Preview: Georgia State At South Alabama

November 20, 2020 · By · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on Preview: Georgia State At South Alabama 

Kickoff: Saturday November 21, 2:30 pm
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, Alabama
TV: ESPNU
Radio: Sports Talk 99.5FM, 96.1 The Rocket, iHeartRadio


The struggling South Alabama Jaguars (3-5, 2-3 Sun Belt Conference) are finally returning home to host a game after a three-game road trip. Next up on the schedule are the Georgia State Panthers (3-4, 2-4 SBC).

The Panthers have also been struggling but enter the game after hard-fought 17-13 loss to Appalachian State last week in Boone, NC. The Panthers had a great opportunity to upset the Mountaineers, leading 10-3 at halftime and had only allowed 89 yards. App State’s starting quarterback was injured late in the game, but their backup led the Mountaineers on a game-winning drive.

On the other hand, the Jags were soundly defeated by Louisiana-Lafayette 38-10 last week. Carlos Davis was limited to six carries for 18 yards. The offense was held to only 145 yards passing with Desmond Trotter being sacked three times with an interception.

The final three games of the season will determine the how we will look back on this odd year that is 2020. Three of the first five games came against the worst teams on the Jaguars schedule (Southern Miss, Texas State, ULM) which are a combined 3-21 and the Jags won all three of those games.

The last three games, all on the road, have been against three of the best teams in the Sun Belt Conference and all have been loses unfortunately.

Head coach Steve Campbell and his staff are searching for ways to put points on the board. The offense has regressed and has only scored an anemic 33 points in the last three games combined. Desmond Trotter has seen almost all of the snaps lately after he and JuCo transfer Chance Lovertich were essentially playing in a rotating time shares early in the season.

However, reports this week have seemingly been confirmed with the announcement that Lovertich would not be “out indefinitely” and that it was not related to Covid-19 in an al.com report. Rumors were circulating that he had ‘opted out’ of the remainder of the season, but has not officially left the program nor has entered his name into the transfer portal. However article noted that Lovertich “has not been present at practice the last two days,” when the report was published on Wednesday. Campbell was also quoted by al.com as saying “I doubt we will see him again this year,” after the Jaguars practice on Wednesday.

His status and future with the team continues to be unclear.

Red shirt sophomore wide receiver Mo Edwards Jr entered the transfer portal, he had made appearances in four of the Jags first five games this season but did not record any pass catches.

Georgia State Offense

The Panthers are a run-first team. They average 205.1 yards rushing, 191.4 yards passing, and 396.6 total yards per game this season while scoring an average of 33.3 points per game.

Destin Coates leads the Panthers on the ground with 581 yards on 126 carries with five touchdowns. Tucker Gregg has 347 yards on 51 carries with three touchdowns. Quarterback Cornelius Brown IV has rushed for 231 yards on 72 carries with five touchdowns.

Speaking of quarterback, Brown has gone 115 of 207 for 1,340 yards, 13 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on the season. He does a good job of spreading the ball around. His leading receiver is Sam Pinckney with 29 catches for 451 yards and six touchdowns. Next in line is Cornelius McCoy with 19 catches for 221 yards and two touchdowns. Roger Carter has 15 catches for 179 yards and four touchdowns.

The Jaguars have given up big yardage lately to the run. But it depends on which Georgia State team shows up. The Panther offense didn’t look like they came out of the locker room against Coastal Carolina when they lost 51-0 and only had 106 yards of total offense.

Georgia State Defense

Again, it depends on which team shows up on game day. They were sliced and diced by Coastal Carolina’s offense, but turned around and held Appalachian State to just 13 points and 310 yards of offense.

On the season they are allowing 122 yards rushing, 324.4 yards passing, and 446.4 total yards per game. They also allow an average of 36.9 points per game.

Their leading tackler Antavious Lane has 50 total tackles, 38 of them solo, from the safety position. He adds three interceptions, six pass breakups and a forced fumble. Right on his heels is Blake Carroll with 49 total tackles, 36 solo, from the inside linebacker position with four pass breakups, three quarterback hurries, a forced fumble and a fumble recovery.

If USA is going to have a chance to get their offense back in gear and put some points on the board, Georiga State seems to be the team to do it against on paper.

Keys to the Game

Offense

Granted, this one is very broad. But when your offense has played this poorly over the last three or four games, improvement in just one key area on the offensive side of the ball is not going to make much of a difference.

Starting with the offensive line, they will be without Jacob Shoemaker and Connor Estes for the second-consecutive game due to covid and contact tracing. Desmond Trotter has been sacked 13 times in the last three games, the vertical passing game has been non-existent, and running game has been inconsistent. Hopefully the players and staff have worked on figuring out a scheme to help the offensive line play more effective this week.

The offense has not been converting 3rd downs attempts well. They have had trouble getting into the end zone. Play calling has been predictable.

All in all, the offense has to do something. It may take another pick-six by the defense to get the offense going. But at some point they have to figure something out on their own.

Red zone touchdowns

As mentioned before, the Jags offense has been in the red zone a number of times recently but only came away with field goals when they even got points. Over the last two games they have scored one touchdown in six red zone attempts and they’ve added three field goals in that same stretch.

One of those times they came away empty handed, the line of scrimmage was around the 1 yard line and Kawaan Baker lined up in the wild cat and five yards deep, but was stopped short of the goal line in an obvious play call.

They need to convert more of those red zone trips into touchdowns if they really want to contend in games and have a chance to win.

Stay healthy

Thankfully Covid has not caused a another cancellation or postponement in the program, however losing two starting offensive linemen for two games is not good.

Add in that Lovertich will not be available for this game and probably the remainder of the season. That leaves true freshman Eli Gainey as the second string quarterback if anything happens to Trotter.

Prediction

Georgia State is a 3 point favorite over the Jags at Hancock Whitney Stadium. The Panthers played well their last two games with a win over ULM and a near upset of App State. The Jags have lost their last three since their win over ULM themselves.

With the offensive line woes, missing players and general down trend in the team I think Georgia State will win outright. Will the Jags cover the 3 point spread? I think so, simply by being a home and not traveling.

Go Jags!

South Alabama End Touchdown Drought, But Not Enough Against Louisiana 38-10

November 14, 2020 · By · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on South Alabama End Touchdown Drought, But Not Enough Against Louisiana 38-10 

South Alabama (3-5, 2-3 Sun Belt Conference) was never really in the game against the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (7-1, 5-1 SBC) and fall 38-10 in Lafayette, Louisiana.

