball away from opponents six times in four games. But they have forced 9 fumbles through those same four games. But the Jags have been very surehanded on the season with only two turnovers, one of them on a muffed punt. Continuing to keep possession of the ball will be big fundamentally.

Tackling will be a big factor. The Jags cannot let LSU run through arm tackles and pick up additional yards after contact. In the first two games the Jags had problems tackling but in the last two games have been more fundamentally sound.

The offense needs to stay on schedule because the LSU defense is blitz happy on 3rd down.

“A little Magic”

Something unexpected needs to go South Alabama’s way.

South Carolina had a pick-six that would have given them the lead late, but it was called back in a poor flag on what should have been a good play (that’s a discussion for another day).

LSU hasn’t looked the best this season and struggled against Nicholls. The Tigers narrowly led 23-21 early in the third quarter before finally pulled away from the FCS program.

If the Jags can get an unexpected play or two to go their way at an opportune time it will quiet the crowd and energize the Jaguars. A little voodoo magic if you will.

Prediction

LSU opens as a 21.5-point favorite over the Jags across most of the betting odds websites.

The Tigers are thought to have better players top-to-bottom because they are an SEC program. They should, shouldn’t they?

Perhaps the Jags can catch the Tigers asleep and looking ahead to having a week off to prepare for Ole Miss. But having a week off after the Jags will perhaps keep the Tigers focused enough for a little G5 Sun Belt team from Mobile.

As much as I want to pick the Jags to win or even to cover the spread, my head tells me that the Tigers in Tiger Stadium is a very tough draw. Then play it at night after the Tiger fans have had all day to marinade and it’s a very tough draw.

I think LSU wins and covers at home but maybe the score to cover comes late so it looks like a better win than it actually was. But I would LOVE to have South Alabama prove me wrong. They’ve been doing it all season so far, why not another week…

Go Jags!

Preview: Jags Open Conference Play At App State On National TV

September 18, 2024 · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on Preview: Jags Open Conference Play At App State On National TV 

Kickoff: Thursday, September 19th, 6:30pm
Venue: Kidd Brewer Stadium, Boone, NC
TV/Streaming: ESPN
Radio: 96.1 fm The Rocket, Sports Talk 99.5 fm, iHeartRadio App
Thunderjags on X (formerly known as Twitter): @USAThunderjags
#5 Jersey: Devin Voisin


South Alabama earned their first win of the season and under new head coach Major Applewhite in record breaking fashion last Thursday night. The Jags (1-2) scored in all three phases of the game while setting a new single-game scoring record for the program as well as the Sun Belt Conference. It was also the highest scoring college football game since 1991, even with the fourth quarter shortened to only six minutes.

This week the Jags have an entirely new challenge when they travel to Boone, NC to take on Appalachian State (2-1) in the conference opening game for both programs.

App State

Head coach Shawn Clark is in his fifth season as head coach of the Mountaineers. He returned to his alma mater as an assistant coach for two seasons under Scott Satterfield before Satterfield left for Louisville after the 2018 season. Clark was retained by newly hired head coach Eliah Drinkwitz. But Drinkwitz would be a one-and-done as he was hired away after a 12-1 season, including a win over Power-5 North Carolina and winning the SBC Championship game, the fourth-consecutive for the Mountaineers at the time.

Clark was promoted and made his debut in the 2019 R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl with a 31-17 win over UAB. Since becoming the head coach, he has a 37-19 record with the Mountaineers overall and 22-10 in conference play.

Clark can also boast three consecutive seasons with a win over ranked opponents: 2021 vs #14 Coastal Carolina, 2022 vs #6 Texas A&M, and 2023 vs #18 James Madison.

Last season they were 9-5 overall, 6-2 in conference play, and represented the East Division in the SBC Championship Game, though they finished 2nd in the division because newcomer James Madison was ineligible due to FBS transition rules.

Before coaching at App State, Clark served as offensive line coach for Kent State, Purdue, and Eastern Kentucky.