The Jags entered the game missing a few players due to Covid testing and contact tracing. Jacob Shoemaker and Connor Estes, both starting offensive linemen had to miss the game and may also have to miss the Jags next game against Georgia State as well.

The Cajun’s scored on their first possession. They did the heavy lifting with seven straight runs to start the drive, followed by an incomplete pass before quarterback Levi Lewis connected with Errol Rogers for a 5 yard touchdown.

After a 3-and-out, the Cajuns return the Jaguar punt 38 yards to the Jags 26 yard line. Three plays later Chris Smith scampers into the end zone from 22 yards out to go up 14-0 with 8:19 left in the opening quarter.

Jags finally get some offense going. They start out with five consecutive runs before Trotter started throwing, including a 12 pass to Kawaan Baker on a 3rd and 9 to keep the drive alive.

USA got all the way down to the 7 yard line before they ground to a halt. Head coach Steve Campbell opted to take the 26 yard field goal to make it 14-3.

The Cajuns would put together an 11 play, 75 yard drive early in second quarter ending with a side arm pass from Levi Lewis as he was rolling to the left to Errol Rogers for a 3 yard touchdown to go up 21-3.

Finally the Jags would end their touchdown drought with a 10 play, 75 yard drive of their own spanning 3:50. The drive started with a pass interference penalty on the first play and ended with a 7 yard touchdown pass from Desmond Trotter to Kawaan Baker.

The Cajuns would answer right back with a drive of their own.

Facing 3rd and 10 at their own 22, Lewis would find Kyren Lacy for 17 yards to extend their drive. Then Chris Smith would break loose up the gut of the Jaguar defense with a 47 yard run to the Jaguar 14. Two plays later Elijah Mitchell would take it in from 5 yards out for a 28-10 advantage.

Louisiana threatened to score again before halftime but a bobbled pass was intercepted by Nick Mobley to end the threat.

The second half was all Cajuns.

South Alabama needed touchdowns and came away empty. The only real scoring threat was on their first possession of the second half. They drove down to the 16 yard line but the 4th down pass to Baker went for six yards when they needed seven.

South Alabama was outgained 506 to 268 in the game. The Cajuns threw for 252 yards and rushed for 254 yards while going 6 of 13 on 3rd down. The Jags threw for 145 yards and rushed for 123 yards and went 6 of 18 on 3rd down.

Desmond Trotter went 15-of-28 for 133 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Chance Lovertich went 3-of-8 for 12 yards.

Kawaan Baker led the Jags with six catches for 43 yards and the only touchdown. Jalen Tolbert and Cade Sutherland both caught 5 passes for 64 and 37 yards respectively.

Terrion Avery led the Jags rushing attack with 14 carries for 62 yards. Carlos Davis only carried the ball 6 times for 18 yards.

Cajun quarterback Levi Lewis went 21-of-31 for 253 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception.

Peter LeBlanc led the Cajuns with 5 catches for 34 yards. Neal Johnson caught 3 for 40 yards. Three others caught three passes each and seven players caught one pass each.

Chris Smith led all rushers with 99 yards on 7 carries and a touchdown. Trey Ragas added 78 yards on 10 carries. Elijah Mitchell had 61 yards on 15 carries and a touchdown.

“I thought we would play better,” head coach Steve Campbell said in his post-game radio interview. “They played a lot better than we did. We had some opportunities to make plays and didn’t do it. Offensively, we didn’t stay on the field as much as we needed to, and defensively we had a hard time getting off the field.”

“We just didn’t play well,” he said.

“We just have to take each game one at a time,” Campbell said in his post-game remarks. “We have to practice well, but we practiced great this past week. For what all these guys have been through, then came out and practiced their butts off Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. We had some issues Wednesday and they overcame them and bounced back. I don’t feel that we blinked or backed down today. We need to find a way to have a good week of practice and take that and apply it on Saturday, so that we can find a way to beat a very good Georgia State team.”

When talking about the offense’s struggle he said, “Obviously we have not come up with the answer yet. We need to keep searching and find that answer and put the ball in the end zone.”

The Jags will return home to Hancock-Whitney Stadium after playing the last three contests on the road. South Alabama and Georgia State will kick off at 3pm on ESPNU on Saturday, November 21.

Preview: South Alabama At Louisiana-Lafayette

November 13, 2020 · By · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on Preview: South Alabama At Louisiana-Lafayette 

Kickoff: Saturday November 14, 1:00 pm
Venue: Cajun Field, Lafayette, Louisiana
TV: ESPN+ Streaming
Radio: Sports Talk 99.5FM, 96.1 The Rocket, iHeartRadio


South Alabama (3-4, 2-2 Sun Belt Conference) will finish out their three-game road swing with a trip to Lafayette, Louisiana to face the Ragin’ Cajuns (6-1, 4-1 SBC).

Since Billy Napier came to Lafayette the Cajuns have steadily improved from a 7-7 (5-3 SBC), to 11-3 (7-1 SBC) which was the first double-digit win season in school history, and currently sit on top of the Sun Belt Conference Western division with their only loss being to Coastal Carolina.

They can pretty much wrap up the division this week with a win.

The Jags come into the game after a 23-6 loss at Coastal Carolina. The defense held the Chanticleers well below their season points average but the offense couldn’t muster more than a pair of field goals. They were even turned away on a 4th and goal at the 1 yard line.

Now head coach Steve Campbell and his team have dropped their last two games after a nice 3-2 start to the season and being 2-0 in conference play for the first time in school history.

However those three wins came against some struggling teams year. Their combined record is a mere 3-21.

While Desmond Trotter has seemed to have solidified his hold on the #1 spot at quarterback as we have not seen Chance Lovertich play any over the last two games, we’ve also seen Trotter get sacked 10 times over that same time span.

Carlos Davis has pretty much been the biggest ground threat by the Jaguar offense. Though Trotter can and does still run, he’s also been set back with the sack issue.

Through the air the Jags are still averaging 256.3 yards per game but, at least over the last two games, you’re not seeing a Jaguar receiver go over 100 yards receiving as you were earlier in the season.

It obvious that over the last two games the offensive line is struggling. And it’s not going to be helped by having two of their best having to sit out due to Covid and contact tracing this week. Jacob Shoemaker and Connor Estes will not be playing along with linebacker Quentin Wilfawn.

The running game is struggling, which makes the offense more one-dimensional. Trotter does not have time to let his routes develop. So you’re not seeing Jalen Tolbert or Kawaan Baker with 100+ yards and multiple touchdowns.

A one-dimension approach to the Cajuns probably will not turn out well either.

But while the offense is struggling, the defense has put up some good fights. UAB was the only game that really got out of hand.

Linebacker Riley Cole has really showed why he has earned all the accolades this season. He leads the conference with 72 tackles, 11 more than his nearest competitor who happens to be on the Cajuns defense.

Louisiana-Lafayette Offense

Seniors Elijah Mitchell and Trey Ragas picked right up where they left off last season as a pair of dynamic running backs. They have been joined by reshirt sophomore Chris Smith to make a three-headed beast of running backs. They have rushed for 5, 6, and 3 touchdowns respectively and combined for an average of 194 yards rushing per game.

Quarterback Levi Lewis manages the game well with timely connections through the air to help the offense to average 232 yards per game. With that they average 29.6 points per game.

Louisiana-Lafayette Defense

Napier’s defense loves to apply pressure and cause havoc. The team has 10 interceptions and 30 sacks on the season. That’s almost 1.5 picks and just over 4.25 sacks per game.

Linebacker Lorenzo McCaskill leads the Cajuns with 62 tackles, trailing only Riley Cole in that category in the conference.

If the Cajuns can pin their ears back and go all out for the Jaguar backfield, this could get ugly for the offense.

They allow 23.9 points per game, which is more than the Jags have allowed on average this season at 22.4.

Keys to the Game

Offensive line

The offensive line has got to play better. Allowing 10 sacks over the last two games isn’t good. Going up against a defense that has 30 sacks on the season is a recipe for disaster.

Everything an offense does starts with the offensive line. With coach Campbell being touted as an offensive line guru, some of that really needs to rub off this week if they want to continue to control their destiny in the SBC West.

Turnovers

First off, the Jags need to continue protecting the ball. They are -2 in turnovers, the fumble they lost last week to Coastal Carolina they got right back and in better field position.

They need to cause more turnovers and maybe even help jump start their offense by scoring defensively as well. The defense helped to get the offense with Devin Rockette’s 95 yard interception return for a touchdown against Louisiana-Monroe.

Red Zone Touchdowns

The offense is scoring touchdowns in the red zone only 52% of the time. They are 11-of-21. They are 18-of-21 overall in the red zone when you add the seven field goals they have settled for down there.

I felt like there were times last week when Campbell should have settled for a field goal instead of turning it over on downs. But when you are on the 1 yard line and you bring in your wildcat quarterback to take a snap in the shotgun, you’re basically telling the defense what you’re going to do. Big surprise, it didn’t work when Baker kept it and tried to run up the gut.

Let your quarterback take the snap under center, pick a gap and get that one yard for the touchdown.

Prediction

The Cajuns are a 16 point favorite at home in this game. Though they are 6-1 so far, they have only one game where they won by more than 10 points this season. That was their 31-14 season opening win over #23 Iowa State.

Also the Jags have been quite good against the spread this season.

I don’t think the Jags can get an outright win, but I do think they may cover. However with the unexpected loss of three players due to Covid, it may be more difficult. Also with an over/under of 55.5 points for the game, I’ll also take the under.

Go Jags!

South Alabama Falls 23-6 At Coastal Carolina

November 8, 2020 · By · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on South Alabama Falls 23-6 At Coastal Carolina 
Head coach Steve Campbell in the first quarter of the Jaguars loss at Coastal Carolina | Screenshot from ESPNU broadcast

South Alabama (3-4, 2-2 Sun Belt Conference) put up a valiant fight against Sun Belt Conference leader Coastal Carolina (7-0, 4-0 SBC) but fell 23-6.

The Jags never led in the game and failed to convert in key situations, particularly in the second half.

USA opened with a three-and-out on their first possession and the Chanticleers seized the opportunity with a 7 play, 72 yard touchdown drive spanning 2:48 to strike first.

The Jags answered with a field goal on an 11 play, 62 yard driving consuming 5:18 off the clock.

Coastal Carolina responded back with another long touchdown drive. Covering 75 yards in 6 plays in just 2:50 was good for the second and final touchdown of the game, going up 14-3 on the Jags.

South Alabama would get on the scoreboard once more with 5:01 left in the first half on a 43-yard Diego Guajardo field goal.

Coach Campbell saw his team trading field goals for touchdowns and decided to roll the dice. Instead of opting for another field goal, they attempted to convert a 4th & 3 at the Chanticleer 32. Desmond Trotter would throw to Trent Tyre on the sideline, but he could not turn and stretch for to move the chains.

That turnover on downs would lead to the Chanticleers adding a field goal with 2:11 left in the opening half.

The Jags would get shut out in the second half but not without one prime scoring opportunity.

Facing 4th and goal at the 1, Kawaan Baker lined up in the wildcat, pretty much telegraphing that he was going to run it, the Chanticleer defense would stop him about a half yard short of paydirt. The drive spanned 17 plays, 68 yards and drained 7:23 off the clock.

Desmond Trotter played the entire game for the second-consecutive game. He went 23-of-31 for 243 yards, but was sacked five times by the Chanticleer defense.

Jalen Tolbert led all receivers with seven catches with 78 yards. Jalen Wayne led the Jags with 91 receiving yards on five catches.

Carlos Davis carried the ball 17 times for 73 yards. Terrion Avery carried four times for 27 yards. Trotter had a net -27 yards with sack yardage figured in.

The offense was a paltry 2-of-14 on 3rd down attempts, but managed to eek out a slight time of possession advantage (30:15 to 29:45).

Grayson McCall was 17 of 24 for 209 yards passing and added 72 yards rushing on eight carries.

Reese White led CCU with 81 yards on nine carries. Shermari Jones added 60 yards on 10 carries with at touchdown.

Jaivon Heiligh caught five passes for 95 yards. CJ Marable caught three passes for 21 yards and the only other touchdown.

Defensively, Riley Cole led the South Alabama defense with 15 total tackles, nine of the were solo and had a fumble recovery.

The defense held the Chanticleers to a mere 3-of-11 on 3rd down. While the Chanticleers were held below their average of 40 points per game coming into this game, they were table to exceed their total yardage average with 445 total yards of offense.

“I thought the defense played extremely hard,” said head coach Steve Campbell after the game. “Offensively I thought we played hard. We just didn’t execute once we got down in the red zone. We have opportunities to score points.”

“You’re not going to beat a good teams kicking field goals and not scoring touchdowns, especially a team that’s averaging 40 points per game.

“After the first two [touchdown] drives, I think we settles down and were able to keep them out of the end zone,” Campbell said. “They’re a very explosive offense. Our defense was able to create some turnovers for us, but offensively we had too many turnovers of our own. We’ve got to do a better job of giving ourselves a chance to win.”