Offense

The Mountaineers base offense is a Pro-Tempo scheme. It has pro-style concepts with a tempo base. They will dial up and down their tempo based on their success. If they hit a big play, they will go with tempo in order to prevent the defense from substituting. They will also turn down the tempo and play methodically during some parts of the game. It’s similar to what Drinkwitz ran while in Boone.

Joey Aguilar is 72-of-124 (58.1%) for 964 yards and 5 touchdowns on the season at quarterback. He was selected as the preseason Conference Offensive Player of the Year.

Kaedin Robinson leads the receiver corps with 18 catches for 290 yards but no touchdowns. Makai Jackson isn’t far behind with 14 catches but with 164 yards and two touchdowns. Christian Horn has 11 catches for 244 yards and a touchdown. Horn also has the longest reception with 83 yards. Eli Wilson rounds out the receivers with double-digit catches with 10 for 122 yards and two touchdowns.

Anderson Castle leads the Mountaineers rushing attack with 148 yards on 33 carries with a touchdown, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Makai Jackson has 71 yards on three carries with a touchdown. Kanye Roberts has 63 yards on 19 carries, averaging 3.3 yards per carry. Ahmani Marshall has 49 yards on 14 carries, averaging 3.5 yards per carry. Aguilar is next in line with 44 yards on 15 carries with two touchdowns.

StatAverage per game
Points26.3
Total Offense456
Passing Offense321.3
Rushing Offense134.7
Time of Possession31:57
Penalty Yards64.7
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs16-of-39 (41%)
4th Downs1-of-2 (50%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts10-of-12
Red Zone Touchdowns5-of-12
Penalties – Yards18 – 194
Fumbles – Lost3 – 2

Defense

The defense is listed as a 3-4 base but tends to run more 3-3-5 and relying more on their Star safety. The Star position can be explained like a hybrid linebacker-safety position.

Linebacker Caden Sullivan (R-Jr) leads the team with 20 total stops, 9 solo, with a quarterback hurry. Safety Ronald Clarke is next on the team with 18 total stops, 9 solo.

Outside linebacker Thomas Davis leads the team with 1.5 sacks ahead of five other players each with one sack each.

Senior cornerback Seth Robertson has the only interception on the defense.

StatAverage per game
Points31.7
Total Offense447
Passing Offense269.3
Rushing Offense177.7
Time of Possession27:35
Penalty Yards64
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs14-of-38 (37%)
4th Downs2-of-6 (33%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts7-of-8
Red Zone Touchdowns4-of-8
Penalties – Yards21 – 192
Fumbles – Lost5 – 2

Special Teams

Mitchell Lake handled the punting duties through the first two games with an average of 38.2 yards per kick, three fair catches, two downed inside the 20 and a long of 61 yards. Connor Maynard handled the punting duties in their latest game with an average of 44.8 yards per kick, two touchbacks, one downed inside the 20 and a long of 50.

Michael Hughes is a perfect 5-of-5 on the season with a long of 36 yards. He is also a perfect 8-of-8 on extra points.

South Alabama

After starting the season with two losses, the Jags took the opportunity to have a get-right game against FCS Northwester State last Thursday. The game was moved back to Thursday to allow for a full week of preparation for this game after it was picked up by ESPN for national broadcast.

Offense

Gio Lopez started against Northwestern State after missing the previous game with a turf toe injury. On the season he is 41-of-68 (60.3%) for 689 yards and seven touchdowns. Bishop Davenport is 23-of-37 (62.2%) for 228 yards and a touchdown.

Jamaal Pritchett leads the receivers with 20 catches for 287 yards and three touchdowns. Devin Voisin has 13 catches for 184 yards. DJ Thomas-Jones has two touchdowns on 5 catches for 42 yards. Shamar Sandgren, Jeremiah Webb, and Anthony Eager each have one touchdown catch each on the season.

Fluff Bothwell in his first career 100-yard rushing game continues to lead the Jaguars rushing attack with 243 yards on 23 carries, averaging 10.6 yards per carry, with four touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock, also coming off a 100-yard rushing game himself, has 157 yards on 19 carries, averaging 8.3 yards per carry, with two touchdowns. PJ Martin, Gio Lopez, and Jarvis Durr all have one rushing touchdown each.