With this game behind them, the Jags can now look ahead to next week’s showdown in Lafayette, LA.

“I told the guys in the locker room that, of the five teams in our division, only one has one conference loss and we play them next week,” Campbell stated. “This next game is for the sole lead of our division. If we can go on the road and beat Louisiana, we’ll own the tiebreaker over them.”

“If we want to see Coastal or App State later in the season in the championship game, we need to take care of business,” he continued. “We still control our own destiny. We need to go on the road and pick up a big win against a very good Louisiana football team.”

The Jags and the Ragin’ Cajuns are set for a 1pm kickoff on Saturday, November 14 in Louisiana.

Preview: South Alabama At Coastal Carolina

November 6, 2020 · By · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on Preview: South Alabama At Coastal Carolina 

Kickoff: Saturday, November 7, 7:00pm
Venue: Brooks Stadium, Conway, South Carolina
TV: ESPNU
Radio: Sports Talk 99.5FM, 96.1 The Rocket, iHeartRadio


The South Alabama Jaguars (3-3, 2-1 Sun Belt) takes on the second leg of their three-game road swing on Saturday night when they face the #15 ranked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (6-0, 4-0 SBC) in Conway, S.C.

The Jaguars enter the game after suffering their first conference loss of the season on the road at Georgia Southern. The Jags led most of the game but the Eagles took over the game in the fourth quarter and held off the Jags 24-17.

The Chanticleers have been one of the best stories of the season so far. They enter the game undefeated and with the highest ranking ever achieved by a Sun Belt Conference team. But the Jaguars would love to knock off another ranked opponent like they did to San Diego State a few years ago.

Currently the Jags are only 1/2 game behind division leading UL-Lafayette, who they play next weekend. Jaguar head coach Steve Campbell rightly points out that they control their own destiny right now.

Chanticleer Offense

Coastal Carolina ranks 11th in the nation with 40.3 points per game average. Their rushing attack averages 197.8 yards per game, which is good for 25th best in the nation. They have been able to run the ball with ease so far this season.

C.J. Marable leads the rushing attack with 353 yards on 93 carries with five touchdowns. But along with him are three others that are able to carry the ball with him. Reese White has 228 yards on 39 carries with three touchdowns and an average of 5.8 yards per carry, Shermari Jones has 208 yards on 43 carries and two touchdowns, and Grayson McCall has 199 yards on 48 carries with four touchdowns.

The Chanticleer passing attack averages 243.7 yards per game.

Redshirt freshman quarterback Grayson McCall returned to the lineup against Georgia State last week. He has started five games for the Chants going 77-of-111 for 1,184 yards, 15 touchdowns and only 1 interception. Fred Payton has started one game but played in 5 games this season going 17-of-33 for 271 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions.

Jaivon Heiligh is the teams leading receiver with 30 catches for 515 yards and six touchdowns. That is right there with with the Jags top two receivers, Jalen Tolbert and Kawaan Baker.

There are four other receives who have caught double-digit passes on the season, the most prolific of them has caught 17 passes for 133 yards and four touchdowns.

The offensive line has played outstanding for the Chanticleers by only allowing five sacks through six games. That is tied for seventh nationally. They may not be very big, but they play very polished and technically sound.

Coastal Carolina Defense

The “Black Swarm” defense dominated Georgia State last Saturday in their 51-0 rout. They forced two turnovers, three sacks, and six three-and-outs.

So far for the season they are allowing an average of 21.6 points and 345 total yards per game.

The defensive line simply manhandled Georgia State. But, like their offensive counterparts, they are a huge defensive line but they play sound and are able to get after the quarterback.

The defense only allowed 106 total yards to the Panthers, who have had an up and down season so far. But that is some scary numbers for a team playing at home.

The Panthers opened the game with a 31-yard kickoff return. But when they attempted a field goal with 11:00 left in the first quarter, little did they know that they would not snap the ball again in the Chanticleer territory for the rest of the game.

Keys to the Game

Turnovers

The Jags must win the turnover game and hopefully do so with a clear majority. It starts with limiting turnovers on offense, which South Alabama has done pretty well all season. USA has only fumbled five times on the season and lost only three of them combined with only four interceptions.

Defensively the Jags have forced 11 fumbles but only recovered three of them and intercepted two passes.

Overall, that puts the Jags at -2 in turnover margin.

The Chanticleers have fumbled the ball six times and lost three of them while throwing three interceptions. Defensively they have forced 10 fumbles and only recovered three of them but they have intercepted eight passes on the season.

That puts them at +5 in turnover margin.

Offensive line

The Jags offensive line played well against Georgia Southern for about three quarters. But in the fourth quarter the Eagles started pushing the line around. It was evident with the quarterback hurries and sacks late in the game. Desmond Trotter simply had no time to throw the ball.

The Jags will be without right guard Jacob Shoemaker due to a knee injury. Left tackle Wyatt Green was hampered by an injury.

Covid

Two Jaguar defensive linemen will reportedly miss the game following positive test results. Additionally two defensive assistant coaches, two GA’s, some video crew members, and the entire equipment crew are all out due to covid.

This is not the time to be without the services of two defensive linemen, two defensive coaches and two GA’s.

Prediction

There’s a lot that is just not trending well for this game.

Playing the #15 ranked team in the nation, on the road, in a conference game. The Chanticleers rank 11th in the nation in scoring and 25th in the nation in rushing per game. Plus they are coming off of a complete dismantling of Georgia State.

South Alabama had a couple extra days to regroup and prepare after their loss to Georgia Southern.

The Chanticleers are a 17.5 point favorite over the Jags for good reason. Historically USA has not been a very good road team.

I think the Chanticleers will win the game and I think they may actually cover the spread as well.

Go Jags!

Preview: South Alabama At Georgia Southern

October 28, 2020 · By · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on Preview: South Alabama At Georgia Southern 

Kickoff: Thursday, October 29, 6:30pm
Venue: Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, Georgia
TV: ESPN
Radio: Sports Talk 99.5FM, 96.1 The Rocket, iHeartRadio


South Alabama (3-2, 2-0 SBC) faces Georgia Southern (3-2, 1-2 SBC) on a short week for both schools. The Jags won their second-consecutive game to continue to stay unbeaten through two conference games for the first time in school history. Additionally the Jags record is over .500 for the first time since 2016.

The Jaguar offense has benefitted having Desmond Trotter back and healthy. Against ULM, Trotter went 8-of-12 for 184 yards and three touchdowns. All three of his touchdowns went to Kawaan Baker. Though Chance Lovertich has seen action in every game, but it seems that with each game, Trotter is cementing his position as the leading quarterback.

While the two conference wins are worthy of celebration, lets not get ahead of ourselves too much just yet.

The Jags three wins against Southern Miss, Texas State and UL-Monroe are a combined 2-16 this season. The two conference win have come against two teams with a combined record of 1-12. Also the Jags were soundly defeated by one of the better CUSA teams in UAB.

Next up is Georgia Southern. A team the Jags have yet to notch a win against in six attempts. The Eagles were out-rushed for the first time since November 2019 when undefeated Coastal Carolina (5-0, 3-0 SBC) gave them a 28-14 loss in Conway, South Carolina.

In the Eagles three wins, they average nearly 250 yards rushing per game. In the Jags two losses, they have given up an average nearing 200 yards rushing per game.

GSU Offense

Georgia Southern keeps doing what they do best: run the ball. They rank second in the Sun Belt and 13th nationally in both rushing offense (248.8 yards per game) and yards per carry (5.5).

The offense starts with Shai Wertz, who is an explosive runner. He’s totalled 333 yards on 60 attempts with two touchdowns on the season. That’s an average of 5.6 yards per attempt.

He was held to only 36 yards on 16 carries against Coastal Carolina last time out. But he was also banked up and was sidelined for a bit before returning to the game. He was pressed into a season-high 20 passing attempts, but only completing seven of them for 94 yards with two interceptions. But on the season Werts is 40-of-76 for 558 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions.

J.D. King leads the the rushing attack with 87 carries and 490 total yards with four touchdowns while averaging 98 rushing yard per game. Wesley Kennedy III has scored three touchdowns on just 31 carries with 206 yards and an average of 6.7 yards per carry.

GSU Defense

The Eagles defense ranks 3rd in the sun belt and 32nd in the country by allowing 361.2 yards per game. Those numbers are a bit skewed by their shutout performance against UMass where they allowed a mere 191 total yards of offense.

Defensively they are stronger against the run than the pass.

GSU is good at keeping the opposition behind schedule on downs and distance, that all starts with strong play on first down. Which is why opponents are routinely facing 3rd and long against this defense.

Keys to the Game

Rushing Defense

The Jags have been pretty good against the run this season, allowing an average of 134 yards per game and 3.9 yards per carry.

That will be tested this week.

The Jags first down defense has allowed 6.4 yards per play. They will have to do better in order to keep the Eagles off schedule. So far in 6 games against them, the Jags have not found the recipe to beat them. Though last season they had their best opportunity when the fell 20-17 in 2OT.

Scoring on Possessions

The Eagles prolific rushing offense lends itself well to dominating the time of possession, especially when they are finding success.

That leads to fewer possessions for opponents, which equates to fewer scoring opportunities.

The Jags will need to cash in those possessions with points as often as possible.

The Jags could very well find themselves on the receiving end of their fourth quarter possession against ULM. Last week the Jags had a 16 play possession that drained over 10 minutes off the clock.

Those quick strike, 80-yard touchdown passes to Kawaan Baker or Jalen Tolbert are great, but against a team like the Eagles, that could disadvantage their defensive teammates.

Offensively the Jags may need to grind out some longer possessions in order to give their defense a chance to get some rest. This means getting their running game going against the usually stiff GSU rush defense. They’ll have to do it without the help of offensive lineman Jacob Shoemaker who left the Jags game against ULM due to a knee injury.

Playing Well on the Road

The Jags broke their road losing streak when they opened the season with a win over Southern Miss, but USM. However, as mentioned earlier, the Jags three wins have been against opponents with a combined record of 2-16. One of those wins was recorded by USM.

This will be the Jags first significant road test of the season. Their first road game since September 3rd actually, as the Jags have played four-consecutive home games since that season opener. That included a two-week break when the Jags game against Troy had to be rescheduled due to positive Covid tests among the South Alabama student-athletes.

They cannot take Georgia Southern lightly. This may not look like the normal Georgia Southern squad that they have seen over the previous six meetings, but their two losses have come to teams ranked in the AP Top 25 at the time of their meeting.

Prediction

Georgia Southern is a 5.5 point favorite at home. Both teams have a short week with both played on Saturday.

UAB used deep throws to open up their running game against the USA defense. Georgia Southern will utilize their option game to test the discipline of the Jaguar defense. With only three days of preparation, the Jags may have a hard time against that Eagle running game.

I think Georgia Southern will win outright, and I think they squeek out a cover as well.

Go Jags

South Alabama Defeats Louisiana-Monroe 38-14 To Stay Unbeaten In Conference Play

October 24, 2020 · By · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on South Alabama Defeats Louisiana-Monroe 38-14 To Stay Unbeaten In Conference Play 
Kawaan Baker celebration after an amazing touchdown late in the Jaguars win over Louisiana-Monroe.
Kawaan Baker and teammates celebrate after his third touchdown of the game on an amazing one-handed catch late in the Jaguars win over Louisiana-Monroe.

The South Alabama Jaguars won its second consecutive Sun Belt Conference game in impressive fashion by a score of 38-14.

Desmond Trotter threw three touchdowns and ran for another. Kawaan Baker caught all three touchdown passes by Trotter as the Jags improve to 3-2 overall and 2-0 in SBC play.

This is the first time the Jags have ever started Sun Belt play 2-0 in program history and the first time to have a winning record since 2016.

Louisiana-Monroe fall to 0-6 on the season, 0-3 in conference play.

The Jags first offensive possession was a three-and-out and punted after only 1:09 off the clock.

Louisiana-Monroe then drove down to the Jaguar 14 yard line when quarterback Colby Suits threw a ball that went off his receivers fingertips but was caught by Devin Rockette who then returned it 95 yards for the games opening touchdown, putting the Jags up 7-0 with 10:07 left in the opening quarter.

After a Warhawk punt, the Jags drove the ball down to the ULM 31 yard line before the drive stalled. Diego Guajardo split the uprights from 50-yards out to extend the Jaguar lead to 10-0 with 3:01 left in the opening quarter.

But the Jags weren’t done in the first quarter.

After forcing another three-and-out the Jags took possession at their own 15 after the punt. On the second play, Trotter connected with Kawaan Baker down the left sideline for an 80-yard touchdown to go ahead 17-0 with :51 seconds left in the first quarter.

The Warhawks were driving again near the middle of the second quarter, but when the drive stalled at the Jaguar 31 yard line, they went for the 4th and short but came up short, turning the ball over on downs.