Pritchett also leads the team in all-purpose yards with 416 thanks to his punt return yardage of 129 yards added in. He also has a 62-punt return touchdown.

StatAverage per game
Points48.3
Total Offense514.7
Passing Offense305.7
Rushing Offense209
Time of Possession30:28
Penalty Yards63.3
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs15-of-36 (42%)
4th Downs3-of-4 (66.7%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts18-of-19
Red Zone Touchdowns13-of-19
Penalties – Yards23 – 190
Fumbles – Lost4 – 1

Defense

Blayne Myrick continues to lead the defense with 25 total stops, 9 solo, with .5 tackles for loss, a pass breakup, and a forced fumble. Jordan Scruggs has 17 total stops, 7 solo, with 1.5 TFLs and a pass breakup. Jaden Voisin has 16 total stops, 10 solo, with an interception.

Amarion Fortenberry and Chrystyile Caldwell each have one interception on the season.

Jordan Norman, Maurice Strong Jr, and Tyler Thomas all have one sack each.  

StatAverage per game
Points29.7
Total Offense394.3
Passing Offense273.7
Rushing Offense120.7
Time of Possession29:32
Penalty Yards65
StatCumulative for Season
3rd Downs17-of-42 (40%)
4th Downs1-of-2 (50%)
Red Zone Scoring Attempts9-of-10
Red Zone Touchdowns6-of-10
Penalties – Yards22 – 195
Fumbles – Lost4 – 2

Special Teams

Aleksi Pulkkinen has served as the punter the last two games with an average of 37.6 yards per kick with four downed inside the 20 and two fair catches. Jack Martin averages 44 yards per kick on two punts.

Laith Marjan is 5-of-6 on the season with a long of 39 yards. He is also a perfect 12-of-12 on extra point attempts.

Keys to the Game

Pass Defense

The Mountaineers have a prolific pass offense, and it all starts with quarterback Joey Aguilar.

Aguilar was named the Sun Belt Player of the Week after throwing for 424 yards and two touchdowns in their come-from-behind 21-19 win over East Carolina.

Despite all of their yards, they aren’t putting up the points that one would expect looking at the stats sheet.

The Jags secondary hasn’t been the best in coverage this season and the defense has struggled to get pressure on the quarterback in the first two games of the season. They also allowed a 75-yard touchdown pass in the first half to Northwestern State in the 87-10 blowout.

If the Jags want to win, they have to generate pressure on Aguilar and tighten their coverage on the receivers.

Special Teams

In both losses, the Jags had miscues on special teams. Against North Texas a punt went off one of the blockers for the punter after a bad snap, that was recovered for a touchdown. A muffed punt by Pritchett gave Ohio a short field, which they turned into points as well.

Pritchett made amends for his special teams play with a punt return touchdown in the big win.

Solid special teams play may not win the game, but poor special teams play sure can lose a game.

Offensive Line

What can be said here that we haven’t already said before? Games are won on the line. Pass protection and run blocking are the fundamentals for an offense to function.

The Jags were able to get some good in-game reps for lots of players last week. Hopefully it builds confidence in the starters as well as depth on the bench.

They’ll be tested by the Mountaineers.

Prediction

South Alabama enters probably their toughest three-game stretch of football this season. With all three being road contests too.

But the goal this week is do what they need to do to go 1-0. The other games have to wait.

The Mountaineers are 7.5-point favorite at home. South Alabama took the first matchup between the two schools back in 2014 but have lost each of the four subsequent meetings, including a 31-7 loss in 2021.

The game will be nationally broadcast on ESPN and it will be the only college football game available on Thursday night. This is a huge opportunity for the program to shine and playing a good, exciting game will go a long way to further the Jaguar brand of football.

If the Jags are healthy, and they look to mostly be back healthy, they can score points. With over a 60% chance of rain and thundershowers Thursday evening, that could favor the Jags running game with Bothwell, Bullock, Braylon McReynolds, PJ Martin, and Jarvis Durr.

I think the Jags cover but fall in a very close game.

Go Jags!

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