Chance Lovertich entered the game at quarterback and quickly drove the Jaguars down to the Warhawk 18 yard line, but was intercepted with 7:29 left in the half.

ULM then drove down the field and running back Josh Johnson scored on a 2-yard run. However the extra point attempt would sail wide right of the goal post to keep the score at 17-6.

Facing 4th and 5 with :02 left in the half, head coach Steve Campbell kept his offense on the field. Lovertich pulled the ball down and ran to the 24 before being brought down to end the half.

The Warhawks opened the second half by moving the ball down the field quickly. However the Jaguar defense finally stood their ground at their 7 yard line. Coach Viator opted for a 28 yard field goal attempt, but it too went wide right.

South Alabama, led by Desmond Trotter, marched the team down the field and was capped off by Trotter’s 5 yard touchdown run to make the score 24-6 with 4:35 left in the third quarter.

ULM attempted another 4th down conversion, but a bad snap gave the Jags the ball near midfield. Again the Jags drove the ball down the field and connected with Kawaan Baker for a 16 yard touchdown to go up 31-6.

The Warhawks got on the scoreboard one more time when Suits connected with Jordan Carroll for a 4 yard touchdown. They opted for the 2-point conversion after the two missed kicks and converted to make the score 31-14 with 12:26 left in the game.

The South Alabama offense then put together a 16 play, 71 yard drive that took 10:46 off the clock and ended with a one-handed circus catch by Kawaan Baker when he caught the ball one-handed and managing to get a foot down inbounds.

Carlos Davis led the Jaguar rushers with 17 carries for 58 yards.

Trotter went 8-of-12 for 184 yards, three touchdowns and was sacked three times. Lovertich went 3-of-5 for 62 yards, an interception and was sacked once.

Baker caught 6 passes for 154 yards and three touchdowns. Tolbert caught 2 passes for 68 yards.

Josh Johnson carried the ball 15 times for 49 yards to lead the Warhawks.

Suits went 22-of-33 for 282 yards, a touchdown and was sacked three times.

Josh Pederson caught 4 passes for 65 yards. Jahquan Bloomfield caught three for 69 yards. Tyler Lamm also caught three for 22 yards. Seven other players caught passes.

Keith Gallmon led the Jags with seven tackles, all solo, with one tackle for loss. Riley Cole, Jamie Sheriff and Shawn Jennings all recorded sacks.

“I’m very pleased with the way the guys plays tonight,” coach Campbell said after the game. “It wasn’t about (coaches) making a call, the guys went out and made plays. That’s what it takes.”

“That was fun to watch,” Campbell said. “We were down a couple of offensive linemen, but some young guys like Trey Simpson, Braden Moody, and Tyler Jernigan stepped up and got the job done. To see those guys put together a 10-minute, 16-play drive; I’m really proud of them.”

Devin Rockette spoke after the game, talking about his interception return early in the game. “For that type of momentum to come out to start the game, I think that was a big part in the game. But I’m real proud of the team. We practiced hard this week at practice… We were in zone coverage and I saw a receiver sit down in front of me and saw the quarterback throw it so I just sat down and waiting for a tipped ball, and it was tipped, and then I didn’t see nothing but green.”

South Alabama gained 415 yards of total offense, 169 yards rushing and 246 yards passing. They converted 8-of-14 3rd down attempts in the game and was a perfect 3-for-3 on 4th down attempts.

ULM gained 380 yards of total offense, 98 yards rushing and 282 yards passing. They only converted 3-of-10 of their 3rd down attempts and only converted 1-of-3 4th down attempts.

South Alabama has a short preparation this week as they travel to Statesboro, Georgia to take on Georgia Southern on Thursday night. The game will air on ESPN with a 6:30pm kickoff.

Preview: Louisiana-Monroe At South Alabama

October 23, 2020 · By · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on Preview: Louisiana-Monroe At South Alabama 

Kickoff: 6:00 pm, October 24
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL.
Television: ESPN+
Radio: Sports Talk 99.5 FM, 96.1 FM The Rocket, iHeartRadio app


The South Alabama Jaguars (2-2, 1-0 SBC) are flying high, though the mascot is a ground animal.

The Jags were able to rebound from their 42-10 home loss at the hands of UAB to break their two-game losing skid and open up conference play with a win. The 23 days between games was caused by a postponement of their annual rivalry game with Troy due to Covid-19.

Against Texas State (1-5, 1-2 SBC) they only trailed once early in the game and either led or was tied the remainder of the way.

Next up for the Jags are the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (0-5, 0-2 SBC).

The Warhawks enter the game after a 40-7 obliteration at the hands of Liberty on October 10. They worked themselves into a huge hole with special teams play (or lack thereof).

The Warhawks punt team allowed three touchdowns. The first came on a dropped snap in the end zone that Liberty recovered. Then they had a punt blocked for a touchdown along with a punt returned for a touchdown.

That doesn’t include a long punt return that set up another score for Liberty. That’s 27 points allowed because of their punt team (one PAT was missed).

Meanwhile South Alabama finally started to outdistance Texas State midway through the fourth quarter when they broke a 20-all tie with a touchdown pass to Kawaan Baker. Then iced the game with 1:09 left on a 44-yard field goal by Diego Guajardo.

ULM Offense

The Warhawks are primarily a passing team. They average 236 yards per game through the air. Their rushing game is very anemic with only 56.2 yards per game on average. Which is 292.2 yards of total offense per game.

That translates to a scoring average of 13.4 points per game and 15 first downs.

Quarterback Colby Suits may not run the offense as well as Caleb Evans did previously, but he has a strong arm. If Suits can get some success, he is known to go on some really hot streams and really toss the ball around the field.

ULM Defense

The Warhawk defense is allowing 429.4 total yards per game. Their biggest weakness has been their rush defense, they allow 262.2 yards per game on the ground compared to their 167.2 yards per game allowed through the air.

But they may return three defensive lineman who have missed the last three games due to injury. That would help out a defense that is already good.

ULM Special Teams

Well, as we mentioned previously, their punt team has been disastrous. Allowing three touchdowns to Liberty and a long punt return to set up a fourth score.

Georgia Southern also blocked two more punt attempts in the previous game.

True freshman Daniel Sparks has had to step in to handle punting duties for an injured Jared Porter. Warhawk head coach Matt Viator told the News Star that “he’s devoted more practice time to punting than at any time in his career.”

There is a chance that Porter could return for this game, which would further help the Warhawk team.

How the Jags Match Up

The Jaguars average 403 yards of total offense, 276.2 passing and 126.8 yards rushing per game. They also average 24 points and 21.5 first downs per game.

Defensively they allow 415 total yards, 271 yards passing and 144 yard rushing per game and they allow 27.5 points per game.

Texas State sat back and did not allow the Jags to go deep on them with fairly good success. It really wasn’t until the fourth quarter that the Jags really started to take control of the game. After their final go-ahead score, the Jags defense came out strong and denied Texas State another chance to tie the game.

Keys to the Game

Rushing

When the Jags can run the ball, the offense works much better. They keep the defense honest and open up passing and play action.

Carlos Davis set a new South Alabama single game record with 32 carries for 113 yards and a touchdown to lead the Jaguars rushing attack. That was his second-consecutive 100 yard rushing game too.

Look for Davis to get plenty of work again against the Warhawks while mixing in the other backs as well.

Offensive Line

The offensive line played better against Texas State, but now can they keep doing that consistently?

Hadon Merchant cost his team a touchdown early in the game against Texas State with a penalty. Though they still came away with a field goal, it’s not what you want to see out of a veteran lineman returning after missing several games due to injury.

Pass Defense

The Warhawks are a passing team. Be it by necessity or lack of talent to get their rushing game going, they are going to throw the ball.

The Jaguar secondary was hit hard by UAB with deep throws. If the Warhawks manage to exploit the secondary, it could cause problems for the Jags in the game.

Prediction

Before the beat-down in Lynchburg, the Warhawks played perennial Sun Belt Power Georgia Southern tough in Louisiana.

Prior to that they had to deal with players missing game time due to Covid. So the ULM team that comes into Hancock Whitney Stadium may not be the same team that many have seen earlier in the season.

With a week to regroup and prepare, they could be ready to play the Jags tough.

With a 14.5 point spread, I think the Jags will win the game outright but I don’t think they will cover. I think ULM may be able to eek out and cover the spread themselves.

Go Jags!

South Alabama Downs Texas State For First Conference Win, 30-20

October 17, 2020 · By · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on South Alabama Downs Texas State For First Conference Win, 30-20 
Carlos Davis scores a touchdown in the Jags win over Texas State.
Carlos Davis takes the ball in for a touchdown in the Jags 30-20 win over Texas State.

The third time really IS the charm.

After 23 days between games, the Jags (2-2, 1-0 Sun Belt Conference) finally returned to the gridiron and pulled out a 30-20 win over Texas State (1-5, 1-2 SBC) for their first-ever win at Hancock Whitney Stadium.

Carlos Davis had a career day with 32 rushes for 113 yards and a touchdown. Desmond Trotter returned from his illness and shoulder injury by going 18-of-22 for 187 yards, a touchdown and two sacks to help lead the Jaguars over the Bobcats on homecoming.

Trotter broke the tie midway through the fourth quarter when he found Kawaan Baker on an eight yard touchdown pass. Then led the offense on a time consuming drive late in the game to ice it with a 44-yard Diego Guajardo field goal.

Riley Cole led all players with 15 tackles, 10 of them solo, and 1.5 tackles for loss. Jeremiah Littles got the only sack by a Jaguar.

The Jaguars converted 10-of-18 3rd down attempts while holding the Bobcats to 4-of-13 on 3rd down.

After winning the toss and electing to receive, the Bobcats marched down the field to the USA 35 yard line. However the Jaguar defense forced an incomplete pass on their 4th down attempt to take over the ball on downs.

The Jags then proceeded to march down the field with Carlos Davis running down to the 1 yard line. However Hadon Merchant was flagged for a personal foul which set the Jags back 15 yards to the 16 yard line. USA had to settle for a 33 yard field goal for a 3-0 lead.

Texas State then responded with touchdown drive of their own. The Bobcat kicker Seth Keller then hooked the PAT left however Davyn Flenord was flagged for being offsides. The retry was good to put the Bobcats ahead 7-3 with 4:07 left in the first quarter.

It would turn out to be their only lead in the game.

With the scored tied at 10-10, South Alabama started their final drive of the opening half with 4:48 left. Behind Chance Lovertich at quarterback, the Jags drove down the field aided by some Texas State penalties. The Jags had two scores taken off the scoreboard before the third attempt finally stuck on a 1 yard touchdown pass to Jalen Tolbert with :12 left on the clock to take a 17-10 lead into the halftime locker room.

The Jaguar offense came out in the second half completely flat with three consecutive three-and-outs.

The Jags would finally get the offense back in gear when the return of Trotter to the field and add a field goal to break the 17-17 tie early in fourth quarter.

USA would take the lead for good with 7:10 left behind the pounding of Carlos Davis and capped off by an 8 yard touchdown pass from Trotter to Kawaan Baker. Then Diego Guajardo would ice the game with 1:09 left in the game with a 44 yard field goal.

Chance Lovertich went 7-of-12 for 66 yards and a touchdown in his short stint at quarterback.

Jalen Tolbert led all receivers with 9 catches for 91 yards and a touchdown. Baker caught 5 passes for 43 yards and the one touchdown.

Riley Cole had a career day with 15 total tackles, 10 of the solo with 1.5 tackles for loss. The next closest was Nick Mobley with 7 total tackles. Jeremiah Littles was the only Jag to record a sack.

Brady McBride went 28-of-40 for 260 yards and a touchdown for the Bobcats.

Jackson Lanam caught 5 passes for 48 yards and a touchdown. Marcell Barbee also caught 5 passes for another 45 yards. Eight other Bobcats caught passes in the game.

Jahmyl Jeter led the bobcat rushing attack with 5 carries and 31 yards. Brock Struges carried it 8 times for 30 yards and the only rushing touchdown.

The Jaguar offensive line allowed two sacks nine tackles for loss in the game.

USA put up 385 total yards of offense, 132 on the ground and 253 through the air. Texas State gained 348 total yards, only 88 on the ground and 260 through the air.

“It’s huge for a lot of different reasons,” Campbell said about the win after the game. “It’s the first win in Hancock Whitney, but also we needed to get a win and get back going again. I thought we started the season off hot, but we definitely cooled off for a little while. … The biggest deal for us, in our half of the conference, we’re not looking up at anybody. We can only do what we can do. We’ve played one (conference game) and we won it. Now we just have to take care of business.”

“Getting this win was huge,” Trotter said. “Coming off of that layoff, everyone was fresh. This was a huge win going into conference (play), now we’re just looking toward next week.”

South Alabama will host Louisiana-Monroe (0-5) on Saturday, October 24 for a 6pm kickoff.

Preview: Texas State at South Alabama

October 16, 2020 · By · Filed Under Football, Sun Belt Conference · Comments Off on Preview: Texas State at South Alabama 

Kickoff: 11:00 am, October 17
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL.
Television: ESPNU
Radio: Sports Talk 99.5 FM, 96.1 FM The Rocket, iHeartRadio app


23 days.

That’s how long it’s been since the South Alabama Jaguars (1-2, 0-0 Sun Belt Conference) have been on the field to play an opponent when they take the field on Saturday to play Texas State (1-4, 1-1 SBC).

After the 42-10 beat down at the hands of UAB, the Jags had players test positive for Covid-19 which lead to the postponement and eventual rescheduling of the October 3 rivalry game against Troy (now December 12).

The October 10 date was a scheduled bye date. The week leading up to it, the coaching staff started getting some players back, meeting in small position groups and reconditioning and focusing on fundamentals.

It’s basically a big reset button of sorts.

On Friday and Saturday the Jags were able to finally get back together for team exercises with pads. But without workouts and donning pads for a week and a half to two weeks, how can anyone not question the conditioning and preparation of the team?

It’s been a sad state of affairs in San Marcos. Over the past five and a half seasons the Texas State Bobcats have compiled a cumulative record of 14-51.

The Jags and the Bobcats have been battling each other for which team would finish in the Sun Belt Conference cellar. The loser of the head-to-head between the two teams has finished at the bottom of the conference standings the few seasons.

Texas State Offense

The Bobcats are predominately a passing team. They have been using two quarterbacks thanks to Covid-19, Tyler Vitt and Brady McBride. McBride won the job in fall camp and is 55-of-96 for 549 yards, 5 touchdowns and two interceptions on the season. McBride started the opener agianst SMU.

With McBride unavailable for their next two games, the incumbent Vitt took over duties. He is 40-of-64 for 602 yards, 6 touchdowns and two interceptions on the season. He has also added 89 rushing yards and a touchdown with his legs.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see both quarterbacks play on Saturday unless one or the other really has a hot hand.

The ball has been spread around pretty well. The leading receiver, Jeremiah Baydel has 18 catches for 241 yards and three touchdowns. Jah’Marae Sheread has 15 catches for 155 yards and a touchdown. Marcell Barbee and Trevis Graham Jr. both have 11 catches with Barbee leading with 173 yards and 4 touchdowns while Graham Jr has 120 yards and no touchdowns.

They have eight others who have caught passes on the season with three touchdowns spread about amongst them.

The Bobcats leading rusher is Calvin Hill with 308 yards on 55 attempts with three touchdowns. Brock Sturges has 61 carries for 251 yards and two touchdowns. But they also have Oklahoma State transfer Jahmyl Jeter who may see his role increase as the season progresses, but currently only has 80 yards and one touchdown on his stats sheet.

Overall, the offense averages 148.6 yards per game rushing and 230.8 yards passing per game for a total of 350 total yards per game.

Coach Stewart will look for his players to make more havoc plays in the game to try to yeild more negative plays and turnovers. So far this season the Jags only have two takeaways, both fumbles.

Haydel also does punt return duty and took one 91 yards for a touchdown against UTSA with under 2 minutes to go to tie the game. Unfortunately they missed the game-winning extra-point and lost the game in overtime.

Texas State Defense

Defensively the Bobcats have forced 5 turnovers on the season. Four of the turnovers are interceptions. Jarron Morris leads them with two picks, he also took one 100 yards for a touchdown in a win over Louisiana-Monroe. He also has three pass break ups, a quarterback hurry, a forced fumble, and a blocked kick.

For the season the Bobcats are allowing an average of 162 yards rushing, 292 yards passing, and 32 points per game.

Statistically the defense plays the best in the first and fourth quarters. They have only allowed 20 points in the first quarter and 30 points in the fourth quarter. The third quarter is only slightly worse with 38 points allowed on the season. But the second quarter is their worst, allowing 62 points on the season.

Despite their number of interceptions, the Bobcats are susceptible to the pass as the stats show. If the Jags can establish their running game enough to keep the defense honest, the passing game should open up for the adept pass catchers that the Jags field.

But that hinges on the offensive line.

They have had a shaky start to the season to say the least. Through three games they have allowed seven sacks and 20 tackles for loss. It’s encouraging that the probable return of Hadon Merchant to the offensive line will help solidify the group.

Keys to the Game

3rd Down

Offensively the Jags have regressed from the Southern Miss game. Their 3rd down conversion rate has dropped from 58% at USM to 47% against Tulane then plummeting to 25% against UAB. While the explosive plays have led the Jaguar offense to scoring more points so far this season, third downs extend drives, continue possessions, and generally helps to win games.

Oh yeah, and help the defense get some rest between possessions.

Defensively, the Jags have been pretty solid on 3rd downs against USM and Tulane with a 35% and 9% conversion rate. However UAB, in addition to their big plays, they also converted 63% of their 3rd down attempts.

Which leads us to…

Big Plays

UAB used big plays to keep the Jags on their heels and set that tone on the very first play from scrimmage. The Jags lost five players in the secondary from last season either to graduation or transfer. If defensive coordinator Greg Stewart and the defense can’t stop the big plays on defense, the remaining teams on the schedule will definitely notice and exploit it themselves.

Improved Second Half Play

In the Jags loss to Tulane, they put 10 points on the board early before the offense ground to a halt in the third quarter. They were simply unable to consistently move the ball again after that. The defense then allowed 21 points and the Tulane win.

Against UAB, the offense only really showed itself in the second quarter when they scored 10 unanswered points to draw within four of the Blazers. However the second half the Jags were simply unable to move the ball consistently and were unable to put any points on the board.

Prediction

The Jags are a mere 2.5 point favorite at home, where they have yet to win a game in the brand new Hancock Whitney Stadium. This is their opportunity to start their ‘second season’, the conference season, with a win. The last few games between the two has been won by the home team and that has been enough to lift them out of the Sun Belt Conference cellar.

USA will have Desmond Trotter back with his shoulder reportedly near 100% again. They’ve also reportedly been trying some new combinations and positions on the offensive line with some returning faces healthy.

I the pattern will continue itself with the Jags winning at home to finally celebrate a win at Hancock Whitney.

The Jags and the Bobcats will kickoff at 11am. The game can be seen on ESPNU or radio coverage will be available on Sports Talk 99.5 FM or 96.1 FM The Rocket or on iHeartRadio app.

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